­­FIN310 Class Web Page, Fall ' 23

Instructor: Maggie Foley

Jacksonville University

The Syllabus   (updated 8-18)

 

Term project on Bank Failure (due with final)

·       Review of the Federal Reserve’s Supervision and Regulation of Silicon Valley Bank - April 2023 (FYI) 

·      https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/svb-review-20230428.pdf (FYI)

 

 

Weekly SCHEDULE, LINKS, FILES and Questions

Chapter

Coverage, HW, Supplements

-       Required

References

 

Chapter 1-1

 

 

Marketwatch Stock Trading Game (Pass code: havefun)

Use the information and directions below to join the game.

1.      URL for your game: 
https://www.marketwatch.com/game/fin310-23fall

2.    Password for this private game: havefun

3.      Click on the 'Join Now' button to get started.

4.      If you are an existing MarketWatch member, login. If you are a new user, follow the link for a Free account - it's easy!

5.      Follow the instructions and start trading!

Risk Tolerance Test (FYI)

 

Discussion:  How to pick stocks (finviz.com)

 

How To Win The MarketWatch Stock Market Game

 

Daily earning announcement: http://www.zacks.com/earnings/earnings-calendar

IPO schedule:  http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/ipo-calendar

 

Part I – Review of the Financial Market

 

            Chapter 1 Introduction 

 

                              chapter 1 ppt

 

image002.jpg

 

Note:

Flow of funds describes the financial assets flowing from various sectors through financial intermediaries for the purpose of buying physical or financial assets.

*** Household, non-financial business, and our government

 

Financial institutions facilitate exchanges of funds and financial products.

*** Building blocks of a financial system. Passing and transforming funds and risks during transactions.

*** Buy and sell, receive and deliver, and create and underwrite financial products.

*** The transferring of funds and risk is thus created. Capital utilization for individual and for the whole economy is thus enhanced.

 

For class discussion:

1.     What is the business model of each player in the above graph?

2.     Which player is the most important one in the financial market?

3.     Can any of the players be removed from the system?

4. What might trigger the next financial crisis



 

 

 

 

 

Special Topic: 2023 Bank Failures

 

2023 Bank Failure Details   https://www.fdic.gov/bank/historical/bank/bfb2023.html

Bank Name, City, ST

Closing Date

Approx. Asset

Approx. Deposit

Acquirer & Transaction

(Millions)

(Millions)

July

Heartland Tri-State Bank, Elkhart, KS

28-Jul-23

$139.00

$130.00

Dream First Bank, National Association, to assume all of the deposits and substantially all of the assets of Heartland Tri-State Bank.

May

First Republic Bank, San Francisco, CA

1-May-23

$229,100.00

$103,900.00

JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association, to assume all of the deposits and substantially all of the assets of First Republic Bank.

March

Signature Bank, New York, NY

12-Mar-23

$110,400.00

$88,600.00

On Sunday, March 12, 2023, Signature Bank, New York, NY was closed by the New York State Department of Financial Services, which appointed the FDIC as Receiver. On Sunday, March 19, 2023, FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement for substantially all deposits and certain loan portfolios with Flagstar Bank, NA, Hicksville, NY, a wholly owned subsidiary of New York Community Bancorp, Inc., Westbury, NY.

Silicon Valley Bank, Santa Clara, CA

10-Mar-23

$209,000.00

$175,400.00

To protect depositors, on Monday, March 13, 2023, the FDIC transferred all the deposits of Silicon Valley Bank to Silicon Valley Bridge Bank, N.A. a full-service 'bridge bank' that was operated by the FDIC as it marketed the institution to potential bidders. On March 26, 2023, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement for all deposits and loans of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank, N.A., with First–Citizens Bank & Trust Company, Raleigh, NC. As part of this transaction Silicon Valley Bridge Bank, N.A, was placed into receivership.

 

 

The Bank Failures, Explained     ppt     SVB Fallout: Wall Street Debates Moral Hazard (video)

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/14/briefing/silicon-valley-bank.html

By German Lopez, March 14, 2023

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and others and the governments rescue over the weekend left many of us again rushing to understand the arcane details of the financial system. It can be maddeningly complex, so I want to use todays newsletter to explain some of the basics.

First, the latest: Bank stocks plummeted yesterday, hitting midsize and smaller institutions in particular. Other financial markets gyrated as well, despite U.S. policymakers emergency help for customers of the closed banks. It didnt put calm back in the system, said my colleague Maureen Farrell, who covers business.

Why does this matter to everyday Americans? After all, SVB is relatively small and most of us keep no money in it.

The short answer is the potential for wider fallout. When banks collapse, other people sometimes fear that their own banks and investments will follow. Even healthy banks dont keep enough cash on hand to pay out all depositors, so if too many people panic at once and pull out their money a classic bank run it could lead to broader financial and economic calamity. And that is what the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve are trying to stop: a financial crisis largely prompted by plunging confidence.

How did we get to this point? To answer that, I need to dive into more detail about Silicon Valley Bank.

As its name suggests, the bank portrayed itself as focused on the leading edge of technology. And it served thousands of tech firms. Yet SVB invested their money in something much less exciting, as Paul Krugman wrote: U.S. bonds, effectively I.O.U.s from the federal government.

Because the federal government has always paid its bills, U.S. bonds are widely considered the safest investment. SVBs experience shows there are moments when even these safe investments may not pay off. The details get technical, but theyre worth unpacking to understand what went wrong.

Bonds are effectively money that the government borrows from buyers the public before paying them back later, with interest. Market conditions and the Federal Reserve, Americas central bank, help determine that interest rate.

When SVB bought bonds, interest rates were very low. Since then, the Federal Reserve, which sets certain influential rates, increased those to combat rising prices. Now, new bonds can carry interest multiple times higher than those SVB bought.

Imagine, then, that you want to buy bonds today. You would want the newer bonds because they have a higher payout. So when SVB needed to sell bonds, to raise cash that it could use for its customers withdrawals, it could do so only for a discount, taking a loss.

The bank failed to follow basic financial advice: Diversify your portfolio. Its not fraud, said Joseph Gagnon, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. But its an extremely risky, and obviously risky, strategy.

In the past few weeks, venture capitalists and other wealthy customers on social media and in private chats started discussing concerns that SVB could no longer pay its depositors. Some began to move their money out of the bank, and the situation spiraled quickly. Once you start asking, Are we having a bank run?, its too late, my colleague David Enrich, a business editor, said.

A regulatory failure

Financial regulations are supposed to stop these kinds of crises. But Silicon Valley Banks problems were not caught until it was too late which many experts say was a result of insufficient oversight. 

Under pressure from banks in 2018, Congress passed bipartisan legislation that Donald Trump signed into law shielding smaller banks, like SVB, from more stringent rules. The banks argued that they were so small that they posed little risk to the broader financial system.

SVBs collapse and the aftermath suggest the banks claims were wrong: Even smaller bank failures can threaten the financial system as a whole, prompting some experts but not all to call for the federal government to get more involved.

Controlled slowdown

To readers of this newsletter, the Federal Reserves involvement in containing the fallout of Silicon Valley Banks collapse may be puzzling. The Fed, after all, has been raising interest rates to slow the economy. An economic slowdown inherently involves businesses, including banks, failing.

The Feds concern is that the bank collapses could go too far and pose bigger systemic risks beyond SVB. Think of it this way: You can stop a runaway car by blowing out its tires, potentially causing a crash. But it would be better if the car stopped by simply braking. Officials are trying to get the economy to brake to a safer speed one in which inflation isnt so high.

The economic slowdown that the Fed hopes for would still affect everyday Americans, in both lower prices and also potentially higher unemployment rates. But that outcome is better than an uncontrolled bank run that topples the financial system and takes the rest of the economy, and your 401(k), down with it.

 

In class exercise: answer: BBBAB ABABC

1. Why did Silicon Valley Bank collapse?

A) Insufficient customers

B) Inadequate oversight

C) Foreign investments

 

2. How did the government assist customers of closed banks?

A) Lowering interest rates

B) Providing emergency help

C) Imposing strict regulations

 

3. What potential fallout worries people when banks collapse?

A) Banks lacking in technology

B) Wider financial impact

C) Decreased interest rates

 

4. How did Silicon Valley Bank primarily invest its money?

A) U.S. bonds

B) Technology startups

C) Foreign currencies

 

5. What's the main goal of the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve?

A) Encourage bank runs

B) Prevent financial calamity

C) Promote high inflation

 

6. Why did SVB face challenges selling bonds for cash?

A) Low buyer interest

B) Favorable market conditions

C) High bond demand

 

7. How did experts describe SVB's investment strategy?

A) Fraudulent

B) Risky

C) Innovative

 

8. What triggered concerns about SVB's ability to pay depositors?

A) Social media discussions

B) Government warnings

C) SVB's advertising

 

9. Why did Congress pass legislation in 2018?

A) Encourage risk-taking

B) Protect smaller banks

C) Promote bigger banks

 

10. What's the primary concern for the Federal Reserve in this situation?

A) Lowering unemployment

B) Stopping inflation

C) Avoiding uncontrolled bank runs

 

Homework Assignment for Special Topic – Bank Failure (due along with the first midterm exam)

Based on the papers covered in class or from other sources you've reviewed, who should be attributed with accountability for the bank failures observed in 2023?

 

How Silicon Valley Bank Collapsed in 36 Hours: What Went Wrong (Video, FYI)

A regulatory filing sparked a run on the bank. Then, the FDIC took control of SVB.

By Wall Street Journal Mar 15, 2023 12:16 pm

Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in less than two days. In that time, its stock price fell over 60% and customers tried to withdraw $42 billion. Here’s how SVB became the second-largest U.S. bank failure ever and what it means for customers in the future. Illustration: Alexandra Larkin

https://www.wsj.com/video/series/news-explainers/how-silicon-valley-bank-collapsed-in-36-hours-what-went-wrong/8DBEB163-0EEE-4CC2-B974-8252039D6C38

 

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_bank_failures_in_the_United_States

 

 

 

 

Law School professor who served as Fed regulator talks moral hazard, implications for inflation after SVB collapse rocks Washington and Wall Street (FYI only)

BY Christina Pazzanese Harvard Staff Writer, DATEMarch 14, 2023

https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2023/03/fallout-from-bank-failures-explained/

 

Summary:

Federal regulators have responded to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and other tech-focused institutions, taking measures to stabilize financial markets and prevent further bank failures. Critics argue that the banks benefited from 2018 regulatory relief, potentially incentivizing risky behavior. Daniel Tarullo, former member of the Federal Reserve Board, highlights supervisory failure in the case of SVB and discusses how a relaxation of regulations might have contributed to recent problems. He acknowledges the challenge of balancing moral hazard concerns with crisis response. Rising interest rates and inflation figures complicate the Federal Reserve's decision-making in addressing financial vulnerabilities.

 

In recent days, federal regulators have taken dramatic steps to stabilize financial markets, protect depositors from ruin, and prevent more bank failures following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and a handful of other small, tech-focused institutions.

 

The measures by the U.S. Treasury, the Federal Reserve Board, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation seem to have calmed the waters — for now. But the failures have raised questions about how banks servicing tech- and investment-savvy clientele could plunge so quickly and precipitously. The Justice Department, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the Federal Reserve have all pledged to open investigations.

 

Critics say these banks sought and got relief in 2018 from federal regulations designed to prevent the very conditions that led to their failure and worry that a bailout will incentivize other banks to act rashly and expect similar treatment in the future.

 

To better understand what’s going on, the Gazette spoke with Daniel Tarullo, Nomura Professor of International Financial Regulatory Practice at Harvard Law School. From 2009 to 2017, he was a member of the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee, which sets interest rates for commercial banks. As oversight governor for supervision and regulation, he led the board’s financial regulatory reforms, including implementation of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act. The interview has been edited for clarity and length.

 

Q&A

Daniel Tarullo

GAZETTE: There’s been a lot of finger-pointing. Who is to blame for these bank failures?

 

TARULLO: Whether this was a regulatory failure or a supervisory failure or both remains to be answered, to some degree, but I think we can be reasonably confident there was at least a supervisory failure. In the case of Silicon Valley Bank, the supervisors at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco did not see the problem coming, presumably had not looked at the liquidity situation and the potential problem with Treasury securities that had lost value. Was that strictly the failure of the San Francisco Fed? Or were they acting under the guidelines they had been given by the Board of Governors in Washington? I ask that because over the last several years, there was a message sent to supervisors that they were not supposed to be as strict and stringent with their banks as they had been.

 

GAZETTE: Was that message tied to the 2018 rollback of Dodd-Frank or a separate issue?

 

TARULLO: The supervision is a separate issue. Debate is swirling around how much difference the 2018 legislation, and then the Federal Reserve’s implementation of that legislation, in 2019, made. As best as I can determine, there was one potential point that may have made a difference, not in the legislation, but in the changes that the Fed itself made. But it doesn’t appear that change was directly responsible for the problems. I do think that that set of changes reflected a relaxation of regulation across the board by the Fed, which probably did contribute to the problems we have seen over the past week.

 

GAZETTE: Are the FDIC, Treasury, and the Federal Reserve taking appropriate steps to stabilize the banking industry?

 

TARULLO: We’ll see. Yesterday it didn’t look as though that was the case. Now, midday on Tuesday, things have calmed down. In these kinds of situations, sometimes there’s a pause and then things get worse again. Sometimes there’s a pause and things kind of stabilize. We just don’t know where we are right now. The Fed and the FDIC and the Treasury took, on a very ad hoc basis, a set of steps they felt they needed to take to stop a further run on other banks — providing guarantees for uninsured depositors, and making quite favorable terms for Fed funding available to other banks that may have put themselves in a vulnerable position. It was an appropriate if unfortunate response — unfortunate in its implications for policy going forward, but appropriate in that the Biden administration and the banking agencies did not want to take big risks with the banking system.

 

GAZETTE: Is the FDIC’s guarantee of deposits above its standard $250K maximum a move that may ultimately prove a Pandora’s box, if everyone expects similar treatment in the future?

 

TARULLO: In the middle of a crisis, regulators, supervisors, and the president cannot worry too much about moral hazard. Look what happened when the government paused over the moral hazard question with Lehman Brothers in the fall of 2008 — its failure set off the most acute phase of the financial crisis. But once things have stabilized, the recognition that there is a significant moral hazard out there requires a regulatory response, and that’s what we’re going to get. What the nature of that regulatory response is will depend on what regulators have concluded about how widespread the problem was. But they’re going to have to face the fact that uninsured depositors are now going to believe, ironically, that if they have an uninsured deposit in a bank with lots of uninsured deposits, they’re pretty likely to be bailed out. Under our current system, that’s not the kind of incentive you want big depositors to have.

 

One other thing we’ve learned is that the promise that we can enforce market discipline by resolving banks when they become bankrupt and allocating the losses, as the law says you should — that’s just illusory. SVB was the 16th-largest insured depository institution in the country. This was not JP Morgan, this was not Citi, this was not Bank of America. Within 48 hours, the government concluded that it couldn’t afford to have losses allocated to those uninsured depositors and took extraordinary steps to protect them. People are now going to have to face the fact that the assumptions laid out in the legislation about what the resolution process can do just don’t hold when the heat is on.

 

GAZETTE: Is the failure of SVB indicative of a broader problem in the banking industry?

 

TARULLO: The stress we’ve seen has been concentrated in banks with some combination of the following characteristics: First, their business is heavily dependent on an industry or sector that is not performing as well as the rest of the economy right now — tech and crypto, in particular. Second, they hold a portfolio of Treasury securities that were not, under current regulations, required to be marked-to-market, meaning to realize the losses that have resulted because interest rates have gone up. Third, and perhaps most important, they had very high proportions of deposits that were uninsured, large amounts of money they knew was not protected by the FDIC. Thus, when there was a whiff of a problem, depositors pulled money out as quickly as they could.

 

GAZETTE: Given the role that sharply rising interest rates appears to have played in SVB’s collapse, does that suggest the Fed’s money-tightening approach is not working as planned?

 

TARULLO: The inflation figures Tuesday morning probably gave people at the Fed pause. They came in a little higher than people had anticipated. The real question is not whether the Fed’s policy is working — it is tightening financial conditions, but is it tightening them so quickly that banks do not have time to adjust? Clearly, many businesses, many financial firms, and many individuals and households have taken hits on their portfolios of fixed-income securities. The Fed should have been asking, as they raised rates so rapidly, what kind of vulnerabilities might there be in banking and other parts of the financial sector. But they probably almost exclusively focused on inflation.

 

GAZETTE: Does this situation, along with Tuesday’s inflation numbers, complicate the Fed’s path forward on inflation?

 

TARULLO: Absolutely. They have a Federal Open Market Committee meeting next week. Here’s the tension: On the one hand, to the degree that there’s uneasiness with respect to banks, any further increase would exacerbate problems with the depreciation and value of long-dated securities that banks already hold. On the other hand, if they don’t go forward with at least a modest rate increase, markets again begin jumping to the conclusion that the Fed is going to stop raising rates. Then financial conditions will begin to loosen, and as a result, it may be harder for the Fed to achieve its inflation target. This is going to be a very delicate decision for the Fed next week.

 

In class exercise – based on the above paragraph highlighted   answer BAA 

Question 1: What characteristics are common among banks that have experienced stress?

A. Heavy dependence on thriving industries.

B. Holding Treasury securities marked-to-market.

C. High proportions of insured deposits.

 

Question 2: According to Tarullo, why did some banks experience stress?

A. They were heavily reliant on the tech and crypto industries.

B. They held a portfolio of uninsured deposits.

C. They were unaffected by changes in interest rates.

 

Question 3: What was the significant factor leading to depositors withdrawing money from stressed banks?

A. Lack of FDIC protection for uninsured deposits.

B. Fluctuations in the economy.

C. Inadequate regulations for Treasury securities.

 

 

 

Chapter 11 - 14: Commercial Banking and Investment Banking

 

Ppt 1 commercial banking I

PPT2 Commercial banking II (Balance sheet)

Part 3 Investment Banking

 

Content

·      Part I – SVB failure

·      Part II – Bank failure in general

·      Part III – Regulation in banking sector

1)            Summary of the paper on regulation

2)            Glass-Steagall Act

3)             Dodd Frank Act

·      Part IV – AI in banking sector

·      Part V – Net interest margin

·       Part VI – Investment banking

·       FYI:  VyStar Credit Union: After the outage (FYI only)

 

 

How Did Banks Start ? (youtube)

 

1: When did people first start recording their trade transactions?

A. 2000 A.D.

B. 8000 B.C.

C. 500 B.C.

Answer: B

 

2: What was the role of goldsmiths in the evolution of banking?

A. They stored goods for traders.

B. They issued the first banknotes.

C. They provided safekeeping and lending services.

Answer: C

 

3: Which region became the center of the world's banking industry during the medieval period?

A. Asia

B. Mesopotamia

C. Italy

Answer: C

 

4: What ancient civilizations had evidence of credit and lending services primarily related to seeds?

A. African civilizations

B. Mesopotamian civilizations

C. European civilizations

Answer: B

 

5: What financial instruments emerged as a result of goldsmiths' expanded services?

A. Coins

B. Promissory notes

C. Bonds

Answer: B

 

6: Who established the Medici Bank, which became one of the largest and most reputable banks in Europe?

A. Rothschild family

B. Grimaldi family

C. Medici family

Answer: C

 

7: In which century did banknotes start being printed and standardized?

A. 17th century

B. 18th century

C. 19th century

Answer: B

 

8: How did banknotes contribute to the United Kingdom's Industrial Revolution?

A. Banknotes led to the decline of industries.

B. Banknotes were used as a form of art during the Revolution.

C. Banknotes played a crucial role in sustaining heightened economic activity.

Answer: C

 

9: What organizations were established in 1944 to boost economies of developing nations?

A. United Nations

B. International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank

C. World Trade Organization (WTO)

Answer: B

 

10: Which century saw the advent of banks as we recognize them today?

A. 15th century

B. 17th century

C. 20th century

Answer: C

Part I - Silicon Valley Bank’s Failure

SIVBQ (Silicon Valley Bank) Financials

Google finance

 

 

Silicon Valley Bank (SVB)

 

Income Statements (in thousands)

 

Period Ending:

12/31/2022

12/31/2021

12/31/2020

12/31/2019

Total Revenue

$7,401,000

$6,027,000

$4,082,000

$3,531,000

Cost of Revenue

$862,000

$62,000

$60,000

$178,000

Gross Profit

--

--

--

--

Research and Development

--

--

--

--

Sales, General and Admin.

$3,571,000

$2,941,000

$2,035,000

$1,601,000

Non-Recurring Items

$50,000

$129,000

--

--

Other Operating Items

$420,000

$123,000

$220,000

$107,000

Operating Income

--

--

--

--

Add'l income/expense items

--

--

--

--

Earnings Before Interest and Tax

$2,498,000

$2,772,000

$1,767,000

$1,645,000

Interest Expense

$326,000

$48,000

$25,000

$35,000

Earnings Before Tax

$2,172,000

$2,724,000

$1,742,000

$1,610,000

Income Tax

$563,000

$651,000

$448,000

$425,000

Minority Interest

--

--

--

--

Equity Earnings/Loss Unconsolidated Subsidiary

$63,000

-$240,000

-$86,000

-$48,000

Net Income-Cont. Operations

$1,672,000

$1,833,000

$1,208,000

$1,137,000

Net Income

$1,672,000

$1,833,000

$1,208,000

$1,137,000

Net Income Applicable to Common Shareholders

$1,509,000

$1,770,000

$1,191,000

$1,137,000

 

Balance Sheet

 

Period Ending:

12/31/2022

12/31/2021

12/31/2020

12/31/2019

Current Assets

Cash and Cash Equivalents

$131,193,000

$140,002,000

$65,180,000

$34,639,648

Short-Term Investments

--

--

--

--

Net Receivables

$3,082,000

$1,791,000

$3,206,000

$1,745,233

Inventory

--

--

--

--

Other Current Assets

--

--

--

--

Total Current Assets

--

--

--

--

Long-Term Assets

Long-Term Investments

$193,668,000

$193,813,000

$94,040,000

$61,931,406

Fixed Assets

$729,000

$583,000

$386,000

$359,241

Goodwill

$375,000

$375,000

$143,000

$137,823

Intangible Assets

$136,000

$160,000

$61,000

$49,417

Other Assets

--

--

--

--

Deferred Asset Charges

--

--

--

--

Total Assets

$211,793,000

$211,308,000

$115,511,000

$71,004,903

Current Liabilities

Accounts Payable

--

--

--

--

Short-Term Debt / Current Portion of Long-Term Debt

$13,565,000

$71,000

$21,000

$17,430

Other Current Liabilities

$173,109,000

$189,203,000

$101,982,000

$61,757,807

Total Current Liabilities

--

--

--

--

Long-Term Debt

--

--

--

--

Other Liabilities

$3,454,000

$2,855,000

$4,231,000

$2,260,599

Deferred Liability Charges

--

--

--

--

Misc. Stocks

$291,000

$373,000

$213,000

$150,773

Minority Interest

--

--

--

--

Total Liabilities

$195,789,000

$195,072,000

$107,291,000

$64,534,596

Stock Holders Equity

Common Stocks

--

--

--

$52

Capital Surplus

$8,951,000

$7,442,000

$5,672,000

$4,575,601

Retained Earnings

--

--

--

--

Treasury Stock

$5,318,000

$5,157,000

$1,585,000

$1,470,071

Other Equity

-$1,911,000

-$9,000

$623,000

$84,445

Total Equity

$16,004,000

$16,236,000

$8,220,000

$6,470,307

Total Liabilities & Equity

$211,793,000

$211,308,000

$115,511,000

$71,004,903

 

https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/sivbq/financials

 

 

Silicon Valley Bank and how its outsized investment in securities made it particularly vulnerable to a bank run:

https://www.icaew.com/insights/viewpoints-on-the-news/2023/mar-2023/chart-of-the-week-silicon-valley-bank

 

 

https://www.icaew.com/insights/viewpoints-on-the-news/2023/mar-2023/chart-of-the-week-silicon-valley-bank

 

Silicon Valley Bank collapsed on 10 March 2023 after a bank run saw depositors rapidly withdraw funds as they lost confidence in the banks ability to survive. The banks collapse followed concerns that had been growing since 24 February 2023, when Silicon Valley Banks parent company, SVB Financial Group, published its annual consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2022.

 

As illustrated by this weeks chart, SVBs consolidated balance sheet at 31 December 2022 comprised assets of $212bn, liabilities of $196bn and equity of $16bn.

 

Assets consisted of investment securities recorded at amortised cost of $91bn, investment securities recorded at fair value of $26bn, loans of $74bn, cash of $13m, and other assets of $8bn. Liabilities comprised customer deposits of $173bn, short-term debt of $14bn, and other liabilities of $9bn (including long-term debt of $5bn).

 

Not shown in the chart is the breakdown of equity of $16bn, which at 31 December 2022 primarily comprised preference stock of $4bn, additional paid-in capital of $5bn and $9bn of retained earnings, less $2bn in negative accumulated other comprehensive income.

 

As disclosed on the face of the balance sheet, the fair value of SVBs $91bn portfolio of held-to-maturity investment securities was $15bn below its carrying value at amortised cost, reflecting how the main fixed-asset securities in this category predominantly federally guaranteed mortgage-backed securities and collateralised-mortgage obligations had fallen in value as interest rates climbed over the course of 2022. These unrealised losses of $15bn were not that far off the $16bn of equity reported by SVB, suggesting the bank would struggle if it ever had to sell these investments before they matured.

 

SVBs intention had been to hold onto these investments, but circumstances changed on 9 March when depositors concerned about further falls in the value of SVBs assets as interest rates continued to rise during 2023, and an adverse reaction to a belated capital raising exercise launched by SVB on 8 March withdrew $42bn in one day. This forced SVB to rapidly liquidate assets and borrow to find the cash required to repay depositors, but by then the first major digital bank run had gained too much momentum, with depositors attempting to withdraw a further $100bn on Friday 10 March. With insufficient cash to repay the amounts requested by SVBs customers, the bank was closed by regulators that lunchtime.

 

In class exercise

1: What caused Silicon Valley Bank to collapse in March 2023?

1. What caused Silicon Valley Bank to collapse in March 2023?

A) Economic recession

B) Technological malfunction

C) Bank run and loss of confidence

Answer: C

Explanation: Many depositors withdrew their money rapidly because they lost trust in the bank's ability to survive. This led to the bank's collapse.

 

2: Why were concerns growing about Silicon Valley Bank's survival before its collapse?

A) A sudden drop in interest rates

B) Doubts about its technology infrastructure

C) Doubts about the accuracy of financial statements

Answer: C

Explanation: People were unsure if the bank's financial statements were true, which made them worry about the bank's future.

 

3: Which components made up Silicon Valley Bank's balance sheet at the end of 2022?

A) Assets of $212bn, liabilities of $196bn, equity of $16bn

B) Assets of $196bn, liabilities of $212bn, equity of $16bn

C) Assets of $16bn, liabilities of $196bn, equity of $212bn

Answer: A

Explanation: The bank had $212bn in assets, owed $196bn to others (liabilities), and had $16bn that belonged to the bank itself (equity).

 

4: What category of investments faced significant losses on Silicon Valley Bank's balance sheet?

A) Securities recorded at amortized cost

B) Fair value recorded securities

C) Short-term debt investments

Answer: A

Explanation: Investments that were meant to be held until maturity lost value, causing losses for the bank.

 

5: How much did depositors withdraw from Silicon Valley Bank on 9 March?

A) $15bn

B) $42bn

C) $100bn

Answer: B

Explanation: On that specific day, depositors took out a total of $42 billion from their bank accounts.

 

6: What triggered the bank's quick liquidation of assets?

A) A drop in interest rates

B) Government intervention

C) Massive withdrawals by depositors

Answer: C

Explanation: When many people took their money out of the bank, the bank had to sell its assets quickly to get enough cash to meet the demands.

 

7: What type of securities mainly contributed to the unrealized losses on SVB's balance sheet?

A) Corporate bonds

B) Federally guaranteed mortgage-backed securities

C) International stocks

Answer: B

Explanation: Certain investments linked to mortgages lost value, causing unrealized losses for the bank.

 

8: What was the main result of the capital raising exercise SVB conducted on 8 March?

A) Increased customer deposits

B) Restoration of depositor confidence

C) Negative reaction from depositors

Answer: C

Explanation: The bank's attempt to raise capital made depositors even more concerned, leading to a negative response.

 

9: How did SVB try to address the cash shortage during the crisis?

A) Selling non-performing assets

B) Borrowing funds and selling assets

C) Seeking government aid

Answer: B

Explanation: The bank borrowed money and sold assets to acquire the cash needed to repay depositors during the crisis.

 

10: Why did regulators close Silicon Valley Bank on 10 March?

A) Involvement in illegal activities

B) Cybersecurity breach

C) Inability to meet withdrawal demands

Answer: C

Explanation: The bank lacked sufficient funds to fulfill the withdrawal requests of depositors, prompting regulators to intervene and close the bank.

 

 

What Is a Bank Failure? Definition, Causes, Results, and Examples

By JULIA KAGAN Updated May 14, 2023 Reviewed by SOMER ANDERSON Fact checked by SUZANNE KVILHAUG

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bank-failure.asp

 

What Is a Bank Failure?

A bank failure is the closing of an insolvent bank by a federal or state regulator. The federal government has the power to close national banks and banking commissioners have the power to close state-chartered banks.

 

Banks can be closed when they are unable to meet their obligations to depositors and others. When a bank fails, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) covers the insured portion of a depositor's balance, including money in money market accounts.

 

KEY TAKEAWAYS

·       Bank failures occur when the bank cannot meet its obligations to creditors and depositors.

·       The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) protects deposits for up to $250,000 per depositor, per account.

·       In some cases, the FDIC may fully reimburse for lost deposits of a failed bank without using federal or state tax revenues.

·       Bank failures are often difficult to predict.

 

Understanding Bank Failures

A bank fails when it cant meet its financial obligations to creditors and depositors. This could occur because the bank has become insolvent or because it no longer has enough liquid assets to fulfill its payment obligations.

 

The most common cause of bank failure is when the value of the banks assets falls below the market value of the banks liabilities, which are the bank's obligations to creditors and depositors. This might happen because the bank loses too much on its investments. Its not always possible to predict when a bank will fail.

 

What Happens When a Bank Fails?

When a bank fails, it may try to borrow money from other solvent banks in order to pay its depositors. If the failing bank cannot pay its depositors, a bank panic might ensue in which depositors run on the bank in an attempt to get their money back. This can make the situation worse for the failing bank, by shrinking its liquid assets as depositors withdraw cash.

 

Since the creation of the FDIC, the federal government has insured bank deposits up to $250,000 in the U.S. When a bank fails, the FDIC takes control and will either sell the failed bank to a more solvent bank or take over the operation of the bank.

 

In many cases, depositors who have money in the failed bank will experience no change in their experience of using the bank. Theyll still have access to their money and should be able to use their debit cards and checks as normal.

 

In the event that a failed bank is sold to another bank, account holders automatically become customers of that bank and may receive new checks and debit cards.

 

Examples of Bank Failures

During the 2008 financial crisis, the biggest bank failure in U.S. history occurred with the closure of Washington Mutual (WaMu), which had $307 billion in assets. Washington Mutual struggled for several reasons, including a poor housing market and a run on deposits. WaMu was eventually bought by JPMorgan Chase for $1.9 billion.

 

The second-largest bank failure in the U.S. was the closure of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023 after a bank run in which customers had withdrawn $42 billion within 48 hours. The bank had $209 million in assets at the time.

 

Bank failures were common leading up to and into the Great Depression when thousands of banks failed. By the time the FDIC was created in 1933, American depositors had lost a substantial amount of money due to bank failures. Without federal deposit insurance protecting these deposits, they had no way of getting their money back.

 

Protections Against Bank Failures

The Federal Reserve now usually requires banks to keep a certain amount of cash reserves on hand to try to reduce the risk of failure. The reserve amount is a portion of the deposits it holds. Typically a bank must hold over 10% of its liabilities in cash reserves, but this requirement was suspended in 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic and it has yet to be reinstated.

 

The FDIC may sometimes provide reimbursement beyond its coverage limits. For example, it used funds from the Deposit Insurance Fund to fully reimburse depositors when Silicon Valley Bank failed in 2023. The money in the fund is furnished by quarterly fees charged to banks, not from tax revenue.

 

To better protect yourself against losing money if a bank fails, consider keeping only up to the FDIC-insured limit, or $250,000, in a bank account. If you need to deposit more funds, you can open another account at a different bank for the same FDIC protection.

 

What Happens During a Bank Failure?

When a bank fails, the FDIC is required to use the least costly solution to resolve the failure. It will often sell the bank's assets to another bank. The FDIC will reimburse depositors for up to $250,000 per account, per institution, and in some cases, it may fully reimburse lost funds.

 

What Was the Biggest Bank Failure?

The biggest U.S. bank failure was the collapse of Washington Mutual (WaMu) in 2008. At the time, it had about $307 billion in assets. The bank failure was caused by a number of factors, including a poor housing market and a run on deposits in which customers withdrew $16.7 billion within two weeks.

 

When Was the Last Bank Failure?

The failure of the Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023 was among the most recent bank failures. To find the last bank failure, check the FDIC's Failed Bank List, which includes banks that have failed since Oct. 1, 2000.

 

In class exercise

1: What is a bank failure?

A) A sudden shutdown due to technical issues

B) A bank's inability to fulfill financial obligations

C) A change in bank ownership

Answer: B

Explanation: A bank failure occurs when a bank cannot meet its financial obligations to creditors and depositors.

 

2: Who has the power to close national banks during a bank failure?

A) Banking commissioners

B) State regulators

C) Federal government

Answer: C

Explanation: The federal government has the authority to close national banks during a bank failure.

 

3: What does the FDIC do when a bank fails?

A) Takes over the bank's operations

B) Sells the bank's assets to another bank

C) Provides full reimbursement to all depositors

Answer: B

Explanation: When a bank fails, the FDIC may sell the bank's assets to another bank to resolve the failure.

 

4: What is the most common cause of bank failure?

A) Technological glitches

B) Poor customer service

C) Insolvency due to asset value decline

Answer: C

Explanation: The value of a bank's assets falling below its liabilities can lead to insolvency and is a common cause of bank failure.

 

5: What agency covers the insured portion of a depositor's balance when a bank fails?

A) SEC

B) IRS

C) FDIC

Answer: C

Explanation: The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) covers the insured portion of a depositor's balance during a bank failure.

 

6: Why might a bank experience a run during a failure?

A) To buy assets from the failing bank

B) To withdraw money before the bank closes

C) To invest in the bank's stocks

Answer: B

Explanation: During a bank failure, depositors may rush to withdraw their money to avoid losing their deposits.

 

7: What protections did the FDIC provide for depositors during the 2008 financial crisis?

A) Full reimbursement for all depositors

B) Up to $250,000 per depositor, per account

C) Loan assistance for depositors

Answer: B

Explanation: The FDIC insured deposits up to $250,000 per depositor, per account during the 2008 financial crisis.

 

8: What is the primary source of funding for the FDIC's Deposit Insurance Fund?

A) Federal tax revenue

B) Quarterly fees charged to banks

C) Donations from individuals

Answer: B

Explanation: The FDIC's Deposit Insurance Fund is primarily funded by quarterly fees charged to banks, not federal tax revenue.

 

9: How can individuals better protect themselves against losing money in a bank failure?

A) Keep all funds in a single account

B) Keep up to the FDIC-insured limit in one account

C) Open multiple accounts at the same bank

Answer: B

Explanation: To avoid losing money in a bank failure, individuals can keep up to the FDIC-insured limit, which is $250,000, in one account.

 

10: What happened to Silicon Valley Bank in 2023 that led to its failure?

A) A housing market crash

B) A run on deposits

C) Mismanagement by the board

Answer: B

Explanation: A bank run occurred where customers withdrew $42 billion within 48 hours, leading to the failure of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023.

Bank Failures in Brief – Summary 2001 through 2023

There were 565 bank failures from 2001 through 2023. Please select the year buttons below for more information.

Bank Closing Summary – 2001 through 2020 - Detailed table below the graph 

Summary by Year
(Approximate asset dollar volume based on figures from the press releases)

Years

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Bank Failures

4

11

3

4

0

0

3

25

140

157

92

51

24

18

8

5

8

0

4

4

0

0

4

Total Assets (Millions)

2,358.6

2,705.4

1,045.2

163.1

0

0

2,602.5

373,588.8

170,909.4

96,514.0

36,012.2

12,055.8

6,101.7

3,088.4

6,727.5

278.8

6,530.7

0

214.1

458.0

0

0

548,639.0

 

https://www.fdic.gov/bank/historical/bank/

 

In class exercise

1: In which year did the highest number of bank failures occur?

A) 2008

B) 2010

C) 2019

Answer: B) 2010

 

2: In which year did no bank failures occur?

A) 2005

B) 2015

C) 2021

Answer: A) 2005

 

3: How many bank failures occurred in the year 2012?

A) 18

B) 4

C) 51

Answer: C) 51

 

4: In which year did the second-highest number of bank failures occur?

A) 2019

B) 2010

C) 2009

Answer: C) 2009

 

5: Which year had the highest total assets among the listed years?

A) 2011

B) 2023

C) 2008

Answer: B) 2023

 

 

 

Take away:  The Factors Behind SVB's Failure

·       When people put their money in a bank, they trust that it's safe, backed by government protection of up to $250,000. But SVB had a lot of deposits that weren't insured, so when the market got shaky, many depositors withdrew their money. This was one big reason for SVB's failure.

·       Another problem was that the bank's managers used the deposited money to make risky investments. They thought that taking bigger risks would lead to bigger profits. However, if these investments went bad, the managers could just close the bank and leave the depositors in trouble. It is called Moral Hazard. This term comes from the idea that when there's a disconnect between risk-taking and the consequences of those risks, it creates a moral dilemma where the bank's decision-makers might be tempted to take bigger risks than they otherwise would, since they don't have to fully bear the downside.

·       Another issue was that SVB didn't handle the risks well, especially when interest rates were going up. This made the situation worse and added to the bank's downfall.

 

 

 

 

Part II: Banking Industry in general

 

 

Topics for class discussion

 

1.     What are the key differences between large and small banks in terms of their operations and impact on the economy?

2.     How do banks make money and generate profits?  How the banks make the big bucks (youtube)

3.     How can you tell that banks are getting bigger and bigger? Who need big banks?  What is too big to fail (Bloomberg university) video

 

Benefits of Local Banks vs. Big Banks  

Regional banks will suffer from regulation similar to large banks: Man Group CEO (youtube)

 

BY JUSTIN PRITCHARD

REVIEWED BY KHADIJA KHARTIT on May 30, 2021

 

When you choose a bank, it’s critical to find the products, services, and rates that meet your needs. As you evaluate large national banks vs. local banks and credit unions, you may wonder if the size of an institution matters. To some degree, it does, but big banks and small banks can offer essential services like checking and savings accounts.

 

Here’s what to consider as you compare banks:

 

Convenience

Choose a bank that’s easy to work with on your terms. If you prefer to bank in-person, some institutions might have a better presence than others in your area.

 

Cost

Fees are often lower at small institutions, but that’s not always the case. Identify your banking needs and compare fees for the services you need.

 

Services

Small institutions can have a surprisingly large offering of products and services. But sometimes you need the horsepower of a megabank.


Community

Banking with a local institution helps to support your local economy, and it may make your banking experience easier. But there are always pros and cons.

 

Let’s explore the differences between big banks and local banks in more detail.

 

Megabanks Have a National Reach

 

Potential Convenience

Large national banks with household names dominate large cities, and they even reach into smaller markets. If you value in-person banking, a bank with branches nearby might be a decent option. They can offer one-stop shopping, allowing you to get multiple services from the same institution. For example, you might be able to use one login for your checking and savings accounts, credit cards, and loans.

Large banks that have a national reach include Bank of America, Capital One, Chase Bank, Wells Fargo, and many other large institutions.

 

Sometimes Frustrating

Big banks often have rigid systems and processes, which makes dealing with them difficult. If you need help from customer service, you may be forced to call a national toll-free number, even though you know and trust the local bankers. You may have to speak with relatively new hires or answer multiple fraud department questions just to open an account. Contrast that experience with a local bank, where the same person can handle everything for you in one sitting.

Costs Vary

Free checking is increasingly hard to find at megabanks. You can typically qualify for fee waivers by keeping sufficient cash in your account or setting up direct deposit, but genuinely free accounts are rare. You can occasionally find fee-free business checking at national banks, while local banks charge modest fees.

 

Local Banks Engage in the Community

Community banks and local credit unions are an excellent option for most banking needs. Just because they’re small doesn’t mean they can’t meet your needs. Some institutions limit their offerings, others outsource services, and some provide everything you need in-house.

 

Competitive Fees and Rates

Local banks are often a good bet for free checking accounts—the account you probably need most. Some offer standard free checking to everybody, while others waive fees if you just agree to receive electronic statements. They also compete with attractive rates on savings accounts and loans. Savings rates might still be higher at online banks, but there’s nothing to prevent you from having multiple accounts (online and local).

 

Local Knowledge

Because they’re engaged in local matters, local banks may make transactions easier. That’s particularly true if you need to borrow money. For example, megabanks might be unwilling to fund your local business, investment property, or agriculture loan, but local banks are accustomed to evaluating loans in your area.

 

Personal Service

For better or worse, local banks typically provide more personal service than big banks. It’s not uncommon to work with the same person over time. Bank staff can even learn about your needs and suggest bank products that may be helpful. You develop relationships and know what to expect and who to talk to when you have questions. At the same time, you lose the anonymity that comes with being a big bank customer. If you live in a particularly small town, you may prefer to keep a low profile.

 

Offerings Vary

While local banks and credit unions can offer everything from checking accounts to merchant accounts to wealth management, some institutions focus on basic consumer needs. If your favorite local bank doesn’t handle business accounts and you start freelancing, you’ll need to look elsewhere.

 

Community Involvement

Your banking needs to drive your choice of banks, but you may feel a sense of satisfaction when working with a local institution. Local banks and credit unions are part of the local economy, and they often give back. You’re likely to see a local institution’s logo at charity races and other events, signaling that they contributed money or other resources to help make the event a reality.

 

 

In class exercise

1: What is a key consideration when choosing between large national banks and local banks?

A) The color of the bank's logo

B) The number of branches nationwide

C) Finding products, services, and rates that meet your needs

Answer: C

Explanation: It's critical to find products, services, and rates that meet your needs when choosing a bank.

 

2: What can you look for in terms of convenience when comparing banks?

A) The bank's logo design

B) The presence of branches in your area

C) The bank's history and heritage

Answer: B

Explanation: If you value in-person banking, you might consider a bank with branches nearby for convenience.

 

3: What is a potential advantage of using a large national bank for banking services?

A) Smaller variety of services

B) One-stop shopping with multiple services under the same institution

C) Exclusive access to online banking features

Answer: B

Explanation: Large national banks can offer one-stop shopping, allowing you to access multiple services from the same institution.

 

4: Why might dealing with customer service at big banks be frustrating?

A) Local bankers are not well-trained

B) You can only communicate via email

C) Rigid systems and processes that make interactions difficult

Answer: C

Explanation: Big banks often have rigid systems and processes, making dealing with them difficult, even if you know and trust local bankers.

 

5: What is a distinguishing feature of local banks in terms of personal service?

A) They have extensive online services

B) They offer international banking options

C) They typically provide more personal service than big banks

Answer: C

Explanation: Local banks usually provide more personal service, and it's not uncommon to work with the same person over time.

 

6: What type of accounts are local banks often a good option for?

A) Investment accounts

B) Business checking accounts

C) Free checking accounts

Answer: C

Explanation: Local banks are often a good bet for free checking accounts, which are mentioned as an essential account.

 

7: What advantage do local banks have in terms of local knowledge?

A) They provide global financial advice

B) They have lower interest rates

C) They are engaged in local matters and understand local lending needs

Answer: C

Explanation: Local banks are accustomed to evaluating loans in your area, making transactions like local business, investment property, or agriculture loans easier.

 

8: Why might you lose anonymity when dealing with a local bank?

A) Because local banks require fingerprint authentication

B) Because local bank employees are nosy

C) Because you develop relationships and bank staff can learn about your needs

Answer: C

Explanation: Working with local banks may involve personal relationships and staff learning about your needs, which contrasts with the anonymity of big banks.

 

9: What can local banks and credit unions often offer in terms of competitive rates?

A) Higher rates on online savings accounts

B) Lower rates on loans

C) Competitive rates on savings accounts and loans

Answer: C

Explanation: Local banks compete with attractive rates on savings accounts and loans, although online banks might still offer higher savings rates.

 

10: What is a benefit of working with a local institution in terms of community involvement?

A) They offer more online banking features

B) They have lower fees

C) They contribute to local events and the economy

Answer: C

Explanation: Local banks often give back to the community by contributing money or resources to local events, demonstrating their involvement in the local economy.

 

Homework (Due with the first midterm exam around mid September)

 

Question 1: Too big too fail. What is your opinion on this statement? Should we worry about banks getting bigger and bigger? Why or why not?

Question 2: What are the pro and con for big banks? How can regional banks compete against mega banks?  

Question 3: What is your opinion on the application of AI in the banking industry?

Question 4: What is net interest margin? How much is the net interest margin of BAC as of June 2023?

Question 5: List Two significant banking regulations, along with their intended objectives.

·       For Glass Steagall Act: What is the Glass Steagall Act and how did it come about? - GreenLine

·       For Dodd Frank Act: What is Dodd Frank? (youtube)

 

Part III: Governmental Regulations on Banking Industry 

 

A Brief History of U.S. Banking Regulation 

By MATTHEW JOHNSTON

Reviewed by MICHAEL J BOYLE on July 30, 2021

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/011916/brief-history-us-banking-regulation.asp

 

Early Attempts at Regulation in Antebellum America

 

From the establishment of the First Bank of the United States in 1791 to the National Banking Act of 1863, banking regulation in America was an experimental mix of federal and state legislation. The regulation was motivated, on the one hand, by the need for increased centralized control to maintain stability in finance and, by extension, the overall economy. While on the other hand, it was motivated by the fear of too much control being concentrated in too few hands.

 

Despite bringing a relative degree of financial and economic stability, the First Bank of the United States was opposed to being unconstitutional, with many fearing that it relegated undue powers to the federal government. Consequently, its charter was not renewed in 1811. With the government turning to state banks to finance the War of 1812 and the significant over-expansion of credit that followed, it became increasingly apparent that financial order needed to be reinstated. In 1816, the Second Bank of the United States would receive a charter, but it too would later succumb to political fears over the amount of control it gave the federal government and was dissolved in 1836.

 

Not only at the federal level, but also at the level of state banking, obtaining an official legislative charter was highly political. Far from being granted on the basis of proven competence in financial matters, successful acquisition of a charter depended more on political affiliations, and bribing the legislature was commonplace. By the time of the dissolution of the Second Bank, there was a growing sense of a need to escape the politically corrupt nature of legislative chartering. A new era of “free banking” emerged with a number of states passing laws in 1837 that abolished the requirement to obtain an officially legislated charter to operate a bank. By 1860, a majority of states had issued such laws.

 

In this environment of free banking, anyone could operate a bank on the condition, among others, that all notes issued were back by proper security. While this condition served to reinforce the credibility of note issuance, it did not guarantee immediate redemption in specie (gold or silver), which would serve to be a crucial point. The era of free banking suffered from financial instability with several banking crises occurring, and it made for a disorderly currency characterized by thousands of different banknotes circulating at varying discount rates. It is this instability and disorder that would renew the call for more regulation and central oversight in the 1860s.

 

Increasing Regulation from the Civil War to the New Deal

 

The free banking era, characterized as it was by a complete lack of federal control and regulation, would come to an end with the National Banking Act of 1863 (and its later revisions in 1864 and 1865), which aimed to replace the old state banks with nationally chartered ones. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) was created to issue these new bank charters as well as oversee that national banks maintained the requirement to back all note issuance with holdings of U.S. government securities.

 

While the new national banking system helped return the country to a more uniform and secure currency that it had not experienced since the years of the First and Second Banks, it was ultimately at the expense of an elastic currency that could expand and contract according to commercial and industrial needs. The growing complexity of the U.S. economy highlighted the inadequacy of an inelastic currency, which led to frequent financial panics occurring throughout the rest of the nineteenth century.

 

With the occurrence of the bank panic of 1907, it had become apparent that America’s banking system was out of date. Further, a committee gathered in 1912 to examine the control of the nation’s banking and financial system. It found that the money and credit of the nation were becoming increasingly concentrated in the hands of relatively few men. Consequently, under the presidency of Woodrow Wilson, the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 was approved to wrest control of the nation’s finances from banks while at the same time creating a mechanism that would enable a more elastic currency and greater supervision over the nation’s banking infrastructure.

 

Although the newly established Federal Reserve helped to improve the nation’s payments system and created a more flexible currency, it's a misunderstanding of the financial crisis following the 1929 stock market crash served to roil the nation in a severe economic crisis that would come to be known as the Great Depression. The Depression would lead to even more banking regulation instituted by President Franklin D. Roosevelt as part of the provisions under the New Deal. The Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 created the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), which implemented regulation of deposit interest rates, and separated commercial from investment banking. The Banking Act of 1935 served to strengthen and give the Federal Reserve more centralized power.

 

1980s Deregulation and Post-Crisis Re-Regulation

 

The period following the New Deal banking reforms up until around 1980 experienced a relative degree of banking stability and economic expansion. Still, it has been recognized that the regulation has also served to make American banks far less innovative and competitive than they had previously been. The heavily regulated commercial banks had been losing increasing market share to less-regulated and innovative financial institutions. For this reason, a wave of deregulation occurred throughout the last two decades of the twentieth century.

 

In 1980, Congress passed the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act, which served to deregulate financial institutions that accept deposits while strengthening the Federal Reserve’s control over monetary policy. Restrictions on the opening of bank branches in different states that had been in place since the McFadden Act of 1927 were removed under the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994. Finally, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 repealed significant aspects of the Glass-Steagall Act as well as the Bank Holding Act of 1956, both of which had served to sever investment banking and insurance services from commercial banking. From 1999 onwards, a bank could now offer commercial banking, securities, and insurance services under one roof.

 

All of this deregulation helped to accelerate a trend towards increasing the complexity of banking organizations as they moved to greater consolidation and conglomeration. Financial institution mergers increased with the total number of banking organizations consolidating to under 8000 in 2008 from a previous peak of nearly 15,000 in the early 1980s. While banks have gotten bigger, the conglomeration of different financial services under one organization has also served to increase the complexity of those services. Banks began offering new financial products like derivatives and began packaging traditional financial assets like mortgages together through a process of securitization.

 

At the same time that these new financial innovations were being praised for their ability to diversify risk, the sub-prime mortgage crisis of 2007 that transformed into a global financial crisis and the need for the bailout of U.S. banks that had become “too big to fail” has caused the government to rethink the financial regulatory framework. In response to the crisis, the Obama administration passed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act in 2010, aimed at many of the apparent weaknesses within the U.S. financial system. It may take some time to see how these new regulations affect the nature of banking within the U.S.

 

The Bottom Line

 

In antebellum America, numerous attempts at increased centralized control and regulation of the banking system were tried, but fears of concentrated power and political corruption served to undermine such attempts. Nevertheless, as the banking system grew, the need for ever-increasing regulation and centralized control, led to the creation of a nationalized banking system during the Civil War, the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, and the New Deal reforms under Roosevelt. While the increased regulation led to a period of financial stability, commercial banks began losing business to more innovative financial institutions, necessitating a call for deregulation. Once again, the deregulated banking system evolved to exhibit even greater complexities and precipitated the most severe economic crisis since the Great Depression. Dodd-Frank was the response, but if history is any guide, the story is far from over, or perhaps, the pendulum will continue to swing.

 

Summary based on the above article:

The evolution of banking regulation in America can be divided into distinct phases, each driven by specific economic needs and concerns.

·       Antebellum America (1791-1860s): During this period, attempts were made to regulate banking at both federal and state levels. The First Bank of the United States (1791) brought some stability but was challenged as unconstitutional and not renewed. The Second Bank of the United States (1816) faced similar opposition and dissolved in 1836. State-level banking was highly political, often granted based on affiliations, leading to corruption. The era ended with a move towards "free banking" in the 1830s-1860s, which resulted in disorderly currency and financial instability.

·       Civil War to New Deal (1860s-1930s): The National Banking Act of 1863 established a nationalized banking system with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency overseeing national banks. While it provided stability, the inelastic currency led to financial panics. The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 aimed to create an elastic currency and greater financial oversight. The Great Depression prompted more regulation under the New Deal, including the Glass-Steagall Act (1933) separating banking activities and the Banking Act (1935) strengthening the Federal Reserve.

·       1980s Deregulation and Post-Crisis Re-Regulation: Banking stability and expansion followed New Deal reforms until the late 20th century. Deregulation occurred in the 1980s, removing barriers and allowing innovation. Acts like the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act (1980) and the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (1999) aimed to increase competitiveness by permitting expanded services. Complex financial products emerged, contributing to the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007.

·       Post-Crisis (2010s): The 2007 financial crisis led to a reevaluation of regulation. The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (2010) aimed to address weaknesses in the financial system, enhance transparency, and prevent "too big to fail" situations.

Throughout history, the system swung between increased regulation for stability and periods of deregulation to encourage innovation. Each phase responded to economic and systemic challenges, shaping the trajectory of American banking and financial systems.

 

 

 

In class Exercise

1: Which act aimed to replace state banks with nationally chartered ones and established the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC)?

A. Glass-Steagall Act

B. National Banking Act

C. Dodd-Frank Act

Answer: B

 

2: What act, passed in 1913, created the Federal Reserve and aimed to enable a more flexible currency?

A. Federal Reserve Act

B. Glass-Steagall Act

C. Dodd-Frank Act

Answer: A

 

3: Which act, passed in response to the 2007 financial crisis, aimed to address weaknesses in the U.S. financial system?

A. Dodd-Frank Act

B. Glass-Steagall Act

C. Banking Reform Act

Answer: A

 

4: What act of 1999 repealed parts of the Glass-Steagall Act and allowed banks to offer various financial services under one roof?

A. Dodd-Frank Act

B. Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act

C. Depository Institutions Deregulation Act

Answer: B

 

 

5: Which act of 1980 served to deregulate financial institutions accepting deposits and strengthened the Federal Reserve's control over monetary policy?

A. Glass-Steagall Act

B. Dodd-Frank Act

C. Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act

Answer: C

 

 

6: What act of 1994 removed restrictions on the opening of bank branches in different states?

A. Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act

B. Glass-Steagall Act

C. Dodd-Frank Act

Answer: A

 

 

7: Which act of 1933 established the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and separated commercial from investment banking?

A. Glass-Steagall Act

B. Dodd-Frank Act

C. Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act

Answer: A

 

8: Which act of 1999 allowed banks to offer commercial banking, securities, and insurance services under one roof?

A. Dodd-Frank Act

B. Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act

C. Glass-Steagall Act

Answer: B

 

 

 

Why Are Banks Regulated? (FYI)

January 30, 2017 By  Julie L Stackhouse https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2017/january/why-federal-reserve-regulate-banks

 

 

This post is the first in a series titled Supervising Our Nations Financial Institutions. Supervising Our Nations Financial Institutions The series, written by Julie Stackhouse, executive vice president and officer-in-charge of supervision at the St. Louis Federal Reserve, is expected to appear at least once each month throughout 2017.

 

The topic of financial deregulation is once again generating news stories. It raises a foundational question: Why is the U.S. banking system so heavily regulated?

 

Banking regulation has existed in some form since the chartering of banks and its goals have evolved over time. Today, banking regulation serves four main purposes.

 

Financial Stability

Instability in the financial system can have material ripple effects into other parts of the domestic and international financial sectors. Supervision that is focused on financial stability (often called macro-prudential supervision) looks at trends and analyzes the likelihood for financial contagion and the possible impacts across firms that pose systemic risks.

 

Protection of the Federal Deposit Insurance Fund

Since Jan. 1, 1934, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. has insured the deposits held in U.S. banks up to a defined amount (currently $250,000 per depositor per bank). The federal government serves as a backstop to the insurance fund.

 

In exchange for this insurance guarantee, banks pay an insurance premium and are also subject to safety and soundness examinations by state and/or federal regulators. Oversight of individual financial institutions by banking regulators is called micro-prudential supervision.

 

While the insurance fund protects depositors, it does not protect shareholders of banks. When inappropriate risks are taken and prove unsuccessful, banks will fail and be liquidated.

 

Consumer Protection

Since the creation of the Federal Trade Commission in 1914, the federal government has had a formal obligation to protect consumers across industries. Since that time, numerous laws and regulations have been crafted by various agencies to protect bank customers and promote fair and equal access to credit.

 

Banks conduct financial transactions with consumers either directly (lending to consumers and taking consumer deposits) or indirectly (through financial technology on the front end, for example). Banking regulators enforce consumer protection regulations by conducting comprehensive reviews of bank lending and deposit operations and investigating consumer complaints.

 

Competition

A competitive banking system is a healthy banking system. Banking regulators actively monitor U.S. banking markets for competitiveness and can deny bank mergers that would negatively affect the availability and pricing of banking services.

 

Although fewer than 40 banks account for more than 70 percent of all U.S. banking assets, as shown in the table below, there are nearly 6,000 institutions of all sizes operating in communities across the country.

 

Untitled-modified.png 

 

 

 

What is the Glass Steagall Act and how did it come about? - GreenLine 401k (Youtube)

 

In class exercise:

1: What caused the significant increase in stock prices by around 400% in just four years during the 1920s?

A) Government regulations

B) Heavy borrowing from banks

C) Reduced taxes

Answer: B

Explanation: People were buying stocks using borrowed money from banks, which contributed to the substantial increase in stock prices during the 1920s.

 

2: Which event is associated with the devastating crash on October 29, 1929, which marked the beginning of the Great Depression?

A) Black Tuesday

B) Roaring Twenties

C) The Glass-Steagall Act

Answer: A

Explanation: Black Tuesday refers to the day of the stock market crash on October 29, 1929, which played a significant role in initiating the Great Depression.

 

3: What was the purpose of the Glass-Steagall Act proposed by Congress members Glass and Steagall?

A) To encourage borrowing for stock investments

B) To separate banking activities from stock market speculation

C) To increase taxes on stock transactions

Answer: B

Explanation: The Glass-Steagall Act aimed to separate banking functions from stock market operations, limiting banks to traditional banking activities and preventing speculation.

 

4: What did the Glass-Steagall Act aim to restrict banks from engaging in?

A) Traditional banking activities

B) Stock market activities

C) Tax reduction

Answer: B

Explanation: The Glass-Steagall Act restricted banks from engaging in stock market activities and speculation, focusing solely on traditional banking functions.

 

5: When did the Glass-Steagall Act get repealed?

A) During the Roaring Twenties

B) In 1999

C) In the 1970s

Answer: B

Explanation: The Glass-Steagall Act was repealed in 1999, long after the Great Depression, allowing banks and Wall Street to engage in joint activities.

 

6: What is the main concern associated with the alliance between banking and speculation after the Glass-Steagall Act's repeal?

A) Increased government regulation

B) Economic volatility and risk

C) Reduced stock market activity

Answer: B

Explanation: The alliance between banking and speculation is believed to have heightened economic volatility and risk, impacting the stability of the economy.

 

 

What is Dodd Frank? (youtube)

 

In class exercise

1: Who are the two individuals after whom the Dodd-Frank Act is named?

A) John Smith and Jane Doe

B) Christopher J. Dodd and Barney Frank

C) Michael Johnson and Sarah Thompson

Answer: B

Explanation: The Dodd-Frank Act is named after U.S. Senator Christopher J. Dodd and U.S. Representative Barney Frank, who played key roles in its creation and passage.

 

2: Which government agencies were established by the Dodd-Frank Act?

A) Environmental Protection Agency and Federal Reserve

B) Financial Stability Oversight Council and Orderly Liquidation Authority

C) Department of Homeland Security and Federal Trade Commission

Answer: B

Explanation: The Dodd-Frank Act established the Financial Stability Oversight Council and the Orderly Liquidation Authority as new government agencies to monitor and regulate aspects of the financial system.

 

3: What is the main goal of the Dodd-Frank Act?

A) To increase risk in the financial system

B) To lower risk in various parts of the U.S. financial system

C) To dismantle government agencies

Answer: B

Explanation: The main purpose of the Dodd-Frank Act is to lower risk in different areas of the U.S. financial system through regulatory measures and oversight.

 

4: What is the significance of the term "too big to fail"?

A) It refers to companies that are too small to impact the economy

B) It describes companies that can be easily managed in case of financial distress

C) It denotes companies whose failure could have severe systemic consequences

Answer: C

Explanation: "Too big to fail" refers to companies that are considered so large and interconnected that their failure could have severe and widespread consequences throughout the financial system.

 

 

 

Part IV – AI in the Banking Sector

 

A.I. will disrupt the whole financial industry, including hedge funds: EMJ Capital's Eric Jackson (cnbc)

 

Big banks are talking up generative A.I. — but the risks mean they’re not diving in headfirst

PUBLISHED MON, JUN 12 20237:48 PM EDT Ryan Browne   MacKenzie Sigalos

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/13/banks-are-talking-up-ai-amid-chatgpt-buzz-but-keeping-its-use-limited.html

 

 

KEY POINTS

·       Many terms and phrases were used by top banking and fintech executives to describe generative AI at Money 20/20 in Amsterdam this week, from “mind boggling” to an “explosion of innovation.”

·   Generative AI, which generates content in response to user prompts, can be used to automate complex processes in banking.

·   However, the technology is still in its early days, and many banks cautioned that it may be too risky to implement it in areas that touch consumers.

 

AMSTERDAM, Netherlands — Major banks and fintech companies claim to be piling into generative artificial intelligence as the hype surrounding the buzzy technology shows no signs of fizzling out — but there are lingering fears about potential pitfalls and risks.

 

At the Money 20/20 fintech conference in Amsterdam, Netherlands, executives at large lenders and online finance firms sang the praises of generative AI, calling it an “explosion of innovation,” and saying it will “unleash innovation in areas that we can’t even think about.”

 

Chalapathy Neti, head of AI at global bank messaging network Swift, described the progress made with ChatGPT and GPT-4 as “mind-boggling.” He added, “This is truly a transformative moment.”

 

But in the short term, banks are scrambling to figure out the use cases.

 

The Netherlands’ ABN Amro is one banking giant that’s piloting the use of generative AI in its processes.

 

Annerie Vreugdenhil, chief commercial officer of ABN Amro’s personal and business banking division, revealed on a panel that it is using the technology to automatically summarize conversations between bank staff and customers. It’s also using it to help its employees gather data on customers to assist with answering queries and avoid repetitive questions.

 

The bank is now in the process of scaling these pilots to 200 employees and is exploring a number of new pilots to start this summer.

 

In a closed-door session on the application of AI in financial services, meanwhile, two banking executives explained how they’re using the technology to improve their internal code and analyze how their clients are behaving.

 

“We are experimenting at this stage and we don’t have necessarily anything client facing but we are using the [tech the] same as other companies, for example, code refactoring, comms calls, the other way around,” said Mariana Gomez de la Villa, an executive at ING Bank specializing in strategy and innovation.

 

Indeed, the banks appeared unanimous in their hesitation to roll out ChatGPT-like tools to customer-facing scenarios.

 

Jon Ander Beracoechea Alava, advanced analytics discipline head at Spanish bank BBVA, said that the lender had taken a “conservative approach” to AI, adding that, at this stage, generative AI is “still early” and “immature.”

 

A crucial issue is that advanced AI systems require the processing of huge volumes of data — a sensitive commodity wrapped up in all kinds of rules and regulations. As such, Alava said that at this stage it was too “risky” to involve sensitive information from customers.

 

Generative A.I., explained

Generative AI is a specific form of AI that is able to produce content from scratch. The systems take inputs from the user and feed them into powerful algorithms fueled by large datasets to generate new text, images and video in a way that’s more humanlike than most AI tools already on the market.

 

The technology was thrust into the spotlight following the success of OpenAI’s GPT language processing technology. ChatGPT, which uses massive language models to create human-sounding responses to questions, has ignited an arms race among some companies over what is seen as the next “paradigm shift” in tech.

 

In March, Goldman Sachs’ chief information officer, Marco Argenti, told CNBC the bank is experimenting with generative AI tools internally to help its developers automatically generate and test code.

 

More recently, in May, Goldman spun off the first startup from the bank’s internal incubator — an AI-powered social media company for corporate use called Louisa. The push into AI is part of a larger effort by CEO David Solomon to expedite the bank’s digital makeover.

 

Morgan Stanley, meanwhile, is using it to inform its financial advisors on queries they may have. The bank has been testing an OpenAI-powered chatbot with 300 advisors so far, with a view to ultimately aid its roughly 16,000 advisors in making use of Morgan Stanley’s repository of research and data, according to Jeff McMillan, head of analytics and data at the firm’s wealth management division.

 

A.I. ‘co-pilot’

These are just some examples of how financial firms are using AI, but more as a digital helper than as a core part of their services.

 

Gudmundur Kristjansson, CEO and co-founder of Icelandic regulatory technology firm Lucinity, showed CNBC how artificial intelligence can be used to assist with a key area in finance: fighting crime.

 

An AI tool the company created, called Luci, aims to help compliance professionals with their investigations. In a live demonstration, Kristjansson showed himself looking into a money laundering case. The AI tool analyzed the case and described what it saw and then completed an independent review.

 

In this use case, the AI acts as more of a resource — or “copilot” — to help an employee find data and flesh out a case rather than replace the role of a person looking into reports of suspicious activity.

 

“Where you find money laundering is through ... interconnected networks of people who are basically employed to do it. That’s why it’s so hard to find it. Banks spent this year $274 billion on prevention,” Kristjansson told CNBC in an interview.

 

He said where Luci helps is by vastly reducing the amount of time spent trying to work out whether something is fraud or money laundering.

 

The whole appeal of AI to the big banks and fintechs, Money 20/20 attendees said, is the potential reduction in the time and money it takes to complete tasks that can take human employees days.

 

Niklas Guske, chief operating officer at Taktile, a startup that helps fintechs automate decision-making, acknowledged that the use of AI is challenging in the financial sector, given the lack of publicly available data.

 

But he stressed that it could be a “crucial” tool to reduce the companies’ operational expenses and improve efficiency.

 

In many fintech applications, this is done through an increase in automation and reducing manual processes, especially in onboarding and underwriting,” he told CNBC.

 

“This automation is truly enabled through access to more data sources, which empower lenders to gain new insights and identify the right customers without having to parse through dozens of PDFs for the right piece of information.”

 

— CNBC’s Hugh Son contributed reporting

 

In class exercise

1: What is "generative AI"?

A) AI that generates content from user inputs.

B) AI that talks to customers.

C) AI that predicts stock market trends.

Answer: A

 

2: Why are banks careful about using generative AI with customers?

A) Because it's too expensive.

B) Because it might involve private customer data.

C) Because it's not allowed by regulations.

Answer: B

 

3: How does ABN Amro use generative AI?

A) To predict the weather.

B) To summarize conversations between staff and customers.

C) To make coffee.

Answer: B

 

4: How is generative AI used as a "co-pilot"?

A) It flies planes.

B) It helps employees with their work.

C) It replaces human employees.

Answer: B

 

5: Why do banks like using AI?

A) It helps them play video games.

B) It saves time and money on tasks.

C) It makes customers happy all the time.

Answer: B

 

 

Fed banking regulator warns A.I. could lead to illegal lending practices like excluding minorities

PUBLISHED TUE, JUL 18 202310:00 AM EDTUPDATED TUE, JUL 18 202311:32 AM EDT

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/18/fed-banking-regulator-warns-ai-could-lead-to-illegal-lending-practices-like-excluding-minorities.html

Jeff Cox

 

KEY POINTS

·       Michael S. Barr, the Fed’s vice chair for supervision, said AI technology has the potential to get credit to “people who otherwise can’t access it.”

·       “While these technologies have enormous potential, they also carry risks of violating fair lending laws and perpetuating the very disparities that they have the potential to address,” he added.

 

Michael Barr, vice chair for supervision of the board of governors of the Federal Reserve, testifies during a House Committee on Financial Services hearing on Oversight of Prudential Regulators, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on May 16, 2023.

 

The Federal Reserve’s top banking regulator expressed caution Tuesday about the impact that artificial intelligence can have on efforts to make sure underserved communities have fair access to housing.

 

Michael S. Barr, the Fed’s vice chair for supervision, said AI technology has the potential to get credit to “people who otherwise can’t access it.”

 

However, he noted that it also can be used for nefarious means, specifically to exclude certain communities from housing opportunities through a process traditionally called “redlining.”

 

“While these technologies have enormous potential, they also carry risks of violating fair lending laws and perpetuating the very disparities that they have the potential to address,” Barr said in prepared remarks for the National Fair Housing Alliance.

 

As an example, he said AI can be manipulated to perform “digital redlining,” which can result in majority-minority communities being denied access to credit and housing opportunities. “Reverse redlining,” by contrast, happens when “more expensive or otherwise inferior products” in lending are pushed to minority areas.

 

Barr said work being done by the Fed and other regulators on the Community Reinvestment Act will be focused on making sure underserved communities have equal access to credit.  money o

 

In Class Exercise

1: What does Michael S. Barr say about the impact of AI on underserved communities and housing?

A. AI can only help expand credit access.

B. AI can expand credit access and also be misused to exclude communities.

C. AI has no effect on fair access to housing.

Answer: B

 

2: What is "digital redlining"?

A. Targeting minority communities for housing.

B. Positive impact of AI on lending.

C. Denying credit using AI to certain communities.

Answer: C

 

3: What's the focus of the work on the Community Reinvestment Act?

A. Excluding communities from credit.

B. Making sure AI is always positive.

C. Ensuring equal credit access for underserved areas.

Answer: C

 

 

PART V: What is Net Interest Margin?

Investors must assess banks' net interest margins in wake of SVB fallout, says investment director (youtube)

 

Calculating Net Interest Margin

 

 

Net Interest Margin and Retail Banking

Most retail banks offer interest on customer deposits, which generally hovers around 1% annually. If such a bank marshaled together the deposits of five customers and used those proceeds to issue a loan to a small business, with an annual interest rate of 5%, the 4% margin between these two amounts is considered the net interest spread. Looking one step further, the net interest margin calculates that ratio over the bank's entire asset base.

 

Let's assume a bank has earning assets of $1.2 million, $1 million in deposits with a 1% annual interest to depositors, and loans out $900,000 at an interest of 5%. This means its investment returns total $45,000, and its interest expenses are $10,000. Using the aforementioned formula, the bank's net interest margin is 2.92%. With its NIM squarely in positive territory, investors may wish to strongly consider investing in this firm.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/netinterestmargin.asp#:~:text=Simply%20put%3A%20a%20positive%20net,assets%20towards%20more%20profitable%20investments.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1046318/net-interest-margin-wells-fargo/

 

 

Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Net Interest Margin (Bank Only) % 

: 2.51% (As of Jun. 2023)

Net Interest Margin (Bank Only) % is a measure of the difference between the interest income generated by banks or other financial institutions and the amount of interest paid out to their lenders (for example, deposits), relative to the amount of their interest-earning assets. It is usually calculated as a percentage of what the financial institution earns on loans in a time period and other assets minus the interest paid on borrowed funds divided by the average amount of the assets on which it earned income in that time period (the average earning assets).

GuruFocus calculates Net Interest Margin (Bank Only) % as Net Interest Income (for Banks) divided by its average earning assets. Bank of America's annualized Net Interest Income (for Banks) for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2023 was $56,632 Mil. Bank of America's average earning assets for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2023 was $2,259,327 Mil. Therefore, Bank of America's annualized Net Interest Margin (Bank Only) % for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2023 was 2.51%.

 

https://www.gurufocus.com/term/NetInterestMargin/BAC/Net-Interest-Margin-(Bank-Only)-Percentage/Bank-of-America

 

Part VI – Investment Banking (FYI)

 

Largest full-service investment banks

The following are the largest full-service global investment banks; full-service investment banks usually provide both advisory and financing banking services, as well as sales, market making, and research on a broad array of financial products, including equitiescreditratescurrencycommodities, and their derivatives. The largest investment banks are noted with the following:[3][4]

1.     United States JPMorgan Chase

2.     United States Goldman Sachs

3.     United States BofA Securities

4.     United States Morgan Stanley

5.     United States Citigroup

6.     Switzerland UBS

7.     Germany Deutsche Bank

8.     United Kingdom HSBC

9.     United Kingdom Barclays

10.  Canada RBC Capital Markets

11.  United States Wells Fargo Securities

12.  United States Jefferies Group

13.  France BNP Paribas

14.  Japan Mizuho

15.  United States Lazard

16.  Japan Nomura

17.  United States Evercore Partners

18.  Canada BMO Capital Markets

19.  Japan Mitsubishi UFJ Financial G

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_investment_banks

 

 

 

Investment Banking Explained in 5 minutes

 

In class exercise (based on the above video)

1. What are the two main services investment banking provides?

a) Research and Trading

b) Advisory (M&A) and Financing (Underwriting)

c) Asset Management and Wealth Advisory

Answer: b

 

2. What does IPO stand for?

a) Initial Public Offering

b) Investment Profit Opportunity

c) International Portfolio Option

Answer: a

 

3. What role does an investment bank play in an IPO?

a) Buying shares from the company

b) Buying shares from investors

c) Connecting company with investors

Answer: c

 

4. What is "bulge bracket" in investment banking?

a) Boutique advisory firms

b) Top-tier, major investment banks

c) Independent financial consultants

Answer: b

 

5. What led to increased investment banking profits recently?

a) Decline in financial activities

b) Growth of boutique banks

c) Rise in mergers and acquisitions

Answer: c

 

6. What division handles stock trades in an investment bank?

a) Asset Management

b) Sales and Trading

c) Research

Answer: b

 

7. How did investment banks address junior staff burnout concerns?

a) Reduced salaries for juniors

b) Increased base salary for juniors

c) Eliminated bonuses for juniors

Answer: b

 

8. What regulation was enacted after the 2007 financial crisis?

a) Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act

b) Investment Banking Profit Act

c) Financial Deregulation Act

Answer: a

 

9. What is the main revenue source for investment banks in IPOs?

a) Advisory fees

b) Stock trading profits

c) Underwriting fees

Answer: c

 

10. What is the purpose of an Initial Public Offering (IPO)?

a) To buy shares from investors

b) To sell shares to the public for the first time

c) To trade shares between investment banks

Answer: b

 

11, What role does an investment bank play in mergers and acquisitions (M&A)?

a) They sell products to consumers

b) They advise companies on buying or selling businesses

c) They provide legal services for companies

Answer: b

 

VyStar Credit Union: After the outage (FYI only)

By Mike Mendenhall | 12:00 a.m. October 7, 2022

https://www.jaxdailyrecord.com/news/2022/oct/07/vystar-credit-union-after-the-outage/

 

1: What was the purpose of VyStar Credit Union's system upgrade in the summer of 2022?

A) To enhance cybersecurity

B) To introduce new fees

C) To improve digital banking products

Answer: C

Explanation: VyStar Credit Union conducted a system upgrade in the summer of 2022 with the goal of enhancing their digital banking products.

 

2: What caused VyStar's online banking outage to last more than a month?

A) Technical glitches during the upgrade

B) Hacking by cybercriminals

C) Extended testing period

Answer: A

Explanation: The online banking outage at VyStar Credit Union lasted over a month due to technical glitches that occurred during the system upgrade process.

 

3: How did VyStar respond to the challenges faced during the online banking outage?

A) They ignored the issues and focused on other matters

B) They acknowledged the problems and worked to resolve them

C) They blamed their customers for the issues

Answer: B

Explanation: VyStar Credit Union acknowledged the challenges faced during the online banking outage and worked to resolve the issues for their customers.

 

4: What effect did the online banking outage have on VyStar's membership?

A) Increased membership growth

B) No change in membership numbers

C) Slowdown in new memberships and increase in closed memberships

Answer: C

 

5: Besides Georgia, where else did VyStar Credit Union expand its branch network in recent years?

A) California

B) Florida Peninsula and the Panhandle

C) Midwest 

Answer: B

 

6: What other regions does VyStar Credit Union consider for potential future expansion?

A) Alaska and Hawaii

B) Alabama, Tennessee, and the Carolinas

C) Western Europe

Answer: B

 

7: What is VyStar Credit Union's outlook on their partnership with Nymbus Inc.?

A) They regret their choice and are ending the partnership

B) They are dissatisfied and considering other vendors

C) They believe they made the right choice and plan to continue the partnership

Answer: C

Explanation: VyStar Credit Union believes they made the right choice by partnering with Nymbus Inc. and plan to continue their partnership, despite the challenges they faced during the online banking outage.

Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy

 

Ppt Fed Introduction  (chapters 15, 16)

Ppt Fed Monetary Policy (chapter 18)

 

Content:

·      Part 1: Fed Structure

·      Part 2: Reserve Banks

·      Part 3: Monetary Policy

·      Part 4: Fed Funds Rate

·      Part 5: Interest rate and Inflation

·      Part 6: Open market operation

·      Part 7: Quantitative Easing (QE)

 

 

 

Part I - Fed Structure

 

The Federal Reserve System | The Fed Explained (youtube)

 

For discussion:

1.     What is FOMC? How many members? How many time does FOMC meet? What is determined at FOMC meeting?

2.     What is reserve bank? For our area, where is the reserve bank located?

3.     What is board of governor? How many members? Who is the chair?

 

Summary of the video:

·       The Federal Reserve, America's decentralized central bank, comprises three key components: the Board of Governors, the Reserve Banks, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

·       The Board of Governors in Washington, consisting of seven members, oversees the entire system and manages monetary policy and financial stability.

·       The 12 regional Reserve Banks, reflecting diverse regional perspectives, play a vital role in their local economies and are guided by boards with a mix of bank representatives and residents.

·       The FOMC, including select Board of Governors members and Reserve Bank presidents, sets monetary policy, with only some members having voting power.

·       The Federal Reserve maintains its independence from political pressures, as Board of Governors members serve long terms and funding comes from sources independent of the government's budget. This independence allows the Fed to focus on the long-term health of the U.S. economy, free from short-term political considerations.

 

In class exercise

1. What are the three main components of the Federal Reserve?

a) Board of Governors, Treasury Department, Federal Open Market Committee

b) Reserve Banks, Commercial Banks, Savings and Loans

c) Board of Governors, Reserve Banks, Federal Open Market Committee

Answer: c

Explanation: The Federal Reserve is composed of the Board of Governors, 12 Reserve Banks, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

 

2. The Board of Governors is responsible for:

a) Managing individual bank accounts

b) Overseeing the reserve banks

c) Setting monetary policy

Answer: c

Explanation: The Board of Governors plays a key role in setting monetary policy and ensuring the stability of the financial system.

 

3. What is the primary goal of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy?

a) Maximizing government revenue

b) Achieving low and stable inflation

c) Promoting higher interest rates

Answer: b

Explanation: The Federal Reserve aims to maintain low and stable inflation to support a healthy economy.

 

4. Which committee makes decisions about interest rates and monetary policy?

a) Board of Governors

b) Reserve Banks

c) Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

Answer: c

Explanation: The FOMC is responsible for making decisions related to interest rates and monetary policy.

 

5. The main reason the Federal Reserve was established was to:

a) Manage government spending

b) Prevent bank failures and panics

c) Control inflation

Answer: b

Explanation: The Federal Reserve was created to prevent bank failures and financial panics by providing emergency cash reserves.

 

6. What is the role of the reserve banks in the Federal Reserve System?

a) Setting fiscal policy

b) Providing financial services, contributing to monetary policy, and supervising banks

c) Issuing currency and coins

Answer: b

Explanation: Reserve banks have these key responsibilities within the Federal Reserve System.

 

7. What is the main goal of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tools?

a) Maximizing government revenue

b) Promoting economic growth through high inflation

c) Influencing interest rates and the economy

Answer: c

Explanation: The Federal Reserve uses monetary policy tools to control interest rates and achieve economic goals.

 

8. Who appoints the members of the Board of Governors?

a) The U.S. Senate

b) The President of the United States

c) The Federal Open Market Committee

Answer: b

Explanation: The President appoints the members of the Board of Governors, subject to Senate confirmation.

 

9. What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) responsible for?

a) Providing financial services to banks

b) Conducting bank examinations

c) Making decisions about monetary policy

Answer: c

Explanation: The FOMC sets monetary policy, including interest rates and money supply.

 

10. What is one way the Federal Reserve helps banks during crises?

a) Providing free advertising

b) Offering short-term loans through the discount window

c) Bailing out troubled banks with taxpayer money

Answer: b

Explanation: The Federal Reserve lends money to banks through the discount window to address liquidity issues during crises.

 

11. How often does the FOMC typically meet to discuss the economy and monetary policy?

a) Once a month

b) Once a year

c) Every 10 years

Answer: a

Explanation: The FOMC meets approximately eight times a year to review economic conditions and set monetary policy.

 

12. What is the primary goal of the Federal Reserve's involvement in monetary policy?

a) Maximizing corporate profits

b) Maintaining high unemployment

c) Promoting maximum employment and stable prices

Answer: c

Explanation: The Federal Reserve aims to achieve both maximum employment and price stability through its monetary policy actions.

 

13. What entity helps maintain regional independence within the Federal Reserve System?

a) U.S. Treasury Department

b) Board of Governors

c) Reserve Banks

Answer: c

Explanation: Reserve Banks contribute to regional independence while still being part of the broader Federal Reserve System.

 

14. Why did Congress create the Federal Reserve in 1913?

a) To regulate international trade

b) To establish a national currency

c) To address bank failures and financial panics

Answer: c

Explanation: One of the main reasons for creating the Federal Reserve was to prevent bank failures and financial panics.

 

15. What is the FOMC's primary tool for influencing short-term interest rates?

a) Printing more currency

b) Setting income tax rates

c) Open market operations

Answer: c

Explanation: The FOMC influences short-term interest rates through buying or selling government securities in the open market.

 

16. How many members are there in the Board of Governors?

a) 5 members

b) 9 members

c) 7 members

Answer: c

Explanation: The Board of Governors consists of 7 members who are appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate.

 

17. What is the FOMC's role in setting interest rates?

a) It follows the lead of foreign central banks

b) It provides investment advice to the public

c) It sets the target range for the federal funds rate

Answer: c

Explanation: The FOMC determines the target range for the federal funds rate, influencing other interest rates in the economy.

 

image029.jpg

 

Segment 102: Structure of Federal Reserve (video) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJ-AX6PSPXw

 

In class exercise

 

1. How long is the term of office for a member of the Board of Governors?

a) 4 years

b) 10 years

c) 14 years

Answer: c

 

2. How many Reserve Bank presidents are voting members of the FOMC at any one time?

a) 3

b) 5

c) 7

Answer: b

Explanation: At any one time, five Reserve Bank presidents are voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

 

3. How does each Reserve Bank reflect the diversity of the country?

a) By having a uniform structure

b) By mirroring the largest banks

c) By representing regional economies and perspectives

Answer: c

Explanation: Each Reserve Bank reflects the diversity of the country by representing regional economies and perspectives.

 

4. What is the primary source of funding for the Federal Reserve?

a) Government grants

b) Interest earned on government securities and service fees

c) Donations from private corporations

Answer: b

Explanation: The primary sources of funding for the Federal Reserve are interest earned on government securities and service fees.

 

5. How are the Reserve Bank directors chosen?

a) Appointed by Congress

b) Elected by citizens

c) Elected by member banks and appointed by the Board of Governors

Answer: c

Explanation: Reserve Bank directors are elected by member banks and appointed by the Board of Governors.

 

6. How many Reserve Banks are there in the Federal Reserve System?

a) 5

b) 10

c) 12

Answer: c

Explanation: There are 12 Reserve Banks in the Federal Reserve System.

 

7. Which entity ensures that the Federal Reserve remains independent from political pressures?

a) Congress

b) The President

c) Long-term appointments and funding structure

Answer: c

Explanation: The Federal Reserve remains independent from political pressures through long-term appointments and a funding structure that's not tied to political budgeting.

 

8. Which Reserve Bank president is always a voting member of the FOMC?

a) The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York

b) The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

c) The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Answer: a

Explanation: The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is always a voting member of the FOMC.

 

9. What are the main responsibilities of the Reserve Banks?

a) Setting interest rates, collecting taxes, providing health care services

b) Conducting monetary policy, providing financial services, supervising banks

c) Regulating international trade, printing currency, enforcing immigration laws

Answer: b

Explanation: The main responsibilities of the Reserve Banks include conducting monetary policy, providing financial services, and supervising banks.

 

10. Why is the diversity of the 12 regional Reserve Banks considered a strength?

a) It allows them to compete with each other

b) It ensures uniformity in decision-making

c) It helps them understand and serve different regional needs

Answer: c

Explanation: The diversity of the 12 regional Reserve Banks is considered a strength because it helps them understand and serve different regional needs.

 

 

Part II: FRB – Federal Reserve Banks 

 

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta https://www.atlantafed.org/

 

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's Boardroom Video (youtube)

 

2021 Commencement Keynote: Raphael Bostic President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (youtube, fyi)

 

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta – Jacksonville regional office

https://www.atlantafed.org/rein/jacksonville

 

ATLANTA FED GOES TO THE GRASSROOTS: OBSERVING WHAT'S HAPPENING IN THE ECONOMY – Jacksonville (video)

 

 

 

 

Part III: Monetary Policy

 

ppt

 

Monetary Policy and the Fed- EconMovies #9: Despicable Me YouTube

 

In class exercise:

 

1: What is the central goal of monetary policy?

a) To regulate inflation in the short term

b) To manipulate currency exchange rates

c) To achieve specific economic objectives by altering the money supply

Answer: c

Explanation: Monetary policy aims to impact the economy's performance by adjusting the money supply in pursuit of defined economic goals.

 

2: Who has the authority to regulate the money supply and interest rates?

a) The U.S. Congress

b) The President

c) The Federal Reserve

Answer: c

Explanation: The Federal Reserve is responsible for managing the money supply and influencing interest rates to achieve economic objectives.

 

3: What is the main purpose of contractionary monetary policy?

a) To stimulate economic growth

b) To control inflation

c) To encourage borrowing

Answer: b

Explanation: Contractionary policy aims to reduce excessive economic growth and prevent inflation by tightening the money supply.

 

4: How does the Federal Reserve influence interest rates?

a) By directly setting fixed interest rates

b) By altering the money supply, which in turn affects interest rates

c) By providing loans to banks at specific rates

Answer: b

Explanation: The Federal Reserve's manipulation of the money supply indirectly impacts interest rates throughout the economy.

 

5: What economic situation does expansionary monetary policy target?

a) High unemployment

b) Low inflation

c) High inflation

Answer: a

Explanation: Expansionary policy seeks to stimulate economic activity and lower unemployment by increasing the money supply.

 

6: What term best describes the effect of lowering the money supply to control inflation?

a) Expansionary monetary policy

b) Contractionary monetary policy

c) Stabilization policy

Answer: b

Explanation: Lowering the money supply through contractionary policy helps control inflation by reducing excessive spending.

 

7: Who is responsible for leading the Federal Reserve?

a) The President of the United States

b) An appointed Chairman, such as Janet Yellen

c) The Secretary of the Treasury

Answer: B

Explanation: The Federal Reserve is headed by a Chairman, like Janet Yellen, who oversees its operations and decisions.

 

8: What is the primary aim of monetary policy?

a) To eliminate unemployment

b) To maintain a balanced budget

c) To promote economic stability and growth

Answer: c

Explanation: Monetary policy aims to achieve stable economic conditions and facilitate growth by influencing money supply and interest rates.

 

9: How does the Federal Reserve react to a recession?

a) By raising interest rates to curb spending

b) By lowering interest rates to encourage borrowing and spending

c) By reducing the money supply to control inflation

Answer: b

Explanation: During a recession, the Federal Reserve often uses expansionary policy, including lowering interest rates, to stimulate economic activity.

 

10: How does contractionary monetary policy impact interest rates?

a) It leads to higher interest rates

b) It leads to lower interest rates

c) It has no effect on interest rates

Answer: a

Explanation: Contractionary policy, aimed at controlling inflation, involves raising interest rates to reduce borrowing and spending.

 

11: How does monetary policy differ from fiscal policy?

a) Monetary policy involves changes in government spending, while fiscal policy involves changes in the money supply.

b) Fiscal policy involves changes in government spending, while monetary policy involves changes in the money supply and interest rates.

c) Monetary policy only impacts international trade, while fiscal policy only affects domestic economic activity.

Answer: b

Explanation: Fiscal policy involves government spending and taxation, while monetary policy focuses on money supply and interest rates.

 

 

 

The Tools of Monetary Policy (video)

 

Summary of this video and summary of Monetary Policy

·       This video lesson explores the tools of monetary policy used by a central bank to manage interest rates and influence aggregate demand in an economy.

·       It introduces the money market, key components, and three primary tools: reserve requirements, open market operations, and the discount rate.

·       These tools allow the central bank to shape the money supply, impact interest rates, and stimulate or curb economic activity as needed for economic stability and growth.

·       Open market operations are a way the U.S. Federal Reserve controls how much money is available and interest rates.

·       They do this by buying or selling government securities.

·       Buying puts more money into the system and lowers interest rates, while selling takes money out and raises interest rates.

·        

·       Contrationary monetary policy (in 2023)è sell bond è reduce money supply è increase interest rate è reduce economic growth è reduce inflation

·        

·       Expansionary monetary policy (during Covid) è  buy bond è increase money supply è decrease interest rate è increase economic growth è increase inflation

·        

 

 

 

For class discussion:

1.      Three approaches to conduct Monetary policy.

2.      What is easing (expansionary) monetary (policy? What is contractionary monetary policy?

3.       Draw supply and demand curve to show the results when Fed purchases (sells) Treasury securities.

4.      Compare fed fund rate with discount rate. Which rate is targeted by Fed to implement monetary policy?

 

 

 image030.jpg

 

In Class Exercise

 

1: What is the primary purpose of a central bank's monetary policy tools?

A) To control fiscal policy.

B) To regulate international trade.

C) To manage the money supply and interest rates.

Answer: C

Explanation: The primary purpose of a central bank's monetary policy tools is to manage the money supply and interest rates in order to achieve specific economic goals such as controlling inflation, promoting economic growth, and maintaining financial stability.

 

2: Which of the following tools of monetary policy involves changing the percentage of deposits that banks must hold as reserves?

A) Open market operations.

B) Discount rate.

C) Reserve requirement.

Answer: C

Explanation: The reserve requirement is the tool that involves changing the percentage of deposits that banks are required to hold as reserves. By adjusting this requirement, the central bank can influence the amount of money banks can lend and the overall money supply.

 

3: When the Federal Reserve buys government bonds in open market operations, what effect does it have on the money supply and interest rates?

A) Increases the money supply and lowers interest rates.

B) Decreases the money supply and raises interest rates.

C) Increases the money supply and raises interest rates.

Answer: A

Explanation: When the Federal Reserve buys government bonds in open market operations, it injects money into the economy, which increases the money supply. As the money supply rises, the excess liquidity leads to a decrease in interest rates, making borrowing cheaper and encouraging consumption and investment.

 

4: If the central bank wishes to reduce inflation, what action would it most likely take?

A) Selling government bonds in open market operations.

B) Lowering the reserve requirement.

C) Decreasing the discount rate.

Answer: A

Explanation: To combat inflation, the central bank would likely sell government bonds in open market operations. This reduces the money supply, leading to higher interest rates and decreased borrowing, ultimately curbing inflationary pressures.

 

5: What happens when the central bank raises the discount rate?

A) Banks are more likely to borrow from the central bank.

B) Banks are more likely to lend to each other.

C) Banks are less likely to borrow from the central bank.

Answer: C

Explanation: When the central bank raises the discount rate, it becomes more expensive for banks to borrow from the central bank. This encourages banks to seek alternative sources of funds and reduces their borrowing from the central bank.

 

6: In the context of monetary policy, what is the purpose of increasing the reserve requirement?

A) To stimulate economic growth.

B) To decrease the money supply.

C) To lower interest rates.

Answer: B

Explanation: Increasing the reserve requirement means banks must hold a larger portion of their deposits as reserves, reducing the amount of money they can lend out. This decrease in lending capacity leads to a reduction in the money supply.

 

7: When the central bank engages in an expansionary monetary policy, what is its likely goal?

A) To decrease unemployment.

B) To reduce inflation.

C) To stimulate economic activity and growth.

Answer: C

Explanation: An expansionary monetary policy aims to stimulate economic activity and growth. This is typically done by increasing the money supply, lowering interest rates, and encouraging borrowing and spending.

 

8: What is the main reason for a central bank to use contractionary monetary policy?

A) To encourage borrowing and investment.

B) To reduce unemployment.

C) To control inflation.

Answer: C

Explanation: Contractionary monetary policy is used to control inflation by reducing the money supply, increasing interest rates, and limiting borrowing and spending.

 

9: Which tool of monetary policy is most commonly used by central banks to manage the money supply?

A) Changing the exchange rate.

B) Changing the fiscal policy.

C) Open market operations.

Answer: C

Explanation: Open market operations are the most commonly used tool of monetary policy, where central banks buy or sell government bonds to adjust the money supply and interest rates.

 

10: When the central bank increases the discount rate, what is its likely impact on borrowing and spending?

A) Borrowing and spending increase.

B) Borrowing and spending decrease.

C) Borrowing increases, but spending remains unchanged.

Answer: B

Explanation: Increasing the discount rate makes borrowing more expensive for banks, which can lead to reduced borrowing and spending by businesses and households.

 

11: If a central bank wants to stimulate economic growth during a recession, which tool of monetary policy is most suitable?

A) Increasing the discount rate.

B) Selling government bonds.

C) Lowering the reserve requirement.

Answer: C

Explanation: Lowering the reserve requirement encourages banks to lend more money, which increases the money supply and promotes borrowing and spending, thus stimulating economic growth.

 

12: During a period of high inflation, what action could a central bank take to address the situation?

A) Decrease the reserve requirement.

B) Sell government bonds.

C) Lower the discount rate.

Answer: B

Explanation: When the Federal Reserve sells government bonds in open market operations, it takes money out of the economy, which decreases the money supply. As the money supply declines, it leads to a increase in interest rates, making borrowing more expensive and discouraging consumption and investment.

 

 

 

  Homework (due with the first midterm exam)

1.     What was the reason behind the Federal Reserve's decision to increase interest rates, and what measures did it employ to attain this objective? Do you support it? Why or why not? 

2.     The next FOMC meeting will be held on September 19-20, 2023. Will Fed raise rates in September? Why or why not?

3.  Explain the Federal Funds rate and its significance in the economy. Also, what is the current value of the Federal Funds rate as determined by the Fed?

4.     Define quantitative easing (QE) and provide comprehensive details about it.

 

Part IV: Fed Funds Rate

 

 

 

Release date: July 1, 2023

 

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=pbTc

 

  

What is the Fed Fund rate (youtube)

 

In class exercise

1: What is the federal funds rate?

a) The interest rate at which banks lend money to customers

b) The interest rate at which the Federal Reserve lends money to banks

c) The interest rate at which banks lend money to each other

Answer: c

Explanation: The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which banks lend money to each other overnight. This lending activity occurs between banks to address short-term reserve needs.

 

2: Why do banks need to maintain reserves?

a) To invest in long-term projects

b) To meet the legal requirements set by the Federal Reserve

c) To lend money to individuals and businesses

Answer: b

Explanation: Banks are required to keep a portion of their deposits as reserves. These reserves serve several purposes, including meeting legal requirements set by the Federal Reserve, facilitating transactions with other banks, and providing funds to customers.

 

3: What purpose does the federal funds rate serve?

a) It directly controls consumer loan interest rates.

b) It influences credit conditions and the broader economy.

c) It determines the profit margins of individual banks.

Answer: b

Explanation: The federal funds rate is significant because the Federal Reserve uses it to influence credit conditions and, by extension, the overall economy. The Federal Reserve can impact this rate through open market operations.

 

4: Why did banks borrow reserves from each other before 2008?

a) To invest in high-risk ventures

b) To keep their reserve holdings relatively low

c) To address shortfalls in meeting Federal Reserve requirements

Answer: c

Explanation: Before 2008, banks borrowed reserves from each other to ensure they could meet the legal reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve, especially when their own reserves fell below the mandated levels.

 

5: How can changes in the federal funds rate affect the economy?

a) By directly controlling government spending

b) By influencing credit conditions and borrowing costs

c) By determining stock market prices

Answer: b

Explanation: Changes in the federal funds rate can impact credit conditions, affecting borrowing costs for individuals and businesses, which, in turn, can influence spending and investment.

 

 

 

Part V: How does raising interest rates control inflation? (youtube)

 

In class exercise

 

1, Why do central banks raise interest rates?

a) To stimulate economic growth

b) To control inflation

c) To encourage borrowing

Answer: b

Explanation: Central banks raise interest rates as a measure to control inflation. When inflation is seen as too high, raising interest rates slows down borrowing and spending, which helps reduce demand and, in turn, lower the rate of price increase in the economy.

 

2. How does a rise in interest rates affect borrowers?

a) Borrowing becomes cheaper

b) Borrowing becomes more expensive

c) Borrowing remains unchanged

Answer: b

Explanation: A rise in interest rates makes borrowing more expensive, as individuals and businesses need to pay higher interest on their loans. This can lead to reduced borrowing and spending in the economy.

 

3. How do higher interest rates impact savings?

a) Savings earn higher interest

b) Savings earn lower interest

c) Savings remain unaffected

Answer: a

Explanation: Higher interest rates lead to higher returns on savings accounts, making it more rewarding for individuals to save money and earn interest on their deposits.

 

4. Why might a rise in interest rates lead to lower consumer spending?

a) Borrowing becomes cheaper

b) Interest earned on savings increases

c) Borrowing becomes more expensive

Answer: c

Explanation: A rise in interest rates increases the cost of borrowing, which can discourage consumers from taking out loans for purchases. This, in turn, leads to lower consumer spending.

 

5. How does a central bank influence commercial banks' interest rates?

a) By providing direct loans to individuals

b) By setting a benchmark interest rate

c) By regulating stock market transactions

Answer: b

Explanation: Central banks set a benchmark interest rate that influences the rates at which commercial banks lend money to businesses and individuals. Changes in this benchmark rate impact borrowing costs across the economy.

 

6. Why might fixed-rate mortgage holders be less directly affected by rising interest rates?

a) Fixed-rate mortgages have variable interest rates

b) Fixed-rate mortgages have lower interest rates

c) Fixed-rate mortgages have consistent interest rates

Answer: c

Explanation: Fixed-rate mortgage holders are less directly affected by rising interest rates because their interest rates remain consistent over the duration of the mortgage. Variable-rate mortgage holders, on the other hand, see changes based on prevailing interest rates.

 

7. What is the potential impact of rising interest rates on businesses?

a) Businesses will find it easier to borrow for investments

b) Borrowing costs for businesses will increase

c) Businesses will experience reduced competition

Answer: b

Explanation: Rising interest rates increase the cost of borrowing for businesses, making it more expensive to finance investments and operations. This can lead to reduced economic activity and business expansion.

 

8. How do central banks use interest rates to curb inflation?

a) By increasing the money supply

b) By reducing government spending

c) By making borrowing more expensive

Answer: c

Explanation: Central banks raise interest rates to make borrowing more expensive. This reduces consumer spending and investment, helping to slow down the economy and control inflation.

 

9. What is the potential consequence of central banks raising interest rates too quickly?

a) Lower unemployment rates

b) Economic growth and stability

c) Pushing the economy into a recession

Answer: c

Explanation: Raising interest rates too quickly can lead to decreased borrowing and spending, potentially causing a slowdown in economic growth and even a recession due to reduced consumer demand and business activity.

 

10. Why is it challenging for central banks to predict the full effects of interest rate changes?

a) Economic data is always accurate

b) The economy is highly unpredictable

c) Interest rates have minimal impact on the economy

Answer: b

Explanation: The economy is complex and influenced by various factors. Central banks find it challenging to predict how interest rate changes will unfold and impact different sectors over time.

 

11. How does a rise in interest rates impact stock prices?

a) Stock prices rise due to increased investor confidence

b) Stock prices remain unchanged

c) Stock prices may fall due to reduced consumer spending

Answer: c

Explanation: A rise in interest rates can lead to reduced consumer spending and decreased economic activity, which can negatively affect corporate earnings and, in turn, lead to

 

 

 

Part VI: Open Market Operation

 

How Do Open Market Operations Affect the U.S. Money Supply?

By KESAVAN BALASUBRAMANIAM Updated April 08, 2022, Reviewed by MICHAEL J BOYLE, Fact checked by MARCUS REEVES

https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/06/openmarketoperations.asp

 

The U.S. Federal Reserve conducts open market operations by buying or selling bonds and other securities to control the money supply. With these transactions, the Fed can expand or contract the amount of money in the banking system and drive short-term interest rates lower or higher depending on the objectives of its monetary policy.

 

KEY TAKEAWAYS

·       The Federal Reserve buys and sells government securities to control the money supply and interest rates. This activity is called open market operations.

·       The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets monetary policy in the United States, and the Fed's New York trading desk uses open market operations to achieve that policy's objectives.

·       To increase the money supply, the Fed will purchase bonds from banks, which injects money into the banking system.

·       To decrease the money supply, the Fed will sell bonds to banks, removing capital from the banking system.

·       Open market operations have played a key part in navigating recent economic downtowns including the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 recession.

 

The Importance of Open Market Operations

Open market operations are one of three key tools the Federal Reserve uses to achieve its policy objectives. The objective of open market operations is to change the reserve balances of U.S. banks and cause reactionary changes to prevailing interest rates.

 

The Fed can increase the U.S. money supply by buying securities. Using newly created money, the Fed can go to the market, inject this capital into U.S. banks, and apply downward pressure on market interest rates as lenders now have more money to distribute as credit. The Fed can also decrease the U.S. money supply by doing the opposite. By selling securities it is holding on its balance sheet, the Fed can extract capital from bank reserves and decrease the amount of funds banks have available to lend.

 

Open market operations are important as it attempts to guide the direction of the economy. When the Fed is buying securities and increasing the money supply, the Fed is attempting to stimulate economic growth. This typically has a ripple effect of increased inflationary pressure, higher economic growth, higher employment, and generally greater economic prosperity for citizens and companies.

 

Open market operations also signal when the Fed believes inflationary pressure has gotten too high and the economy needs to contract. By selling securities, the Fed attempts to raise rates, slow economic growth, and stem inflation. Unfortunately, contractionary economic periods like this also traditionally cause increases in unemployment. It also makes obtaining credit more expensive for companies and citizens.

 

The Role of the Federal Open Market Committee

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets monetary policy in the United States with a dual mandate of achieving full employment and controlling inflation. The committee holds eight regularly scheduled meetings each year, though emergency sessions may be called.

 

During these meetings, the FOMC determines whether to increase or decrease the money supply in the economy. This decision is driven by the FOMC's long-term goals of price stability, sustainable economic growth, and prevailing market conditions. The New York Fed's trading desk then conducts its market operations with the aim of achieving that policy, buying or selling securities in open market operations.

 

Expanding the Money Supply to Fuel Economic Growth

During a recession or economic downturn, the Fed will seek to expand the supply of money in the economy with a goal of lowering the federal funds rate—the rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.

 

To do this, the Fed trading desk will purchase bonds from banks and other financial institutions and deposit payment into the accounts of the buyers. This increases the amount of money that banks and financial institutions have on hand, and banks can use these funds to provide loans.

 

Contracting the Money Supply to Stabilize Prices

The Fed will undertake the opposite process when the economy is overheating and inflation is reaching the limit of its comfort zone. When the Fed sells bonds to the banks, it takes money out of the financial system, reducing the money supply.

 

Example of Monetary Contraction

By the end of 2021, the Federal Reserve was faced with rapidly escalating inflation and a booming economy. To try and preserve price stability, The Fed announced it would begin tapering its purchase of Treasury securities. Starting December 2021, the Fed began buying $10 billion less Treasury securities each month and $5 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities each month.

 

This will cause interest rates to rise, discouraging individuals and businesses from borrowing. In theory, consumers will spend, consumer, borrow, and invest less. It will also become more expensive for companies to expand. The impact of both outcomes is to slow inflation and economic growth, though the downside risk is an increase in unemployment.

 

In class exercise

 

5.     What are open market operations conducted by the Federal Reserve?

A) Direct lending to consumers

B) Buying and selling securities

C) Foreign currency exchange

Answer: B

Explanation: Open market operations involve the Federal Reserve buying and selling securities, such as bonds, to influence the money supply and interest rates.

 

6.     Which committee sets monetary policy in the United States and oversees open market operations?

A) Federal Trade Commission (FTC)

B) Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

C) Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)

Answer: B

Explanation: The FOMC sets monetary policy and is responsible for overseeing open market operations to achieve policy objectives.

 

7.     How does the Federal Reserve increase the money supply through open market operations?

A) By selling securities to banks

B) By reducing bank reserves

C) By buying securities from banks

Answer: C

Explanation: The Fed buys securities from banks, injecting money into the banking system and increasing the money supply.

 

8.     What is the goal of the Federal Reserve when it sells securities in open market operations?

A) To increase the money supply

B) To decrease interest rates

C) To reduce inflation

Answer: C

Explanation: Selling securities reduces the money supply, which helps control inflation and prevent it from rising too high.

 

9.     What is the primary objective of the Federal Reserve when it buys securities through open market operations?

A) To stimulate economic growth

B) To increase inflation

C) To reduce unemployment

Answer: A

Explanation: Buying securities to expand the money supply aims to stimulate economic growth, leading to higher employment and inflation.

 

10.  Why does the Federal Reserve sell securities when the economy is overheating?

A) To increase the money supply

B) To decrease interest rates

C) To reduce inflationary pressures

Answer: C

Explanation: Selling securities helps reduce the money supply and control inflation during economic overheating.

 

 

 

Segment 406: Open Market Operations (youtube)

 

In class exercise

1. What is the primary tool the Federal Reserve uses for implementing its monetary policy decisions?

A) Fiscal stimulus

B) Currency manipulation

C) Open market operations

Answer: C

Explanation: The Federal Reserve primarily uses open market operations to implement its monetary policy decisions.

 

2. What is the main goal of open market operations conducted by the Federal Reserve?

A) To control inflation directly

B) To influence long-term interest rates

C) To affect the federal funds rate

Answer: C

Explanation: Open market operations aim to influence the federal funds rate, a short-term interest rate, by buying or selling securities.

 

3. When the Federal Reserve buys securities in open market operations, what happens to the federal funds rate?

A) It rises

B) It remains unchanged

C) It falls

Answer: C

Explanation: Buying securities injects more money into banks, increasing their lending capacity and pushing down the federal funds rate.

 

4. How does a decrease in the federal funds rate influence borrowing and spending?

A) It encourages consumers and businesses to borrow and spend more

B) It discourages borrowing and spending

C) It has no impact on borrowing and spending

Answer: A

Explanation: Lower interest rates make borrowing cheaper, which tends to stimulate borrowing and spending by consumers and businesses.

 

5. What is the potential downside of using open market operations to lower interest rates?

A) Increased inflation

B) Reduced economic growth

C) Depreciation of the currency

Answer: A

Explanation: Lower interest rates can stimulate borrowing and spending, potentially leading to increased inflation.

 

6. When the Federal Reserve sells securities in open market operations, what effect does it have on the federal funds rate?

A) It rises

B) It remains unchanged

C) It falls

Answer: A

Explanation: Selling securities reduces banks' reserves, leading to reduced lending capacity and higher interest rates.

 

7. What does the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) do every six weeks?

A) Sets the federal budget

B) Sets the target federal funds rate

C) Determines currency exchange rates

Answer: B

Explanation: The FOMC sets the target federal funds rate, which guides open market operations to achieve desired monetary policy outcomes.

 

8. Does the Federal Reserve influence the supply and demand of reserve balances through open market operations?

A) By directly adjusting the federal funds rate

B) By buying and selling securities

C) By changing tax rates

Answer: B

Explanation: The Federal Reserve buys and sells securities to influence the supply of reserve balances and, consequently, the federal funds rate.

 

 

Special Topic: Quantitative easing (QE)

Quantitative Easing (QE) and How the Fed Responds to Financial Crises

 

Summary

·       The Federal Reserve's use of quantitative easing (QE) as a tool to stimulate economic growth during crises, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.

·       QE involves the central bank purchasing assets like long-term Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities to keep interest rates low and promote lending.

·       Concerns about the potential consequences of QE: hyperinflation, increased debt levels, and the unequal distribution of benefits. 

 

In class exercise:

 

1. What is the primary goal of quantitative easing (QE)?

A) Reducing inflation

B) Boosting economic growth

C) Controlling interest rates

Answer: B

Explanation: QE aims to stimulate economic growth by maintaining liquidity in the financial system, encouraging lending, and keeping interest rates low.

 

 

2. How does the Federal Reserve typically use open market operations to influence interest rates?

A) By buying long-term government bonds

B) By selling short-term government bonds

C) By purchasing corporate stocks

Answer: B

Explanation: The Fed typically influences short-term interest rates by buying or selling short-term government bonds.

 

 

3. During a financial crisis, when might the Federal Reserve resort to quantitative easing (QE)?

A) To raise interest rates

B) To lower interest rates

C) To stabilize currency exchange rates

Answer: B

Explanation: QE is often used during crises to lower interest rates and stimulate lending and economic activity.

 

 

4. What is one potential concern associated with quantitative easing (QE)?

A) Deflationary pressures

B) Hyperinflation

C) Reduced unemployment

Answer: B

Explanation: Critics worry that QE could lead to excessive money supply growth and hyperinflation, although this outcome is debated among economists.

 

 

5. How does quantitative easing (QE) differ from the Fed's typical open market operations?

A) QE involves buying longer-term assets, while open market operations involve short-term assets.

B) QE only affects the stock market, while open market operations affect bond markets.

C) QE is used to reduce the money supply, while open market operations aim to increase it.

Answer: A

Explanation: QE focuses on longer-term assets, such as bonds, whereas open market operations deal with short-term assets like Treasury bills.

 

 

6. What is the primary objective of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)?

A) Managing inflation

B) Achieving full employment and controlling inflation

C) Regulating commercial banks

Answer: B

Explanation: The FOMC's dual mandate is to pursue full employment and stable prices (controlling inflation).

 

 

7. How does the Federal Reserve primarily influence short-term interest rates?

A) Through quantitative easing (QE)

B) By adjusting the federal funds rate

C) Through open market operations

Answer: B

Explanation: The Fed mainly influences short-term interest rates by changing the federal funds rate.

 

 

8. What is the primary impact of quantitative easing (QE) on stock prices?

A) It tends to lower stock prices.

B) It has no effect on stock prices.

C) It often raises stock prices.

Answer: C

Explanation: QE can stimulate economic growth, leading to higher stock prices.

 

 

9. Which asset does the Federal Reserve primarily purchase during quantitative easing (QE) programs?

 A) Corporate bonds

 B) Long-term government bonds

 C) Short-term government bonds

Answer: B

Explanation: The Fed often buys longer-term government bonds during QE.

 

 

10. What is one potential downside of quantitative easing (QE) related to debt levels?

A) Lowering debt burdens

B) Reducing government deficits

C) Encouraging higher debt levels

Answer: C

Explanation: QE can make borrowing cheaper, potentially encouraging individuals and businesses to take on more debt.

 

 

 

 

We have a Fed visit planned for October 17th, from 1:30 PM to 2:30 PM, at 800 Water Street, Jacksonville. The dress code is business casual; please avoid jeans and sneakers.

 

 

First midterm exam Study Guide (the file is here)

 

 

Chapter 1 – Introduction of Financial Market and Institution

 

ppt

 

 

 

Contents:

·       What is Money?

·       Bitcoin and Crypocurrency

·       Asset Based Security (MBS, Student Loan based Security)

·       FDIC, SEC, and FINDRA

·       HFT – High Frequency Trading

·       Flash Crash

·       Spoofing

·       AI + HFT

 

1.     What are the six parts of the financial markets

 

What is Money? : To pay for purchases and store wealth (fiat money, fiat currency). What about crytocurrency?

 

 What is Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency? We explain (youtube)    Quiz 1 for fun only

 

 

In class exercise:

 

1. What is Bitcoin?

a) A physical coin

b) A type of cryptocurrency

c) A government-backed currency

Answer: b

Explanation: Bitcoin is a digital cryptocurrency, not a physical coin or a government-backed currency.

 

2. Who is the mysterious author of the Bitcoin whitepaper?

a) Albert Einstein

b) Satoshi Nakamoto

c) Elon Musk

Answer: b

Explanation: The Bitcoin whitepaper was authored by an individual or group using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto.

 

3. How many Bitcoins will ever exist?

a) 100 million

b) 21 million

c) 1 billion

Answer: b

Explanation: There is a capped supply of 21 million Bitcoins, making it a deflationary cryptocurrency.

 

4. What technology records all Bitcoin transactions?

a) Blockchain

b) Mainframe

c) Supercomputer

Answer: a

Explanation: The blockchain is a digital public ledger that records all Bitcoin transactions.

 

5. How is Bitcoin different from traditional money?

a) Bitcoin is controlled by a central authority

b) Bitcoin is physical and can be held in your hand

c) Bitcoin is decentralized and exists only digitally

Answer: c

Explanation: Bitcoin is decentralized, meaning it's not controlled by any central authority, and it exists solely in digital form.

 

6. What is the role of miners in the Bitcoin network?

a) Record transactions on the blockchain

b) Determine the value of Bitcoin

c) Buy new Bitcoins

Answer: a

Explanation: Miners validate and record transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain.

 

7. Which major company started accepting Bitcoin as payment?

a) Walmart

b) Amazon

c) Microsoft

Answer: c

Explanation: Microsoft is one of the major companies that accept Bitcoin as a form of payment.

 

8. How does Bitcoin maintain its security and prevent fraud?

a) Through government regulation

b) By using a central authority

c) Through decentralized consensus and blockchain technology

Answer: c

Explanation: Bitcoin's security relies on decentralized consensus among network participants and the use of blockchain technology.

 

9. What is a private key in the context of Bitcoin?

a) A secret passcode to access Bitcoin

b) A public address for receiving Bitcoin

c) A government-issued identification

Answer: a

Explanation: A private key is a secret code that allows you to access and control your Bitcoin holdings.

 

10. How is Bitcoin's value determined?

a) By the government

b) By the number of Bitcoin users

c) By supply and demand in the market

Answer: c

Explanation: Bitcoin's value is determined by market forces, specifically supply and demand.

 

11. What is the maximum number of confirmations needed for a Bitcoin transaction to be considered secure?

a) 1

b) 3

c) 6

Answer: c

Explanation: Bitcoin transactions are typically considered secure after receiving six confirmations on the blockchain.

 

12. In the early days of Bitcoin, how much was one Bitcoin worth?

a) $1,000

b) $8

c) $10,000

Answer: b

Explanation: In the early days of Bitcoin, its value was extremely low, with one Bitcoin being worth just a few dollars.

 

13. What is the purpose of the Bitcoin blockchain?

a) To keep track of all cryptocurrency transactions

b) To mine new Bitcoins

c) To create new cryptocurrencies

Answer: a

Explanation: The primary purpose of the Bitcoin blockchain is to record and verify all Bitcoin transactions.

 

14. What is the potential risk of investing in Bitcoin?

a) Guaranteed high returns

b) Volatility and potential loss of value

c) Government control and regulation

Answer: b

Explanation: Bitcoin's price is known for its volatility, and investors should be aware of the risk of losing value.

 

 

 

 

Financial Instruments: To transfer resources from savers to investors and to transfer risk to those best equipped to bear it.  

 

Where do student loans go? (video)

 

In class exercise

1. What is the total student debt in the United States?

a) $500 billion

b) $1.3 trillion

c) $5 trillion

Answer: b 

 

2. What are the two primary types of lenders involved in student loans?

a) Public and private lenders

b) Federal and state lenders

c) Government and nonprofit lenders

Answer: a

 

3. What is a SLABS in the context of student loans?

a) A type of student loan

b) A security investment backed by student loans

c) A government agency regulating student loans

Answer: b 

 

 

4. What is the metaphor used to describe the flow of interest payments in SLABS?

a) A river

b) A waterfall

c) Fizz in champagne glasses

Answer: c

 

 

5. Why do investors at the bottom of the pyramid receive higher interest rates?

a) Because they are favored by the asset manager

b) Because they have lower credit ratings

c) Because they are taking less risk

Answer: b

Explanation: Investors at the bottom of the pyramid receive higher interest rates but have lower credit ratings because they take on more risk.

 

6. What happens if some students do not make their interest payments?

a) Investors at the bottom of the pyramid benefit

b) Investors at the top of the pyramid benefit

c) Investors may not receive their monthly payments

Answer: c

Explanation: If students fail to make their interest payments, it can affect the flow of payments to investors.

 

7. How do investors choose their position in the pyramid?

a) By their preference for champagne

b) Based on their risk appetite

c) Through a lottery system

Answer: b

answer: Investors select their position in the pyramid based on their risk tolerance and desired level of risk and return.

 

 

Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Explained in One Minute: Did We Learn Our Lesson? (youtube)

 

In class exercise

 

1. What does Bill do after providing Dave with a loan?

a) Buys a house for himself

b) Sells Dave's loan to an investment bank

c) Keeps the loan for the long term

Answer: b

Explanation: Bill sells Dave's loan to an investment bank.

 

2. What does the investment bank do with Dave's loan and several others?

a) Returns them to Bill

b) Creates a mortgage-backed security (MBS)

c) Provides them to Dave's family

Answer: b

Explanation: The investment bank combines Dave's loan with others to create an MBS.

 

3. Who ultimately takes on the risk associated with the mortgages in this process?

a) Tony

b) Dave

c) Investors

Answer: c

Explanation: Investors are the ones who take on the risk associated with the mortgages.

 

4. What happens if borrowers like Dave continue making their mortgage payments?

a) Bill gets a bonus

b) The investment bank goes bankrupt

c) Investors are rewarded

Answer: c

Explanation: Investors are rewarded if borrowers like Dave continue making their mortgage payments.

 

5. What is the moral hazard dimension mentioned in the video?

a) A large elephant in the room

b) An ethical dilemma faced by Tony

c) A concern related to the behavior of banks and investors

Answer: c

Explanation: The moral hazard dimension refers to the issue of banks and investment banks focusing on selling loans without bearing the full consequences if borrowers default.

 

Financial Markets:

·         Buy and sell financial instruments

·         Channel funds from savers to investors, thereby promoting economic efficiency

·         Affect personal wealth and behavior of business firms. Example?

 

Financial Institutions.

·         Provide access to financial markets, collect information & provide services

·         Financial Intermediary: Helps get funds from savers to investors

 

Central Banks

·         Monitor financial Institutions and stabilize the economy

 

Regulatory Agencies

·         To provide oversight for financial system.

 

The role of financial regulation (Video)

In class exercise

1. What is the current trend regarding demands on regulators and individuals in the financial sector?

a) Regulators are expected to do less, while individuals do more.

b) Regulators are expected to do everything, and individuals do nothing.

c) Both regulators and individuals are doing more than ever before.

Answer: a

Explanation: Increasing demands are placed on regulators, while individuals are expected to do less.

 

2. Who should bear both the risks and rewards in the financial system?

a) Only regulators

b) Only individuals

c) Both regulators and individuals

Answer: c 

 

3. What is the downside of relying solely on regulators for decision-making?

a) It leads to lower profits for individuals.

b) It can result in a less stable financial system.

c) It encourages individual responsibility.

Answer: b 

 

4. What is the analogy used to explain the role of regulators in the financial system?

a) Police officers

b) Traffic lights

c) Car mechanics

Answer: a

Explanation: The video compares the role of regulators to that of police officers who intervene when necessary.

 

 

What is the FDIC? (video)

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was created by the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 to provide insurance on deposits to guarantee the safety of funds kept by depositors at banks. Its mandate is to protect up to $250,000 per depositor. The catalyst for creating the FDIC was the run on banks during the Great Depression of the 1920s.

 

Checking accounts, savings accounts, CDs, and money market accounts are generally 100% covered by the FDIC. Coverage extends to individual retirement accounts (IRAs), but only the parts that fit the type of accounts listed previously. Joint accounts, revocable and irrevocable trust accounts, and employee benefit plans are covered, as are corporate, partnership, and unincorporated association accounts.

 

FDIC insurance does not cover products such as mutual funds, annuities, life insurance policies, stocks, or bonds. The contents of safe-deposit boxes are also not included in FDIC coverage. Cashier's checks and money orders issued by the failed bank remain fully covered by the FDIC. (investopedia.com)

 

In class Exercise

 

1. What is the FDIC?

a) A government-owned bank

b) A corporate welfare fund

c) The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

Answer: c

 

2. What is the primary role of the FDIC?

a) To manage big banks

b) To provide corporate welfare

c) To safeguard savings

Answer: c

 

3. What criticism does the FDIC face?

a) It is poorly managed.

b) It is too small to handle big banks.

c) It serves the interests of big banks.

Answer: c

Explanation: The FDIC as a corporate welfare fund for big banks.

 

4. What is the concern about the FDIC if many big banks fail simultaneously?

a) The FDIC would profit.

b) The FDIC would lose its funding.

c) The FDIC fund could run out of money.

Answer: c

 

5. How does the FDIC fund itself, as described in the video?

a) Through government funding

b) Through contributions from banks

c) Through donations from taxpayers

Answer: b

 

6. What is the purpose of the FDIC stepping in when a bank encounters financial trouble?

a) To maximize profits for the bank

b) To ensure depositors' savings are protected

c) To liquidate the bank's assets

Answer: b 

 

7. What historical event is mentioned in the video where the FDIC played a crucial role?

a) A wizarding duel

b) The financial crisis

c) The creation of Dodd Frank Act

Answer: b 

 

 

What Is The SEC?    What does The Securities and Exchange Commission do? (youtube)

 

The SEC acts independently of the U.S. government and was established by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.11. One of the most comprehensive and powerful agencies, the SEC enforces the federal securities laws and regulates the majority of the securities industry. Its regulatory coverage includes the U.S. stock exchanges, options markets, and options exchanges as well as all other electronic exchanges and other electronic securities markets. It also regulates investment advisors who are not covered by the state regulatory agencies.

 

The SEC consists of six divisions and 24 offices.12 Their goals are to interpret and take enforcement actions on securities laws, issue new rules, provide oversight of securities institutions, and coordinate regulation among different levels of government.

 

In class Exercise

1. What is the primary role of the SEC?

a) Regulating oil and gas companies

b) Regulating the buying and selling of stocks and bonds

c) Regulating the housing market

Answer: b

Explanation: The SEC's primary role is to regulate the buying and selling of stocks and bonds to protect investors from fraud.

 

2.What is the main purpose of the SEC's establishment?

a) To oversee international trade agreements

b) To regulate the airline industry

c) To protect investors following the Great Depression

Answer: c

Explanation: The SEC was established in response to the financial turmoil of the Great Depression to safeguard investors.

 

3. What kind of information do companies need to provide to the SEC regularly?

a) Information about their favorite books

b) Financial and other information

c) Recipes for their favorite dishes

Answer: b

 

4. How does the SEC ensure transparency in the financial markets?

a) By publishing novels about the stock market

b) By making sure all investors have equal access to information

c) By keeping all financial information confidential

Answer: b

Explanation: The SEC ensures that all investors have equal access to information, promoting transparency.

 

5. What is the consequence of insider trading?

a) Profit for the involved individuals

b) Legal rewards and recognition

c) It is illegal and can result in penalties

Answer: c

Explanation: Insider trading is illegal and can lead to legal consequences.

 

6. Who are "insiders" in the context of insider trading?

a) Individuals who have secret recipes

b) Individuals with undisclosed information about a company

c) Individuals with public information about a company

Answer: b

 

7. What is the SEC's role in preventing insider trading?

a) Encouraging insider trading

b) Enforcing laws against insider trading

c) Remaining indifferent to insider trading

Answer: b

Explanation: The SEC enforces laws against insider trading to prevent unfair practices.

 

8. How often do companies need to submit reports to the SEC?

a) Annually

b) Quarterly

c) Whenever they want

Answer: b

Explanation: Companies are required to submit reports to the SEC quarterly.

 

Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA)

What is FINRA (youtube)

 

The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) was created in 2007 from its predecessor, the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD). FINRA is considered a self-regulatory organization (SRO) and was originally created as an outcome of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

 

FINRA oversees all firms that are in the securities business with the public. It is also responsible for training financial services professionals, licensing and testing agents, and overseeing the mediation and arbitration processes for disputes between customers and brokers. (investopedia.com)

 

In Class Exercise

 

1. What does FINRA stand for?

a) Federal Investment Regulatory Authority

b) Financial Industry Regulatory Authority

c) Financial Investment and Regulation Agency

Answer: b

 

2. What is FINRA primarily responsible for?

a) Enforcing tax regulations

b) Overseeing securities licensing

c) Managing monetary policy

Answer: b

Explanation: FINRA primarily oversees securities licensing procedures and requirements.

 

3. What led to the creation of FINRA?

a) A merger between a sports league and a regulatory body

b) A merger of two regulatory bodies in the financial industry

c) A government initiative to streamline regulations

Answer: b

Explanation: FINRA was formed through the merger of the National Association of Securities Dealers and the New York Stock Exchange's regulation committee.

 

4. Which of the following is NOT a responsibility of FINRA?

a) Administering licensing exams

b) Handling disciplinary actions

c) Regulating currency exchange rates

Answer: c

 

5. What is one of the key objectives of FINRA's creation?

a) To maximize regulatory overlap

b) To increase cost inefficiencies

c) To eliminate regulatory overlap and cost inefficiencies

Answer: c

Explanation: FINRA was established to eliminate regulatory overlap and reduce cost inefficiencies in the financial industry.

 

6. How does FINRA contribute to investor protection?

a) By investing in securities

b) By ensuring all investors make a profit

c) By overseeing regulatory compliance and providing information

Answer: c

 

 

 

3.   An example of the financial market innovation: High Frequency Trading   

 

Ppt

 

As of now, it is only 10% of all trades that are executed the old-school way via regular stock picking. The rest is automated trading. Currently, high-frequency trading is responsible for 5060% of all trading activity. If we take a look at HFTs trading volume as a percentage of the total stock trading volume during the last decade in the US, then things dont change much. In fact, it has never fallen below 50%.

https://viktortachev.medium.com/sorry-but-high-frequency-trading-is-not-dead-51bb71034d05

 

 

 

High Frequency Trading (video)

  • High frequency trading
  • Quote stuffing
  • Spoofing
  • Regulatory reform to prevent HFT from exploiting the market

 

Summary of the above video

·       The stock market has changed a lot, moving from noisy trading floors to computers.

·       High-frequency trading (HFT) is big now, with super-fast strategies.

·       HFT can help with more trades, but it can also cause problems like market tricks and crashes. So, we need strong rules to make sure it helps everyone in the economy.

 

In class exercise

 

1.     What is high-frequency trading (HFT)?

A. Slow and manual trading.

B. Automated trading at extremely fast speeds.

C. Trading only during specific market hours.

Answer: B

Explanation: HFT refers to automated trading at incredibly high speeds.

 

2.     Why do high-frequency traders aim to be faster than others?

A. To accumulate large profits over time.

B. To manipulate market prices.

C. To delay their own transactions.

Answer: A

Explanation: HFT traders aim to profit from numerous small transactions that accumulate into significant sums due to their speed.

 

3.     What is one advantage of high-frequency trading mentioned in the video?

A. Increased market stability.

B. Enhanced price transparency.

C. Higher levels of liquidity.

Answer: C

Explanation: HFT can increase liquidity in already liquid markets.

 

 

4.     What is "quote stuffing" in the context of HFT?

A. Providing valuable information to other traders.

B. Flooding the market with numerous unimportant offers.

C. Reducing price volatility.

Answer: B

Explanation: "Quote stuffing" involves flooding the market with numerous unimportant offers, delaying other programs' responses.

 

5.     What does "spoofing" involve in HFT?

A. Rapidly canceling purchase offers.

B. Generating fake purchase offers to create price illusions.

C. Selling stocks at high prices.

Answer: B

Explanation: "Spoofing" involves generating fake purchase offers to create the illusion of increasing prices.

 6. What is the key issue highlighted regarding high-speed trading algorithms?

A. Their ability to adapt to market changes.

B. The lack of human intervention.

C. Their error-free performance.

Answer: B

Explanation: The video mentions that high-speed trading algorithms are never completely error-free, which is a key issue.

 

7. What was the primary consequence of high-frequency trading in stock market crashes?

A. Increased market stability.

B. Delayed market recoveries.

C. Exacerbated market crashes.

Answer: C

Explanation: High-frequency trading played a role in exacerbating market crashes.

 

 

8. How does the video propose limiting quote stuffing and spoofing?

A. By introducing trading halts during flash crashes.

B. By enforcing a financial transaction tax.

C. By introducing limits on offer cancellations and minimum holding periods for offers.

Answer: C

Explanation: The video suggests limiting quote stuffing and spoofing by introducing limits on offer cancellations and minimum holding periods for offers.

 

9. What did the European Parliament propose as a minimum retention period?

A. 1 millisecond.

B. 100 milliseconds.

C. 500 milliseconds.

Answer: C

Explanation: The European Parliament proposed a 500-millisecond minimum retention period.

 

10. What is one of the concerns associated with high-frequency trading?

A. Increased market transparency.

B. Reduced price stability.

C. Enhanced market regulation.

Answer: B

Explanation: One of the concerns associated with HFT is its potential to reduce price stability.

 

11. What is the main objective of high-frequency trading?

A. To facilitate pricing.

B. To ensure fair market access.

C. To trade as quickly and as much as possible.

Answer: C

Explanation: The main objective of high-frequency trading is to trade as quickly and as much as possible.

 

12. What role do stock exchanges play in high-frequency trading?

A. They encourage equal opportunities for all traders.

B. They benefit from high-frequency trading.

C. They regulate and limit high-frequency trading.

Answer: B

Explanation: Stock exchanges often benefit from high-frequency trading.

 

 

Homework of the 1st week (due with the second mid-term exam):

1.    Compare between SEC and FINRA, FDIC and the Fed

2.    What is high frequency trading (HFT)? How does it work? 

3.    What is spoofing? Why is it harmful to the market?

4.    What is flash crash? How does it make investors so worried? How can HFT trigger flash crash?

5.      Will ChatGPT-powered Wall Street end in disaster? What is your opinion?

Refer to https://fortune.com/2023/05/18/how-will-ai-chatgpt-change-stock-markets-high-frequency-trading-crashes/

6.    What is Bitcoin? What is Ethereum? What is dogecoin?

7.    Play the following game to identify the fake cryptocurrency. Which of the following crypotocyrrencies is fake? -  game

 

 

High-Frequency Trading (HFT)

By JAMES CHEN,  Updated August 25, 2021, Reviewed by MICHAEL J BOYLE, Fact checked by KATRINA MUNICHIELLO

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/high-frequency-trading.asp

 

What Is High-Frequency Trading (HFT)?

High-frequency trading, also known as HFT, is a method of trading that uses powerful computer programs to transact a large number of orders in fractions of a second. It uses complex algorithms to analyze multiple markets and execute orders based on market conditions. Typically, the traders with the fastest execution speeds are more profitable than traders with slower execution speeds.

 

In addition to the high speed of orders, HFT is also characterized by high turnover rates and order-to-trade ratios. Some of the best-known HFT firms include Tower Research, Citadel LLC, and Virtu Financial.

 

KEY TAKEAWAYS

·       HFT is complex algorithmic trading in which large numbers of orders are executed within seconds.

·       It adds liquidity to the markets and eliminates small bid-ask spreads.

·       HFT is criticized for allowing large companies to gain an upper hand in trading.

·       Another complaint is that the liquidity produced by this type of trading is momentaryit disappears within seconds, making it impossible for traders to take advantage of it.

 

Understanding High-Frequency Trading (HFT)

HFT became popular when exchanges started to offer incentives for companies to add liquidity to the market. For instance, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) has a group of liquidity providers called Supplemental Liquidity Providers (SLPs) that attempts to add competition and liquidity for existing quotes on the exchange.

 

The SLP was introduced following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, when liquidity was a major concern for investors. As an incentive to companies, the NYSE pays a fee or rebate for providing said liquidity. With millions of transactions per day, this results in a large amount of profits.

 

Benefits of High-Frequency Trading (HFT)

HFT has improved market liquidity and removed bid-ask spreads that previously would have been too small. This was tested by adding fees on HFT, which led bid-ask spreads to increase. One study assessed how Canadian bid-ask spreads changed when the government introduced fees on HFT. It found that market-wide bid-ask spreads increased by 13% and the retail spreads increased by 9%.

 

Critiques of High-Frequency Trading (HFT)

HFT is controversial and has been met with some harsh criticism. It has replaced a number of broker-dealers and uses mathematical models and algorithms to make decisions, taking human decision and interaction out of the equation.

 

Decisions happen in milliseconds, and this could result in big market moves without reason. As an example, on May 6, 2010, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) suffered its largest intraday point drop ever, declining 1,000 points and dropping 10% in just 20 minutes before rising again. A government investigation blamed a massive order that triggered a sell-off for the crash.


An additional critique of HFT is it allows large companies to profit at the expense of the "little guys." Its "ghost liquidity" is also a source of criticism: the liquidity provided by HFT is available to the market one second and gone the next, preventing traders from actually being able to trade this liquidity.

 

Flash crash

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

flash crash is a very rapid, deep, and volatile fall in security prices occurring within an extremely short time period. A flash crash frequently stems from trades executed by black-box trading, combined with high-frequency trading, whose speed and interconnectedness can result in the loss and recovery of billions of dollars in a matter of minutes and seconds.

Occurrences

The Flash Crash

This type of event occurred on May 6, 2010. A $4.1 billion trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) resulted in a loss to the Dow Jones Industrial Average of over 1,000 points and then a rise to approximately previous value, all over about fifteen minutes. The mechanism causing the event has been heavily researched and is in dispute. On April 21, 2015, the U.S. Department of Justice laid "22 criminal counts, including fraud and market manipulation" against Navinder Singh Sarao, a trader. Among the charges included was the use of spoofing algorithms.

2017 Ethereum Flash Crash

On June 22, 2017, the price of Ethereum, the second-largest digital cryptocurrency, dropped from more than $300 to as low as $0.10 in minutes at GDAX exchange. Suspected for market manipulation or an account takeover at first, later investigation by GDAX claimed no indication of wrongdoing. The crash was triggered by a multimillion-dollar selling order which brought the price down, from $317.81 to $224.48, and caused the following flood of 800 stop-loss and margin funding liquidation orders, crashing the market.

British pound flash crash

On October 7, 2016, there was a flash crash in the value of sterling, which dropped more than 6% in two minutes against the US dollar. It was the pound's lowest level against the dollar since May 1985. The pound recovered much of its value in the next few minutes, but ended down on the day's trading, most likely due to market concerns about the impact of a "hard Brexit"—a more complete break with the European Union following Britain's 'Leave' referendum vote in June. It was initially speculated that the flash crash may have been due to a fat-finger trader error or an algorithm reacting to negative news articles about the British Government's European policy.

 

In class Exercise

1,What is a flash crash in the financial markets?

A. A gradual decline in security prices

B. A rapid and volatile fall in security prices

C. A surge in stock prices

Answer: B

Explanation: A flash crash refers to a sudden and rapid decline in security prices.

 

2. What can contribute to a flash crash?

A. Slower trading algorithms

B. Black-box trading combined with high-frequency trading

C. Manual trading only

Answer: B

Explanation: Flash crashes often result from the combination of black-box trading and high-frequency trading.

 

2. When did the Flash Crash of 2010 occur?

A. June 22, 2017

B. October 7, 2016

C. May 6, 2010

Answer: C

 

3. How much was the loss to the Dow Jones Industrial Average during the Flash Crash of 2010?

A. Approximately 1,000 points

B. $4.1 billion

C. $0.10

Answer: A

Explanation: The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost approximately 1,000 points during the Flash Crash of 2010.

 

4. What charges were brought against Navinder Singh Sarao related to the Flash Crash of 2010?

A. No charges were filed

B. 22 criminal counts, including fraud and market manipulation

C. Charges of high-frequency trading

Answer: B

Explanation: Navinder Singh Sarao faced 22 criminal counts, including fraud and market manipulation, in connection with the Flash Crash of 2010.

 

5. What cryptocurrency was involved in the 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash?

A. Bitcoin

B. Ethereum

C. Litecoin

Answer: B

Explanation: The 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash involved the cryptocurrency Ethereum.

 

6. What triggered the 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash?

A. A sudden surge in buying orders

B. A multimillion-dollar selling order

C. A technical glitch in the exchange

Answer: B

Explanation: The 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash was triggered by a multimillion-dollar selling order.

 

7. What was the lowest level of the British pound against the US dollar during the British pound flash crash?

A. Its highest level since 1985

B. A 6% drop in two minutes

C. A complete recovery

Answer: B

Explanation: The British pound experienced a 6% drop in two minutes during the flash crash.

8. What was initially speculated as the cause of the British pound flash crash?

A. A manual trading error

B. A trader error or algorithm reaction

C. A sudden interest rate hike

Answer: B

Explanation: The initial speculation for the cause of the British pound flash crash was a trader error or algorithm reaction.

 

9. Which term describes trading programs that execute rapid and high-frequency trades using mathematical algorithms?

A. Black-box trading

B. Traditional trading

C. Human-based trading

Answer: A

Explanation: Trading programs that execute rapid and high-frequency trades using mathematical algorithms are often referred to as black-box trading.

 

10. In which exchange did the 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash occur?

A. New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

B. GDAX exchange

C. London Stock Exchange (LSE)

Answer: B

Explanation: The 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash occurred on the GDAX exchange.

 

11. What are the typical timeframes involved in a flash crash?

A. Hours and days

B. Seconds and milliseconds

C. Weeks and months

Answer: B

Explanation: Flash crashes typically occur within seconds and milliseconds.

 

12. How much did the price of Ethereum drop during the 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash?

A. It remained unchanged

B. From $300 to $0.10

C. It increased significantly

Answer: B

Explanation: The price of Ethereum dropped from over $300 to as low as $0.10 during the 2017 Ethereum Flash Crash.

 

13. What is spoofing in the context of high-frequency trading?

A. A form of trading without algorithms

B. Manipulating the market by making fake purchase offers

C. A technique for buying and selling at market price

Answer: B

 

 

FLASH CRASH! Dow Jones drops 560 points in 4 Minutes! May 6th 2010 (video)

 

  

Flash Crash 2010 - VPRO documentary – 2011 (video, optional)

 

For discussion:

·       Next time, when a flash crash happens, can you think of a strategy to make money from this incident? Why or why not?

·       After the flash crash, the price will recover almost completely. So why the market is afraid of it. It is not a big deal, right?

Spoofing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spoofing_(finance)

 

Spoofing is a disruptive algorithmic trading activity employed by traders to outpace other market participants and to manipulate markets.

·       Spoofers feign interest in trading futures, stocks and other products in financial markets creating an illusion of the demand and supply of the traded asset. In an order driven market, spoofers post a relatively large number of limit orders on one side of the limit order book to make other market participants believe that there is pressure to sell (limit orders are posted on the offer side of the book) or to buy (limit orders are posted on the bid side of the book) the asset.

·       Under the 2010 DoddFrank Act spoofing is defined as "the illegal practice of bidding or offering with intent to cancel before execution."

·       High-frequency trading, the primary form of algorithmic trading used in financial markets is very profitable as it deals in high volumes of transactions.

·       The five-year delay in arresting the lone spoofer, Navinder Singh Sarao, accused of exacerbating the 2010 Flash Crashone of the most turbulent periods in the history of financial marketshas placed the self-regulatory bodies such as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Chicago Mercantile Exchange & Chicago Board of Trade under scrutiny. The CME was described as being in a "massively conflicted" position as they make huge profits from the HFT and algorithmic trading.

 

In Class Exercise

1. What is the main goal of spoofing in algorithmic trading?

A. To increase transparency in the market

B. To outpace other market participants

C. To encourage long-term investments

Answer: B

Explanation: Spoofing is used to outpace other market participants and manipulate markets.

 

2. How do spoofers create an illusion of demand and supply?

A. By placing actual market orders

B. By posting a large number of limit orders on one side of the order book

C. By trading only in small volumes

Answer: B

Explanation: Spoofers post a large number of limit orders on one side of the order book to create the illusion of demand and supply.

 

3. According to the 2010 DoddFrank Act, how is spoofing defined?

A. As legitimate trading to improve market liquidity

B. As the illegal practice of bidding or offering with intent to cancel before execution

C. As high-frequency trading without regulation

Answer: B

Explanation: The DoddFrank Act defines spoofing as the illegal practice of bidding or offering with the intent to cancel before execution.

 

4. Which form of algorithmic trading is known for dealing in high volumes of transactions?

A. Day trading

B. High-frequency trading (HFT)

C. Swing trading

Answer: B

Explanation: High-frequency trading (HFT) deals in high volumes of transactions.

 

5. Who was accused of exacerbating the 2010 Flash Crash due to spoofing?

A. Navinder Singh Sarao

B. Warren Buffett

C. Janet Yellen

Answer: A

Explanation: Navinder Singh Sarao was accused of exacerbating the 2010 Flash Crash through spoofing.

 

6. What has the delay in arresting Navinder Singh Sarao brought scrutiny to?

A. The effectiveness of high-frequency trading

B. Self-regulatory bodies like the CFTC and CME

C. The need for stricter market regulations

Answer: B

Explanation: The delay in arresting Sarao has brought scrutiny to self-regulatory bodies like the CFTC and CME.

 

7. What do spoofers often do with limit orders in an order-driven market?

A. Execute them immediately

B. Post a large number on both sides of the order book

C. Post a large number on one side to create an illusion

Answer: C

Explanation: Spoofers post a large number of limit orders on one side of the order book to create the illusion of demand or supply.

 

8. Which of the following is NOT a goal of spoofing?

A. To manipulate markets

B. To increase transparency

C. To outpace other market participants

Answer: B

Explanation: Spoofing aims to manipulate markets and outpace other participants, not increase transparency.

 

 

9. What role did the CME play in the case of Navinder Singh Sarao?

A. They arrested him immediately

B. They were in a conflicted position, making profits from HFT

C. They supported his actions

Answer: B

Explanation: The CME was described as being in a "massively conflicted" position, making profits from HFT and algorithmic trading.

 

10. What kind of orders do spoofers post to manipulate markets?

A. Market orders

B. Limit orders

C. Stop orders

Answer: B

Explanation: Spoofers post limit orders to manipulate markets.

 

 

11. What does HFT stand for in the context of algorithmic trading?

A. High Free Trade

B. High Frequency Trading

C. High Fair Trade

Answer: B

Explanation: HFT stands for High Frequency Trading.

 

 

JPMorgan to Pay $920 Million in Record Spoofing Case (youtube)

In Class Exercise

1.     What is spoofing in the context of financial markets?

A. A legitimate trading strategy to maximize profits.

B. Flooding the market with deceptive orders to manipulate prices.

C. An investment strategy based on high-frequency trading.

Answer: B

Explanation: Spoofing involves flooding the market with deceptive orders to manipulate prices.

 

2.     How much were the losses attributed to spoofing in this case?

A. $100 million

B. $300 million

C. $500 million

Answer: B

 .

 

3) What does the bank involved in the spoofing case have to do as part of the settlement?

A. Pay a fine to the victims.

B. Cooperate with ongoing investigations.

C. Admit guilt and shut down its trading operations.

Answer: B

Explanation: The bank must cooperate with ongoing investigations as part of the settlement.

 

4) How did the U.S. government initially detect spoofing in this case?

A. By conducting undercover operations.

B. Through tips from whistleblowers.

C. By analyzing trading data and looking for red flags.

Answer: C

Explanation: The U.S. government detected spoofing by analyzing trading data and looking for red flags.

 

5)     What will happen to the $300 million collected by the Justice Department in this case?

A. It will be distributed among the accused traders.

B. It will be used to fund government operations.

C. It will be set aside in a crime victims fund.

Answer: C

Explanation: The $300 million will be set aside in a crime victims fund.

 

 

 

Spoofing & Layering - Market Manipulation - Self-Study | Online Courses (youtube, optional)

 

 

Will ChatGPT-powered Wall Street end in disaster?

BYPAWAN JAIN AND THE CONVERSATION May 18, 2023 at 12:43 PM EDT

 https://fortune.com/2023/05/18/how-will-ai-chatgpt-change-stock-markets-high-frequency-trading-crashes/

Ive been researching financial markets and algorithmic trading for 14 years. While AI offers lots of benefits, the growing use of these technologies in financial markets also points to potential perils. A look at Wall Streets past efforts to speed up trading by embracing computers and AI offers important lessons on the implications of using them for decision-making.

Program trading fuels Black Monday

In the early 1980s, fueled by advancements in technology and financial innovations such as derivatives, institutional investors began using computer programs to execute trades based on predefined rules and algorithms. This helped them complete large trades quickly and efficiently.

Back then, these algorithms were relatively simple and were primarily used for so-called index arbitrage, which involves trying to profit from discrepancies between the price of a stock index like the S&P 500 and that of the stocks its composed of.

As technology advanced and more data became available, this kind of program trading became increasingly sophisticated, with algorithms able to analyze complex market data and execute trades based on a wide range of factors. These program traders continued to grow in number on the largey unregulated trading freeways on which over a trillion dollars worth of assets change hands every day causing market volatility to increase dramatically.

Eventually this resulted in the massive stock market crash in 1987 known as Black Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered what was at the time the biggest percentage drop in its history, and the pain spread throughout the globe.

In response, regulatory authorities implemented a number of measures to restrict the use of program trading, including circuit breakers that halt trading when there are significant market swings and other limits. But despite these measures, program trading continued to grow in popularity in the years following the crash.

HFT: Program trading on steroids

Fast forward 15 years, to 2002, when the New York Stock Exchange introduced a fully automated trading system. As a result, program traders gave way to more sophisticated automations with much more advanced technology: High-frequency trading.

HFT uses computer programs to analyze market data and execute trades at extremely high speeds. Unlike program traders that bought and sold baskets of securities over time to take advantage of an arbitrage opportunity a difference in price of similar securities that can be exploited for profit high-frequency traders use powerful computers and high-speed networks to analyze market data and execute trades at lightning-fast speeds. High-frequency traders can conduct trades in approximately one 64-millionth of a second, compared with the several seconds it took traders in the 1980s.

These trades are typically very short term in nature and may involve buying and selling the same security multiple times in a matter of nanoseconds. AI algorithms analyze large amounts of data in real time and identify patterns and trends that are not immediately apparent to human traders. This helps traders make better decisions and execute trades at a faster pace than would be possible manually.

Another important application of AI in HFT is natural language processing, which involves analyzing and interpreting human language data such as news articles and social media posts. By analyzing this data, traders can gain valuable insights into market sentiment and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.

Benefits of AI trading

These AI-based, high-frequency traders operate very differently than people do.

The human brain is slow, inaccurate and forgetful. It is incapable of quick, high-precision, floating-point arithmetic needed for analyzing huge volumes of data for identifying trade signals. Computers are millions of times faster, with essentially infallible memory, perfect attention and limitless capability for analyzing large volumes of data in split milliseconds.

And, so, just like most technologies, HFT provides several benefits to stock markets.

These traders typically buy and sell assets at prices very close to the market price, which means they dont charge investors high fees. This helps ensure that there are always buyers and sellers in the market, which in turn helps to stabilize prices and reduce the potential for sudden price swings.

High-frequency trading can also help to reduce the impact of market inefficiencies by quickly identifying and exploiting mispricing in the market. For example, HFT algorithms can detect when a particular stock is undervalued or overvalued and execute trades to take advantage of these discrepancies. By doing so, this kind of trading can help to correct market inefficiencies and ensure that assets are priced more accurately.

The downsides

But speed and efficiency can also cause harm.

HFT algorithms can react so quickly to news events and other market signals that they can cause sudden spikes or drops in asset prices.

Additionally, HFT financial firms are able to use their speed and technology to gain an unfair advantage over other traders, further distorting market signals. The volatility created by these extremely sophisticated AI-powered trading beasts led to the so-called flash crash in May 2010, when stocks plunged and then recovered in a matter of minutes erasing and then restoring about $1 trillion in market value.

Since then, volatile markets have become the new normal. In 2016 research, two co-authors and I found that volatility a measure of how rapidly and unpredictably prices move up and down increased significantly after the introduction of HFT.

The speed and efficiency with which high-frequency traders analyze the data mean that even a small change in market conditions can trigger a large number of trades, leading to sudden price swings and increased volatility.

In addition, research I published with several other colleagues in 2021 shows that most high-frequency traders use similar algorithms, which increases the risk of market failure. That’s because as the number of these traders increases in the marketplace, the similarity in these algorithms can lead to similar trading decisions.

This means that all of the high-frequency traders might trade on the same side of the market if their algorithms release similar trading signals. That is, they all might try to sell in case of negative news or buy in case of positive news. If there is no one to take the other side of the trade, markets can fail.

Enter ChatGPT

That brings us to a new world of ChatGPT-powered trading algorithms and similar programs. They could take the problem of too many traders on the same side of a deal and make it even worse.

In general, humans, left to their own devices, will tend to make a diverse range of decisions. But if everyones deriving their decisions from a similar artificial intelligence, this can limit the diversity of opinion.

Consider an extreme, nonfinancial situation in which everyone depends on ChatGPT to decide on the best computer to buy. Consumers are already very prone to herding behavior, in which they tend to buy the same products and models. For example, reviews on Yelp, Amazon and so on motivate consumers to pick among a few top choices.

Since decisions made by the generative AI-powered chatbot are based on past training data, there would be a similarity in the decisions suggested by the chatbot. It is highly likely that ChatGPT would suggest the same brand and model to everyone. This might take herding to a whole new level and could lead to shortages in certain products and service as well as severe price spikes.

This becomes more problematic when the AI making the decisions is informed by biased and incorrect information. AI algorithms can reinforce existing biases when systems are trained on biased, old or limited data sets. And ChatGPT and similar tools have been criticized for making factual errors.

In addition, since market crashes are relatively rare, there isnt much data on them. Since generative AIs depend on data training to learn, their lack of knowledge about them could make them more likely to happen.

For now, at least, it seems most banks wont be allowing their employees to take advantage of ChatGPT and similar tools. Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and several other lenders have already banned their use on trading-room floors, citing privacy concerns.

But I strongly believe banks will eventually embrace generative AI, once they resolve concerns they have with it. The potential gains are too significant to pass up and theres a risk of being left behind by rivals.

But the risks to financial markets, the global economy and everyone are also great, so I hope they tread carefully.

Summary of this paper:

AI in Financial Markets: Pros and Cons

Pros:

·       AI trading is incredibly fast and efficient.

·       It maintains liquidity and keeps trading fees low.

·       It corrects pricing errors in the market.

Cons:

·       AI can cause sudden, extreme market swings.

·       Some traders may gain an unfair advantage.

·       Overreliance on AI can reduce diversity in trading decisions.

·       AI may perpetuate biases in trading.

·       Lack of historical crash data could pose risks.

·       As AI becomes more common in finance, managing these risks will be crucial for market stability.

 

In Class Exercise

1.     How does high-frequency trading (HFT) differ from program trading?

A. HFT focuses on long-term investments.

B. HFT uses powerful computers for rapid data analysis and trade execution. 

C. Program trading involves manual execution of trades.

Answer: B

Explanation: HFT utilizes powerful computers and high-speed networks for rapid data analysis and trade execution, while program trading can be less automated.

 

2.     What technology allows high-frequency traders to conduct trades in nanoseconds?

A. Human traders with fast reflexes

B. Powerful computers and high-speed networks 

C. Traditional trading floors

Answer: B

Explanation: High-frequency traders use powerful computers and high-speed networks to execute trades in nanoseconds.

 

3.     How do AI algorithms in HFT help traders make decisions?

A. By analyzing data at a slow pace

B. By identifying patterns and trends in real time 

C. By charging investors high fees

Answer: B

Explanation: AI algorithms in HFT analyze data in real time, identifying patterns and trends to assist traders in making rapid decisions.

 

4. What is the role of natural language processing in HFT?

A. Analyzing and interpreting human language data for market insights 

B. Executing high-speed trades

C. Training AI algorithms

Answer: A

Explanation: Natural language processing in HFT involves analyzing human language data like news articles to gain market insights.

 

5. What is one benefit of high-frequency trading (HFT) for stock markets?

A. Increased market inefficiencies

B. Higher fees for investors

C. Stabilizing prices and reducing sudden price swings 

Answer: C

Explanation: HFT can help stabilize prices and reduce sudden price swings, benefiting stock markets.

 

6. How did HFT contribute to the flash crash in May 2010?

A. HFT traders conducted fewer trades during that period.

B. HFT algorithms reacted slowly to market signals.

C. HFT algorithms caused sudden spikes and drops in asset prices. 

Answer: C

Explanation: HFT algorithms reacted so quickly to market signals that they caused sudden spikes and drops in asset prices during the flash crash.

 

8.     What effect did the introduction of HFT have on market volatility, according to research?

A. Market volatility decreased significantly.

B. Market volatility remained unchanged.

C. Market volatility increased significantly

Answer: C

Explanation: Research indicates that market volatility increased significantly after the introduction of HFT.

 

8. Why can the similarity in algorithms used by high-frequency traders increase the risk of market failure?

A. It leads to better market stability.

B. It results in more diverse trading decisions.

C. It can lead to similar trading decisions, causing market failure.

Answer: C

Explanation: Similar algorithms among HFT traders can lead to similar trading decisions, potentially causing market failure.

 

9.     How can ChatGPT-powered trading algorithms potentially impact market diversity?

A. They encourage diverse trading decisions.

B. They limit the diversity of opinion

C. They have no impact on market diversity.

Answer: B

Explanation: If everyone relies on ChatGPT for trading decisions, it can limit the diversity of opinion in the market.

 

10.  How does AI reinforcement of biases occur?

A. By relying on unbiased, up-to-date data

B. By training AI systems on diverse data sets

C. By training AI on biased, old, or limited data sets 

Answer: C

Explanation: AI can reinforce biases when trained on biased, old, or limited data sets.

 

11.  Why might ChatGPT's lack of knowledge about market crashes increase the risk of such events?

A. Market crashes are common and well-documented.

B. Market crashes are relatively rare, and there isn't much data on them. 

C. ChatGPT has extensive knowledge of market crashes.

Answer: B

Explanation: ChatGPT's lack of knowledge about rare market crashes could increase the risk of such events.

 

12. What is the current stance of most banks regarding the use of ChatGPT and similar tools on trading-room floors?

A. Banks actively encourage their use.

B. Banks have no opinion on their use.

C. Most banks have banned their use, citing privacy concerns. 

Answer: C

Explanation: Most banks have banned the use of ChatGPT and similar tools on trading-room floors due to privacy concerns.

 

13.  What is the author's opinion on banks eventually adopting generative AI?

A. Banks will never embrace generative AI.

B. Banks are currently embracing generative AI.

C. Banks will eventually embrace generative AI once they resolve concerns.

Answer: C

Explanation: The author believes that banks will eventually embrace generative AI once they address their concerns.

 

14. Why does the author suggest that banks might embrace generative AI?

A. To maintain their current practices without changes.

B. To increase market inefficiencies.

C. Because the potential gains are significant, and there's a risk of being left behind by rivals. 

Answer: C

Explanation: The author suggests that banks might embrace generative AI because the potential gains are significant, and there's a risk of being left behind by rivals.

 

15. What potential risks to financial markets and the global economy does the author highlight?

A. The risk of AI algorithms becoming too diverse

B. The risk of generative AI causing market crashes

C. The risks of adopting generative AI without careful consideration 

Answer: C

Explanation: The author highlights the risks of adopting generative AI without careful consideration, which could impact financial markets and the global economy.

 

16. What is the main takeaway from the author's discussion of AI in financial markets?

A. AI algorithms always lead to market crashes.

B. The use of AI in financial markets has both benefits and potential risks. 

C. Banks should immediately embrace generative AI without hesitation.

Answer: B

Explanation: The main takeaway is that the use of AI in financial markets has both benefits and potential risks, and a cautious approach is needed.

 

17. Overall, how does the author view the role of AI in financial markets?

A. AI has no place in financial markets.

B. AI is the sole solution to all financial market challenges.

C. AI can offer benefits but also poses potential risks, and its adoption should be carefully considered. 

Answer: C

Explanation: The author views AI as having the potential to offer benefits in financial markets but emphasizes the importance of careful consideration due to its associated risks.

 

 

 

Chapter 2 What is Money

 

Ppt

 

Content:

·      M0, M1, M2, M3

·      Money Supply and Inflation

·      Money velocity

·      Fractional Banking System

·      Money multiplier and reserve ratio

 

 

 

Part I What is Money?  

 

·        There is no single "correct" measure of the money supply: instead, there are several measures, classified along a spectrum or continuum between narrow and broad monetary aggregates.

        Narrow measures include only the most liquid assets, the ones most easily used to spend (currency, checkable deposits).

        Broader measures add less liquid types of assets (certificates of deposit, etc.)

 

Type of money

M0

MB

M1

M2

M3

Notes and coins in circulation (outside Federal Reserve Banks and the vaults of depository institutions) (currency) 

Notes and coins in bank vaults (Vault cash)

Federal Reserve Bank credit (required reserves and excess reserves not physically present in banks)

Traveler’s checks of non-bank issuers

Demand deposits

Other checkable deposits (OCDs)

Savings deposits

Time deposits less than $100,000 and money market deposit accounts for individuals

Large time deposits, institutional money market funds, short-term repurchase and other larger liquid assets

All money market funds

        M0: In some countries, such as the United Kingdom, M0 includes bank reserves, so M0 is referred to as the monetary base, or narrow money.

        MB: is referred to as the monetary base or total currency.  This is the base from which other forms of money (like checking deposits, listed below) are created and is traditionally the most liquid measure of the money supply.

        M1: Bank reserves are not included in M1. (M1 and Components @ Fed St. Louise website)

        M2: Represents M1 and "close substitutes" for M1. M2 is a broader classification of money than M1. M2 is a key economic indicator used to forecast inflation. (M2 and components @ Fed St. Louise website)

        M3: M2 plus large and long-term deposits. Since 2006, M3 is no longer published by the US central bank. However, there are still estimates produced by various private institutions. (M3 and components at Fed St. Louise website)

 

In class exercise:

1. What does M0 represent in the money supply?

a) Total currency

b) Checking deposits

c) Savings deposits

Answer: a

Explanation: M0 includes all the physical currency in circulation and in bank vaults.

 

2. Which component is included in M2 but not in M1?

a) Savings deposits

b) Notes and coins in circulation

c) Demand deposits

Answer: a

Explanation: M1 includes demand deposits, while M2 adds savings deposits and close substitutes.

 

3. What is the key purpose of M2 in economic forecasting?

a) Projecting GDP growth

b) Predicting interest rates

c) Forecasting inflation

Answer: c

Explanation: M2 is a broader classification used to predict changes in the overall price level (inflation).

 

4. Which measure includes large and long-term deposits that M2 does not?

a) M0

b) M1

c) M3

Answer: c

Explanation: M3 includes M2 components plus large, long-term deposits.

 

5. What is the primary component of M0?

a) Savings deposits

b) Notes and coins in circulation

c) Traveler's checks

Answer: b

Explanation: M0 primarily consists of physical currency in circulation.

 

6. Which measure is known as the monetary base?

a) M1

b) MB

c) M2

Answer: b

Explanation: The monetary base (MB) is the total currency, including bank reserves.

 

7. What does M1 represent in the money supply?

a) Narrow money

b) Broad money

c) Long-term investments

Answer: a

Explanation: M1 is a narrow measure, including highly liquid assets.

 

8. What happened to the publication of M3 by the US central bank after 2006?

a) It became more detailed.

b) It was discontinued.

c) It included fewer components.

Answer: b

Explanation: M3 was no longer published by the US central bank after 2006.

 

9. Which measure includes large time deposits and institutional money market funds?

a) M2

b) M1

c) M3

Answer: c

Explanation: M3 includes M2 components and larger assets.

 

10. What is the primary focus of M1 in the money supply?

a) Including large deposits

b) Representing broad money

c) Capturing the most liquid assets

Answer: c

Explanation: M1 focuses on highly liquid assets.

 

Let’s watch this money supply video: Khan academy money supply M0, M1, M2 (video)

 

In class exercise

1. What is the role of the Central Bank in a country's monetary system?

a) Print physical currency

b) Regulate the stock market

c) Provide loans to individuals

Answer: a

Explanation: The Central Bank is responsible for issuing and regulating the physical currency in circulation.

 

2. Which term is used for securities that are easily tradable and can be bought and sold in large quantities?

a) Liquid securities

b) Rare assets

c) Illiquid investments

Answer: a

Explanation: Liquid securities are easily tradable assets that can be quickly converted into cash.

 

3. What is the most basic form of money in an economy?

a) M1

b) M2

c) Base Money (M0)

Answer: c

Explanation: Base Money (M0) represents the physical currency issued by the Central Bank.

 

4. In the context of money supply, what does M1 include?

a) Physical currency and checking account deposits

b) Savings accounts and stocks

c) Government securities and bonds

Answer: a

Explanation: M1 consists of physical currency and easily accessible checking account deposits.

 

5. What is the primary purpose of a Central Bank purchasing securities in the open market?

a) To regulate the stock market

b) To increase the money supply

c) To fund government spending

Answer: b

Explanation: Central Banks purchase securities to inject money into the economy, increasing the money supply.

 

6. What happens to the money supply when the Central Bank prints more physical currency?

a) It decreases

b) It remains unchanged

c) It increases

Answer:  c

Explanation: Printing more physical currency adds to the money supply.

 

7. What component of the money supply includes savings accounts and time deposits?

a) M0

b) M1

c) M2

Answer: c

Explanation: M2 encompasses M1 and adds savings accounts and time deposits.

 

8. What is the primary difference between M1 and M2?

a) M2 includes physical currency; M1 does not.

b) M2 adds assets that can be easily converted to cash.

c) M1 includes long-term investments.

Answer: b

Explanation: M2 includes M1 plus assets that can be quickly converted into cash.

 

9. Which measure of money supply is the most comprehensive but may not be reported by central banks?

a) M1

b) M2

c) M3

Answer: c

Explanation: M3 is a broader measure of money supply, but it may not be reported by all central banks.

 

 

 

 

Draw Me The Economy: Money Supply (video)

 

For discussion:

  • What could happen if we increase money supply?
  •  What about reduce money supply?
  • What are the possible ways to reduce money supply?
  • Among M0, M1, M2, M3, which one is the correct measure of money?
  • Why M2 is >> M0?
  • Why does M2 increase much faster than M1? Does it has any impact on you?

 

In class exercise

 

1. What is the term for the creation of money by banks through accounting entries when granting loans?

a) Currency printing

b) Money multiplication

c) Fractional reserve banking

Answer: c

Explanation: Fractional reserve banking is the practice where banks create money by lending out a fraction of their deposits.

 

2. What economic effect does an increase in the money supply have, resulting from banks granting more loans?

a) Inflation

b) Deflation

c) Stagnation

Answer: a

Explanation: An increase in the money supply from more loans often leads to inflation, where prices rise due to excess money in circulation.

 

3. In a deflationary economy, what tends to happen to consumers' buying behavior?

a) They increase non-essential purchases.

b) They put off non-essential purchases.

c) They buy at regular rates.

Answer: b

Explanation: In deflation, consumers often delay non-essential purchases because they expect prices to decrease further.

 

4. In an economy with high inflation, what typically happens to consumers' purchasing power?

a) It increases.

b) It remains unchanged.

c) It decreases.

Answer: c

Explanation: High inflation erodes the purchasing power of money, causing it to decrease over time.

 

5. What is the target inflation rate considered ideal for a stable economy by most economists?

a) 0-1%

b) 2-4%

c) 5-7%

Answer: b

Explanation: Most economists consider a target inflation rate of 2-4% as ideal for maintaining economic stability.

 

6. What economic situation arises when there is too little money in circulation, causing prices to fall?

a) Stagflation

b) Inflation

c) Deflation

Answer: c .

Explanation: Deflation occurs when prices fall due to a shortage of money in circulation, leading to economic challenges.

 

 

 

 

 

Inflation continues to rise, but ‘the year-over-year numbers are pretty meaningless at this point,’ says economist—what actually matters

Published Wed, Sep 13 2023    9:23 AM EDT

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/13/inflation-rises-in-august-why-its-not-as-bad-as-it-looks.html

 

Summary:

        Inflation is at 3.7%, higher than usual.

        The Fed is trying to slow down inflation

        Inflation is rising again, but it may not be as bad as it sounds.

 

Heres whats happening: Driven by surging energy prices, the closely watched year-over-year inflation rate climbed from 3.2% to 3.7% in August, according to the Labor Bureaus latest consumer index report. Thats still well above the Federal Reserves target rate of 2%, so it remains a concern.

 

However, the year-over-year rate should be taken with a grain of salt, as it no longer reflects the dramatic drop from peak prices in summer 2022.

 

This has created a distortion known as base effects where monthly price increases in 2023 seem more significant than they actually are, even though theyre growing at nearly half the rate we saw in 2022.

 

The year-over-year numbers are pretty meaningless at this point,says Daniel Altman, chief economist at Instawork, an online staffing platform. What matters is the current path of prices.

 

Inflation has slowed by other measures

To better gauge where inflation is headed, the Federal Reserve says its closely monitoring core inflation, a measure of inflation that excludes volatile food and energy prices, which can fluctuate wildly in a given month.

 

When you look at this measure, inflation is trending in the right direction. In August, core inflation rose by 0.3% after increasing by 0.2% the previous two months. Thats less than half the monthly rate we were seeing in early 2022.

 

The sweet spot is about 0.2%, says Sarah House, economist at Wells Fargo. Wells Fargo expects overall inflation to continue cooling, with a forecast of 2.2% inflation in 2024, says House.

 

“Were starting to see progress on on inflation, she says. But theres still quite a bit of distance before we reach the overall target of 2%.

 

What this means for you

To reduce inflation, the Fed has discouraged spending by making it more expensive to borrow money. This has been done through a series of interest rate hikes, which have risen from near-zero in March 2022 to its current range of 5.25% to 5.5% the highest its been in 22 years.

 

This means increased credit card and loan costs for consumers. These costs have started to add up, too:

 

        The average interest rate for credit cards is now over 20% an all-time high, Bankrate reports.

        Interest rates for new auto loans now average 7.4%, the highest theyve been in over 15 years, per Edmunds.

        The average student loan interest rate for undergrads has risen from 4.99% during the 2022-2023 school year to 5.5% for the 2023-2024 school year, according to the U.S. Department of Education.

 

The good news is that the Fed is unlikely to announce another interest rate hike when it meets Sept. 19-20, based on Wednesdays data. The likelihood of any increase dropped to 5% as of Wednesday morning, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, which measures rate hike probabilities.

 

Thats largely because the economy has finally shown signs of cooling, as unemployment has increased, job gains have declined and wage growth has slowed.

 

And with core inflation decelerating in recent months, there’s little justification for another hike, says Altman. Just keeping rates at this level is still applying the brakes to the economy.

 

In class exercise

 

1. What is the current inflation rate in August 2023?

a) 2%

b) 3.2%

c) 3.7%

Answer: c

 

2. What is the Federal Reserve's target inflation rate?

a) 5%

b) 3%

c) 2%

Answer: c 

 

3. Why is the year-over-year inflation rate considered less meaningful now?

a) It no longer reflects the dramatic drop in prices.

b) It shows prices are rising too quickly.

c) It indicates a stable economy.

Answer: a

Explanation: The year-over-year rate is distorted by past price drops and may not reflect current trends.

 

4. What does "base effects" refer to in the context of inflation?

a) The core factors driving inflation.

b) The impact of energy prices on inflation.

c) Distortions caused by past price changes.

Answer: c

Explanation: "Base effects" refer to distortions caused by past price changes.

 

5. What measure of inflation excludes volatile food and energy prices?

a) Core inflation

b) Year-over-year inflation

c) Peak inflation

Answer: a

Explanation: Core inflation excludes volatile food and energy prices to provide a more stable measure.

 

6. How did core inflation change in August?

a) It decreased by 0.2%.

b) It increased by 0.3%.

c) It remained unchanged.

Answer: b 

 

7. What is the current range of the Federal Reserve's interest rates?

a) 0% to 1%

b) 3% to 4%

c) 5.25% to 5.5%

Answer: c

 

8. What impact do interest rate hikes have on borrowing money?

a) They make borrowing cheaper.

b) They make borrowing more expensive.

c) They have no effect on borrowing.

Answer: b

Explanation: Interest rate hikes increase the cost of borrowing money.

 

9. What is the average interest rate for credit cards now?

a) 10%

b) 15%

c) Over 20%

Answer: c

 

10. What is the average interest rate for new auto loans currently?

a) 5%

b) 7.4%

c) 10%

Answer: b

 

11. How has the average student loan interest rate for undergrads changed from 2022-2023 to 2023-2024?

a) It decreased.

b) It remained the same.

c) It increased.

Answer: c

Explanation: The average student loan interest rate for undergrads increased from 4.99% to 5.5%.

 

12. Why is the Fed less likely to announce another rate hike?

a) The economy is heating up.

b) The economy is cooling down.

c) It wants to encourage more borrowing.

Answer: b

Explanation: The Fed is less likely to announce another rate hike because the economy is showing signs of cooling.

 

13. What is the overall target for inflation according to the article?

a) 1%

b) 2%

c) 3%

Answer: b

 

14. What is the primary tool the Fed has used to combat inflation?

a) Reducing taxes

b) Raising interest rates

c) Increasing government spending

Answer: b

Explanation: The primary tool the Fed has used to combat inflation is raising interest rates to discourage spending.

 

·        From https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/money-supply-m2

Related

Last

Previous

Unit

Reference

Interest Rate

5.50

5.50

percent

Sep 2023

Money Supply M1

18320.40

18447.00

$ Billion

Aug 2023

Money Supply M0

5559100.00

5517700.00

$ Million

Aug 2023

Money Supply M2

20865.30

20905.30

$ Billion

Aug 2023

Central Bank Balance Sheet

8002064.00

8024090.00

$Million

Sep 2023

Banks Balance Sheet

22746.10

22916.40

$ Billion

Sep 2023

Foreign Exchange Reserves

36449.00

37114.00

$Million

Aug 2023

Loans to Private Sector

2763.14

2762.74

$ Billion

Aug 2023

Repo Rate

5.40

5.40

percent

Oct 2023

In class exercise

1. What is the change in Money Supply M2 from Aug 2023 to Sep 2023?

a) Increase of $0.40 Billion

b) Increase of $0.50 Billion

c) Decrease of $0.40 Billion

Answer: a

 

2. What is the change in Foreign Exchange Reserves from Aug 2023 to Sep 2023?

a) Increase of $665.00 Million

b) Decrease of $665.00 Million

c) Increase of $665.40 Million

Answer: b

 

3. What is the change in Central Bank Balance Sheet from Sep 2023 to Oct 2023?

a) Increase of $200.26 Million

b) Increase of $2.19 Billion

c) Decrease of $2.19 Billion

Answer: b

 

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/money-supply-m0

 

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/money-supply-m1

 

 

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/money-supply-m2

 

 

 

From https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/default.htm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Part II Money Supply,  Money Velocity, and Inflation

The velocity of money is the frequency at which one unit of currency is used to purchase domestically- produced goods and services within a given time period. In other words, it is the number of times one dollar is spent to buy goods and services per unit of time.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V#:~:text=The%20velocity%20of%20money%20is,services%20per%20unit%20of%20time

 

In class exercise

 

1. What does the velocity of money measure?

a) How quickly we spend our money.

b) The total amount of money we have.

c) How many foreign goods we buy.

Answer: a

 

2. What does a higher velocity of money mean?

a) We are saving more.

b) Money is being spent faster in the economy.

c) We have less money.

Answer: b

 

 

 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V

aa-modified.jpg

 

 

What Is the Velocity of Money?

The velocity of money is a measurement of the rate at which money is exchanged in an economy. It is the number of times that money moves from one entity to another. It also refers to how much a unit of currency is used in a given period of time. Simply put, it's the rate at which consumers and businesses in an economy collectively spend money.

 

The velocity of money is usually measured as a ratio of gross domestic product (GDP) to a country's M1 or M2 money supply.

 

Velocity of Money = GDP ÷ Money Supply

 

What Does Velocity of Money Measure?

The velocity of money estimates the movement of money in an economyin other words, the number of times the average dollar changes hands over a single year. A high velocity of money indicates a bustling economy with strong economic activity, while a low velocity indicates a general reluctance to spend money.

 

How Do You Calculate the Velocity of Money?

The velocity of money is calculated by dividing a country's gross domestic product by the total supply of money. This calculation can use either the M1 money supply, which includes physical currency, checkable deposits, and certain other figures, or the M2 supply, which also includes savings deposits and money market funds.

 

Why Is the Velocity of Money So Low?

The velocity of money in the United States fell sharply during the first and second quarters of 2020, as calculated by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. While there is no definitive explanation, the fall is likely due to the diminished activity incurred during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as an increase in consumer savings due to economic uncertainty.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/velocity.asp

 

In class exercise

 

Questions 1: How do you find the velocity of money?

A) Multiply GDP by Money Supply

B) Divide GDP by Money Supply

C) Subtract Money Supply from GDP

Answer: B

 

Questions 2: What does it mean if the velocity of money is low?

A) People are spending a lot

B) People are hesitant to spend money

C) Prices are increasing rapidly

Answer: B

Explanation: A low velocity suggests that people are not eager to spend their money.

 

Question 3: Which money category includes savings accounts and money market funds?

A) M1

B) M2

C) M3

Answer: B

 

4. Why did the velocity of money drop in 2020, according to the St. Louis Federal Reserve?

A) More economic activity

B) Less savings

C) COVID-19 pandemic and more savings

Answer: C

Explanation: The velocity fell because of less economic activity during the pandemic and more people saving money.

 

5. What does a high velocity of money mean for an economy?

A) The economy is slowing down

B) The economy is very active

C) Prices are going down a lot

Answer: B

Explanation: A high velocity suggests that people are spending a lot in the economy.

 

6.     What's the reason for calculating the velocity of money?

A) To see how much money people are saving

B) To understand economic growth

C) To know about stock market performance

Answer: B

Explanation: It helps us know how quickly the economy is growing and how much people are spending.

 

7.     What happens when the velocity of money is too high?

A) The economy gets very slow

B) Prices go up a lot

C) People save more money

Answer: B

Explanation: If the velocity is too high, it can lead to prices rising rapidly.

 

 

 

 

 The Velocity of Money Explained in One Minute (youtube)

 

In class exercise

 

1. What does the velocity of money measure?

A) The amount of money in circulation

B) The rate at which currency changes hands

C) The value of a dollar

Answer: B

Explanation: The velocity of money measures how quickly a unit of currency is used in transactions. It's about how fast money moves from one person to another.

 

2. What is the role of commercial banks in the issue of inflation?

A) They increase the velocity of money

B) They decrease the velocity of money

C) They have no impact on the velocity of money

Answer: B

Explanation: Commercial banks slow down the use of money by holding onto a lot of it, which means money changes hands less often.

 

3. How does giving money directly to individuals affect inflation?

A) It decreases inflation

B) It has no effect on inflation

C) It increases inflation

Answer: C

Explanation: When people get money directly, they're more likely to spend it. More spending can make prices go up, which is inflation.

 

4. What happens to the velocity of money if banks start lending more to people?

A) It decreases

B) It stays the same

C) It increases

Answer: C

Explanation: If banks lend more, people have more money to spend, and it moves through the economy faster. So, the velocity of money goes up.

 

5. What is the primary factor determining whether inflation occurs when money is created?

A) The amount of money created

B) The velocity of money

C) The type of goods and services bought

Answer: B

Explanation: The speed at which money moves around (velocity) is a big factor in deciding if prices go up (inflation) when new money is made.

 

6. Why does the video suggest that inflation doesn't simply appear when more money is pumped into the system?

A) Because money always leads to inflation

B) Because the velocity of money matters too

C) Because central banks control inflation

Answer: B

Explanation: It's not just about how much money there is; it's also about how quickly it's used. The speed matters.

 

7. Which term describes money that banks hold in excess of what they're required to keep on hand?

A) Excess currency

B) Extra money

C) Excess reserves

Answer: C

Explanation: Excess reserves are the extra money banks have above what they need to keep safe.

 

Money Velocity Is At An All-Time Low. Why Does It Matter?

Forbes Finance Council, Ivan IllanForbes Councils Member

Forbes Finance CouncilCOUNCIL POST| Membership (Fee-Based), Apr 25, 2022,07:00am EDT

https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesfinancecouncil/2022/04/25/money-velocity-is-at-an-all-time-low-why-does-it-matter/?sh=3100496c3dfa

 

 

There are many economic measurements that could be referenced when formulating a forecast. You’re probably familiar with economic data like unemployment figures, Fed funds rate and the inflation rate. Those are important but don’t necessarily tell the whole story on the state of the economy, much less the direction to which things may be headed. In my and my team’s own research, as part of our investment committee decision-making discussions, we often like to seek out more obscure data. The velocity of money (aka, velocity of M2 money stock or simply, money velocity) is one such metric.

 

Money velocity (MV) isn’t a complicated concept. The Federal Reserve might describe it as the turnover rate of a dollar through the U.S. economy. A higher MV figure means a dollar is cycling through domestic transactions for goods and services more frequently. Conversely, a lower figure would mean the exact opposite, which could indicate a slowing economic backdrop.

 

Referencing data on MV from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, you can see something noteworthy. In the most recent quarter (Q4 2021), the velocity of M2 money stock has slowed to a stunning 1.123. Essentially, this means that one USD cycled through the U.S. economy in Q4 2021 about 1.123 times. During the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), MV went from a high of 1.989 at the GFC’s start in Q3 2007 to a low of 1.712 by end of the crisis in Q1 2009. Now surprisingly, MV is 34.4% lower than where it was at coming out of the GFC. This seems troubling.

 

It’s possible that a declining MV could have been directly attributed to record low interest rates, which resulted from record high growth of money supply. After all, the formula for MV is simple: GDP/money supply. Therefore, a huge increase in the denominator naturally results in a lower figure without the same corresponding increase in GDP. If not cycling through transactions, where did all that newly minted money go?

 

Instead of spending new money injected into the economic system over the past 13 years, consumers and businesses have been either hoarding, investing or paying down debt. Household savings rates spiked during the past couple of years, which resulted in cash hoarding in checking and savings accounts.

 

Since the GFC, and because of record low interest rates, investors allocated monies toward various asset classes, primarily corporate stock shares and real estate. Households took some of that new money and paid down debt, while corporations took advantage of the low rates and issued record amounts of new debt. U.S. corporations are now sitting atop the highest corporate debt mountain in U.S. history.

In class exercise

 

1. What is the velocity of money (MV) a measure of?

A) The speed of dollar bills

B) The turnover rate of a dollar through the economy

C) The value of a dollar bill

Answer: B

Explanation: MV measures how quickly a dollar moves through the economy, being spent on goods and services.

 

2. How does a higher MV figure suggest?

A) It indicates a slowing economy

B) It means the economy is growing rapidly

C) It has no impact on the economy

Answer: B

Explanation: A higher MV figure suggests that dollars are changing hands frequently, indicating a more active economy.

 

3. What does a lower MV figure imply?

A) Economic stability

B) A stagnant economy

C) A rapidly growing economy

Answer: B

Explanation: A lower MV figure means that dollars are not circulating as much, which can suggest economic stagnation.

 

4. What does MV stand for?

A) Money Value

B) Monetary Velocity

C) Money Volume

Answer: B

Explanation: MV stands for Monetary Velocity, representing the speed at which money moves through the economy.

 

5. How is MV calculated?

A) By counting the number of dollar bills in circulation

B) By dividing GDP by money supply

C) By adding up the value of all goods and services in an economy

Answer: B

Explanation: Velocity of Money = GDP ÷ Money Supply

 

6. What was the MV figure in Q4 2021, according to the article?

A) 1.989

B) 1.123

C) 1.712

Answer: B

Explanation: In Q4 2021, the MV figure was 1.123, meaning a dollar cycled through the U.S. economy about 1.123 times during that period.

 

7. How does the current MV compare to the period after the Great Financial Crisis (GFC)?

A) It is significantly higher

B) It is about the same

C) It is significantly lower

Answer: C

Explanation: The current MV is 34.4% lower than it was after the GFC.

 

8. What might have contributed to the decline in MV?

A) High GDP growth

B) Low interest rates and increased money supply

C) Reduced government spending

Answer: B

Explanation: Low interest rates and a surge in money supply could lead to a lower MV because money may not be spent as quickly.

 

9. How have consumers and businesses used newly injected money into the economy in recent years?

A) They have spent it on goods and services

B) They have hoarded it, invested it, or paid down debt

C) They have donated it to charity

Answer: B

 

Explanation: Instead of spending the new money, consumers and businesses have saved it, invested it, or used it to reduce their debts.

 

10. What happened to household savings rates in recent years?

A) They remained constant

B) They decreased

C) They spiked

Answer: C

 

Part III What is Fractional Reserve Banking System?

 

 

Money creation in a fractional reserve system | Financial sector | AP Macroeconomics | Khan Academy

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gd8B-zrMSYk

 

In Class Exercise

1. What is the result of multiplying the initial amount by (1 / Reserve requirement)?

a) The number of banks involved

b) The maximum effect on M1 money supply

c) The number of IOUs created

Answer: b

Explanation: Multiplying the initial amount by (1 / Reserve requirement) gives you the maximum effect on M1 money supply.

 

2. What is the maximum effect on M1 money supply when the reserve requirement is 20%?

a) 2 times the initial amount

b) 5 times the initial amount

c) 10 times the initial amount

Answer: b

Explanation: When the reserve requirement is 20%, the maximum effect on M1 money supply is 5 times the initial amount.

 

3. What happens to the money supply when banks minimize their reserves?

a) It decreases

b) It increases

c) It remains unchanged

Answer: b

Explanation: When banks minimize their reserves, it increases the money supply through lending.

 

Fractional Reserve Banking

By JULIA KAGAN Updated August 10, 2022, Reviewed by SOMER ANDERSON

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fractionalreservebanking.asp#:~:text=Fractional%20reserve%20banking%20is%20a,systems%20use%20fractional%20reserve%20banking.

 

What Is Fractional Reserve Banking?

Fractional reserve banking is a system in which only a fraction of bank deposits are backed by actual cash on hand and available for withdrawal. This is done to theoretically expand the economy by freeing capital for lending. Today, most economies' financial systems use fractional reserve banking.

 

KEY TAKEAWAYS

·       Fractional reserve banking describes a system whereby banks can loan out a certain amount of the deposits that they have on their balance sheets.

·       Banks are required to keep on hand a certain amount of the cash that depositors give them, but banks are not required to keep the entire amount on hand.

·       Often, banks are required to keep some portion of deposits on hand, which is known as the bank's reserves.

·       Some banks are exempt from holding reserves, but all banks are paid a rate of interest on reserves.

 

Understanding Fractional Reserve Banking

Banks are required to keep on hand and available for withdrawal a certain amount of the cash that depositors give them. If someone deposits $100, the bank can't lend out the entire amount. Nor are banks required to keep the entire amount on hand. Many central banks have historically required banks under their purview to keep 10% of the deposit, referred to as reserves. This requirement is set in the U.S. by the Federal Reserve and is one of the central bank's tools to implement monetary policy. Increasing the reserve requirement takes money out of the economy while decreasing the reserve requirement puts money into the economy.

 

Historically, the required reserve ratio on non-transaction accounts (such as CDs) is zero, while the requirement on transaction deposits (e.g., checking accounts) is 10 percent. Following recent efforts to stimulate economic growth, however, the Fed has reduced the reserve requirements to zero for transaction accounts as well.

 

Fractional Reserve Requirements

Depository institutions must report their transaction accounts, time and savings deposits, vault cash, and other reservable obligations to the Fed either weekly or quarterly. Some banks are exempt from holding reserves, but all banks are paid a rate of interest on reserves called the "interest rate on reserves" (IOR) or the "interest rate on excess reserves" (IOER). This rate acts as an incentive for banks to keep excess reserves.

 

Reserve requirements for banks under the Federal Reserve Act were set at 13%, 10%, and 7% (depending on what kind of bank) in 1917. In the 1950s and '60s, the Fed had set the reserve ratio as high as 17.5% for certain banks, and it remained between 8% to 10% throughout much of the 1970s through the 2010s.

 

During this period, banks with less than $16.3 million in assets were not required to hold reserves. Banks with assets of less than $124.2 million but more than $16.3 million had to have 3% reserves, and those banks with more than $124.2 million in assets had a 10% reserve requirement.

 

Beginning March 26, 2020, the 10% and 3% required reserve ratios against net transaction deposits was reduced to 0 percent for all banks, essentially removing the reserve requirements altogether.

 

Prior to the introduction of the Fed in the early 20th century, the National Bank Act of 1863 imposed 25% reserve requirements for U.S. banks under its charge.

 

Fractional Reserve Multiplier Effect

 

"Fractional reserve" refers to the fraction of deposits held in reserves. For example, if a bank has $500 million in assets, it must hold $50 million, or 10%, in reserve.

Analysts reference an equation referred to as the multiplier equation when estimating the impact of the reserve requirement on the economy as a whole. The equation provides an estimate for the amount of money created with the fractional reserve system and is calculated by multiplying the initial deposit by one divided by the reserve requirement. Using the example above, the calculation is $500 million multiplied by one divided by 10%, or $5 billion.

 

This is not how money is actually created but only a way to represent the possible impact of the fractional reserve system on the money supply. As such, while is useful for economics professors, it is generally regarded as an oversimplification by policymakers.

 

What Are the Pros of Fractional Reserve Banking?

Fractional reserve banking permits banks to use funds (i.e., the bulk of deposits) that would be otherwise unused and idle to generate returns in the form of interest rates on new loans—and to make more money available to grow the economy. It is thus able to better allocate capital to where it is most needed.

 

What Are the Cons of Fractional Reserve Banking?

Fractional reserve banking could catch a bank short of funds on hand in the self-perpetuating panic of a bank run. This occurs when too many depositors demand their cash at the same time, but the bank only has, say 10% of deposits in liquid cash available. Many U.S. banks were forced to shut down during the Great Depression because too many customers attempted to withdraw assets at the same time. Nevertheless, fractional reserve banking is an accepted business practice that is in use at banks worldwide.

 

Where Did Fractional Reserve Banking Originate?

Nobody knows for sure when fractional reserve banking originated, but it is certainly not a modern innovation. Goldsmiths during the Middle Ages were thought to issue demand receipts for gold on hand that exceeded the amount of physical gold they had under custody, knowing that on any given day only a small fraction of that gold would be demanded.

 

In 1668, Sweden's Riksbank introduced the first instance of modern fractional reserve banking.

 

In Class Exercise

 

1. What is the basic idea of fractional reserve banking?

a) Banks keep all the money.

b) Banks only keep some money and lend the rest.

c) Banks don't use money.

Answer: b

Explanation: Fractional reserve banking means banks don't keep all the money; they lend some of it out.

 

 

2. Why do banks not keep all the deposited money?

a) They don't like to keep money.

b) To lend out money and make more.

c) They want to save money for later.

Answer: b

Explanation: Banks lend out some of the deposited money to earn interest and help the economy.

 

3. What is the usual amount banks must keep in reserve?

a) 100% of deposits.

b) 50% of deposits.

c) 10% of deposits.

Answer: c

Explanation: Banks often keep 10% of deposits in reserve, not all of it.

 

4. Why might central banks reduce reserve requirements?

a) To slow down the economy.

b) To make banks keep more money.

c) To boost the economy by lending more money.

Answer: c

Explanation: Lowering reserve requirements encourages banks to lend more, helping the economy grow.

 

5. What is the Fractional Reserve Multiplier Effect?

a) Counting the number of banks in a country.

b) Estimating how reserve rules affect the money supply.

c) Making copies of money.

Answer: b

Explanation: It's a way to figure out how reserve rules impact the total money available.

 

6. What's one advantage of fractional reserve banking?

a) Banks always have enough money.

b) It helps banks earn money and support the economy.

c) Banks can't lend money.

Answer: b

Explanation: Fractional reserve banking lets banks make profits and lend money to help the economy grow.

 

7. What's one downside of fractional reserve banking?

a) Banks don't make any money.

b) Banks can run out of cash during a crisis.

c) Banks don't lend any money.

Answer: b 

Explanation: In a crisis, if too many people want their money at once, banks may not have enough cash on hand.

 

8. Which bank introduced modern fractional reserve banking?

a) Riksbank in Sweden.

b) A bank in the USA.

c) A bank in England.

Answer: a

Explanation: The modern version of fractional reserve banking began with Riksbank in Sweden.

 

 

 

Example: You deposited $1,000 in a local bank

 

 

 

 image006.jpg

 

Iteration #

Deposited

=

Reserves

+

Available to Lend

Bank

Lends to

1. A

1,000.00

=

100

+

900

A

2. B

900

=

90

+

810

3. C

810

=

81

+

729

C

4. D

729

=

72.9

+

656.1

D

And the cycle continues

 

Summary:

First Cycle:

·       Initial Deposit: A customer puts $1,000 in the bank.

·       Bank Keeps Some: The bank keeps $100 as a reserve (like saving for later).

·       Money to Lend: The bank has $900 to lend to others.

·       Lend It Out: The bank lends all $900 to people who need loans.

·       Reserved Money: The bank still has $100 saved in reserve.

·       Customer's View: The customer thinks they still have $1,000 in their account, even though $900 was lent out.

Second Cycle:

·       Money Returns: The $900 that was lent out comes to the second bank.

·       Reserve Again: The bank sets aside $90 (10% of $900) as a reserve.

·       More to Lend: After the reserve, the bank has $810 to lend.

·       Lend It Again: The bank lends all $810 to others.

·       Reserved Funds: The bank still has $90 saved in reserve.

·       Customer's Belief: The two customers still thinks they have $1,000+ $900=$1,900, even though $1,710 was lent out.

Third Cycle:

·       Money Returns Again: The $810 from the last cycle comes to the third bank.

·       Reserve Once More: The bank sets aside $81 (10% of $810) as a reserve.

·       Money to Lend Again: After the reserve, the bank has $729 to lend.

·       Lend It Again: The bank lends all $729 to others.

·       Money Saved: The bank still has $81 saved as a reserve.

·       Customer's Belief Continues: The three customers still believes they have $1,000+ $900+$810=$2,710, even though $2,439 has been lent out in the first three cycles.

This cycle keeps going, with the bank lending out most of the money while customers believe they still have the full amount in their accounts. The bank saves a fraction (10%) as a reserve and uses the rest for lending. This way, banks can lend money to help the economy grow while ensuring they have some money set aside for safety.

 

 

 

Iteration #

Deposited by

Amount Held

Amount

Total Amount that

Total Amount that

Total Amount

Total Amount that

Customer

in Reserve

Currently

“Can” be

Has Been

Held in Reserve

Customers Believe

 

from Deposit

Available to

Lent Out

Lent Out

 

They Have

 

 

Lend Out

 

 

 

 

 

 

from Deposit

 

 

 

 

1

1,000.00

100

900

900

0

100

1,000.00

2

900

90

810

1,710.00

900

190

1,900.00

3

810

81

729

2,439.00

1,710.00

271

2,710.00

4

729

72.9

656.1

3,095.10

2,439.00

343.9

3,439.00

5

656.1

65.61

590.49

3,685.59

3,095.10

409.51

4,095.10

6

590.49

59.05

531.44

4,217.03

3,685.59

468.56

4,685.59

7

531.44

53.14

478.3

4,695.33

4,217.03

521.7

5,217.03

8

478.3

47.83

430.47

5,125.80

4,695.33

569.53

5,695.33

9

430.47

43.05

387.42

5,513.22

5,125.80

612.58

6,125.80

10

387.42

38.74

348.68

5,861.89

5,513.22

651.32

6,513.22

….

 

Excel Template (FYI) – Fractional reserve banking

 

 

 

 

Homework of chapter 2 (due with second midterm)

 

1.     Write down the definition of M0, M1, M2 and M3; Which one is used as a measure of money supply in this country? How much is it by the end of July 2020?

2.      From Fed St. Louis website, find the most recent charts of M1 money stock and M2 money stock.

a.      http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/categories/24

b.     Compare the two charts and discuss the differences between the two charts. 

3.     What is fractional banking system?

4.     Imagine that you deposited $100,000 in Bank A. Reserve ratio is 0.1.  Imagine that the fractional banking system is fully functioning. After five cycles, what is the amount that has been deposited and what is the total amount that has been lent out? Template here FYI

5.     What is Money velocity? Briefly explain the relationship between money velocity and inflation?

6.     Briefly explain how changes in money supply and velocity affect inflation?

7.     What is the relationship between reserve ratio and money multiplier?

 

8.     (optional for extra credit) Refer to the video, and write a summary:

 

Weaknesses of fractional reserve lending (khan academy)

 

 

9.     (optional for extra credit) “United States - Velocity of M1 Money Stock was 1.44600 Ratio in April of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Velocity of M1 Money Stock reached a record high of 10.70300 in October of 2007 and a record low of 1.19500 in July of 2021.” --- https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/velocity-of-m1-ratio-q-sa-fed-data.html#:~:text=United%20States%20%2D%20Velocity%20of%20M1%20Money%20Stock%20was%201.44600%20Ratio,1.19500%20in%20July%20of%202021.

·       What does the information about how fast money is used, its historical ups and downs, and its effects on economic policies tell us about the economy?

 

 

Money Multiplier and Reserve Ratio

 

https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/67/money/money-multiplier-and-reserve-ratio-in-us/

 

money-multiplier-definition

The Money Multiplier refers to how an initial deposit can lead to a bigger final increase in the total money supply.

For example, if the commercial banks gain deposits of £1 million and this leads to a final money supply of £10 million. The money multiplier is 10.

The money multiplier is a key element of the fractional banking system.

  1. There is an initial increase in bank deposits (monetary base)
  2. The bank holds a fraction of this deposit in reserves and then lends out the rest.
  3. This bank loan will, in turn, be re-deposited in banks allowing a further increase in bank lending and a further increase in the money supply.

 

 

The Reserve Ratio

 

The reserve ratio is the % of deposits that banks keep in liquid reserves.

For example 10% or 20%

Formula for money multiplier

money-multiplier-formula

 

In theory, we can predict the size of the money multiplier by knowing the reserve ratio.

  • If you had a reserve ratio of 5%. You would expect a money multiplier of 1/0.05 = 20
  • This is because if you have deposits of £1 million and a reserve ratio of 5%. You can effectively lend out £20 million.

 

Example of money multiplier

  • Suppose banks keep a reserve ratio of 10%. (0.1)
  • Therefore, if someone deposits $100, the bank will keep $10 as reserves and lend out $90.
  • However, because $90 has been lent out other banks will see future deposits of $90.
  • Therefore, the process of lending out deposits can start again.money-multiplier-table

Note: This example stops at stage 10. In theory, the process can continue for a long time until deposits are fractionally very small.

money-multiplier-graph

  • If allowed to repeat for an infinite number of times, the final total deposits would be $1,000
  • Money multiplier = 1/0.1 = 10.
  • Final increase in money supply = 10 x $100 = $1,000

 

Using the Reserve ratio to influence monetary policy

In theory, if a Central Bank demands a higher reserve ratio it should have the effect of acting like deflationary monetary policy. A higher reserve ratio should reduce bank lending and therefore reduce the money supply.

Money Multiplier in the real world

In a simple theory of the money multiplier, it is assumed that if the bank lends $90 all of this will return. However, in the real world, there are many reasons why the actual money multiplier is significantly smaller than the theoretically possible money multiplier.

  1. Import spending. If consumers buy imports the money leaves the economy
  2. Taxes. A percentage of income will be taken in taxes.
  3. Savings. Not all money is spent and circulated, a significant percentage will be saved
  4. Currency Drain Ratio. This is the % of banknotes that individual consumers keep in cash, rather than depositing in banks. If consumers deposited all their cash in banks, there would be a bigger money multiplier. But, if people keep funds in cash then the banks cannot lend more
  5. Bad loans. A bank may lend out $90 but the company goes bankrupt and so this is never deposited bank into the banking system.
  6. Safety reserve ratio. This is the % of deposits a bank may like to keep above the statutory reserve ratio. i.e. the required reserve ratio may be 5%, but banks may like to keep 5.2%.
  7. It might not be possible to lend more money out. Just because banks could lend 95% of their deposits doesnt mean they can, even if they wanted to. In a recession, people may not want to borrow, but they prefer to save.
  8. Banks may not want to lend Also, at various times, the banks may not want to lend, e.g. during a recession they feel firms and individuals more likely to default. Therefore, the banks end up with a higher reserve ratio.

Therefore, due to these factors, the reserve ratio and money multiplier are theoretical.

Loan first multiplier

The money multiplier model suggests banks wait for deposit and then lend out a fraction. However, in the real world, banks may take it upon themselves to issue a loan, and then seek out reserves from other financial institutions/Central Bank or private individuals.

For example, in the credit bubble of 2000-2007, many banks were lending mortgages by borrowing on short-term money markets. They were lending money that wasnt related to saving deposit accounts.

Money multiplier and quantitative easing

monetary-base-cpi

 

In 2009-12 Central Banks pursued quantitative easing. This involves increasing the monetary base. – Buying bonds off banks gave them greater cash reserves. In theory, this increase in the money multiplier should increase the overall money supply by a large amount due to the money multiplier

m4-money-supply-since-05

 

 

However, in practice, this didn’t occur. The money supply didn’t increase because banks were not keen to lend any extra money. Also, banks were trying to improve their reserves following the credit crunch and their previous over-extension of loans.

 

In class exercise

 

1. What is the Money Multiplier's main function?

a) To increase interest rates.

b) To decrease the money supply.

c) To show how much an initial deposit can boost the total money supply.

Answer: c

Explanation: The Money Multiplier helps us understand how a little bit of money can make a lot more money in the economy.

 

2. If a bank gets deposits of $1,000 and the Money Multiplier is 5, how much money can it create?

a) $1,000

b) $5,000

c) $10,000

Answer: b

Explanation: With a Money Multiplier of 5, the bank can turn every $1 into $5 by lending it out to others.

 

3. What does the Reserve Ratio tell us?

a) How much money people save in their bank accounts.

b) The percentage of deposits banks must keep safe.

c) How much money a bank can lend to customers.

Answer: b

Explanation: The Reserve Ratio tells us how much money a bank has to keep safe and cannot lend out.

 

4. If the Reserve Ratio is 20%, what's the Money Multiplier?

a) 1/0.2 = 5

b) 0.2

c) 0.05

Answer: a

Explanation: When the Reserve Ratio is 20%, the Money Multiplier is 5, meaning every $1 in the bank can become $5 in the economy.

 

5. Why might the real Money Multiplier be smaller than the theoretical one?

a) Because banks always lend out every penny.

b) Because people keep some money in cash and save some.

c) Because banks want to lend as much as possible.

Answer: b

Explanation: In reality, people save money, which means not all of it gets lent out, reducing the Money Multiplier.

 

6. How does a higher reserve ratio affect the Money Multiplier?

a) It makes the Money Multiplier bigger.

b) It doesn't change the Money Multiplier.

c) It makes the Money Multiplier smaller.

Answer: c

Explanation: A higher reserve ratio means banks can't lend as much, so the Money Multiplier becomes smaller.

 

7. What does a higher reserve ratio mean for banks?

a) They can lend more money.

b) They must keep more money in reserve and can't lend as much.

c) They can lower interest rates.

Answer: b

Explanation: A higher reserve ratio means banks have to keep more money safe, so they can't lend as much.

 

8. What happens to the Money Multiplier if people save more and spend less?

a) It gets smaller.

b) It stays the same.

c) It gets bigger.

Answer: a

Explanation: When people save more and spend less, banks can't lend as much, which makes the Money Multiplier smaller.

 

9. What role did banks play during the credit bubble of 2000-2007?

a) They only lent money from savings deposit accounts.

b) They lent money borrowed from short-term money markets.

c) They didn't lend any money.

Answer: b

Explanation: During the credit bubble, banks borrowed money from short-term markets to make loans, not just from people's savings.

 

10. How does the real world differ from the money multiplier model?

a) In the real world, banks always lend every deposit they get.

b) In the real world, banks may not lend all deposits, and various factors can affect the Money Multiplier.

c) In the real world, banks never keep reserves.

Answer: b

Explanation: Real-world factors like people's spending habits and banks' decisions can make the Money Multiplier different from what the model suggests

 

 

  https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2023/07/the-monetary-multiplier-and-bank-reserves/

 

Chapter 3 Financial Instruments, Financial Markets, and Financial Institutions

 

Ppt

 

Part I: Examples and characteristics of financial instruments 

 

What Is a Financial Instrument?  Video

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/financialinstrument.asp

 

Financial instruments are assets that can be traded, or they can also be seen as packages of capital that may be traded. Most types of financial instruments provide efficient flow and transfer of capital all throughout the world's investors. These assets can be cash, a contractual right to deliver or receive cash or another type of financial instrument, or evidence of one's ownership of an entity.

 

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • A financial instrument is a real or virtual document representing a legal agreement involving any kind of monetary value.
  • Financial instruments may be divided into two types: cash instruments and derivative instruments.
  • Financial instruments may also be divided according to an asset class, which depends on whether they are debt-based or equity-based.
  • Foreign exchange instruments comprise a third, unique type of financial instrument.

 

Understanding Financial Instruments

Financial instruments can be real or virtual documents representing a legal agreement involving any kind of monetary value. Equity-based financial instruments represent ownership of an asset. Debt-based financial instruments represent a loan made by an investor to the owner of the asset.

 

Foreign exchange instruments comprise a third, unique type of financial instrument. Different subcategories of each instrument type exist, such as preferred share equity and common share equity.

 

International Accounting Standards (IAS) defines financial instruments as "any contract that gives rise to a financial asset of one entity and a financial liability or equity instrument of another entity."

 

Types of Financial Instruments

Financial instruments may be divided into two types: cash instruments and derivative instruments.

 

Cash Instruments

The values of cash instruments are directly influenced and determined by the markets. These can be securities that are easily transferable.

Cash instruments may also be deposits and loans agreed upon by borrowers and lenders.

 

Derivative Instruments

The value and characteristics of derivative instruments are based on the vehicle’s underlying components, such as assets, interest rates, or indices.

An equity options contract, for example, is a derivative because it derives its value from the underlying stock. The option gives the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the stock at a specified price and by a certain date. As the price of the stock rises and falls, so too does the value of the option although not necessarily by the same percentage.

There can be over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives or exchange-traded derivatives. OTC is a market or process whereby securities–that are not listed on formal exchanges–are priced and traded.

 

Types of Asset Classes of Financial Instruments

Financial instruments may also be divided according to an asset class, which depends on whether they are debt-based or equity-based.

 

Debt-Based Financial Instruments

Short-term debt-based financial instruments last for one year or less. Securities of this kind come in the form of T-bills and commercial paper. Cash of this kind can be deposits and certificates of deposit (CDs).

 

Exchange-traded derivatives under short-term, debt-based financial instruments can be short-term interest rate futures. OTC derivatives are forward rate agreements.

 

Long-term debt-based financial instruments last for more than a year. Under securities, these are bonds. Cash equivalents are loans. Exchange-traded derivatives are bond futures and options on bond futures. OTC derivatives are interest rate swaps, interest rate caps and floors, interest rate options, and exotic derivatives.

 

Equity-Based Financial Instruments

Securities under equity-based financial instruments are stocks. Exchange-traded derivatives in this category include stock options and equity futures. The OTC derivatives are stock options and exotic derivatives.

 

In class exercise

 

1. What are financial instruments?

a) Virtual documents

b) Real assets

c) Assets that can be traded

Answer: c

 

2. What is the main purpose of financial instruments?

a) To represent ownership of a car

b) To transfer capital among investors

c) To represent virtual agreements

Answer: b

Explanation: Financial instruments help transfer capital among investors.

 

3. How are equity-based financial instruments defined?

a) As ownership of an asset

b) As loans from investors

c) As virtual agreements

Answer: a

Explanation: Equity-based financial instruments represent ownership of an asset.

 

4. What do debt-based financial instruments represent?

a) A loan from a borrower

b) A virtual currency

c) A legal agreement involving monetary value

Answer: a

Explanation: Debt-based financial instruments represent a loan made by an investor to the owner of the asset.

 

5. What is a derivative financial instrument?

a) An instrument that derives its value from underlying components

b) An instrument only found in foreign markets

c) An instrument that represents ownership of a company

Answer: a

Explanation: Derivative financial instruments derive their value from underlying components like assets, interest rates, or indices.

 

6. What is an example of a cash instrument?

a) A certificate of deposit

b) A stock option

c) A bond

Answer: a

Explanation: Cash instruments include deposits, loans, and securities that are easily transferable, such as certificates of deposit (CDs).

 

7. What is the key characteristic of derivative instruments?

a) Their value is determined by markets.

b) They always involve physical assets.

c) They represent ownership of companies.

Answer: a

Explanation: Derivative instruments derive their value from underlying components and are influenced by market conditions.

 

8. What are short-term debt-based financial instruments?

a) Securities with a maturity of one year or less

b) Long-term loans

c) Stocks

Answer: a

Explanation: Short-term debt-based financial instruments have a maturity of one year or less, such as T-bills and commercial paper.

 

9. What is the primary function of over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives?

a) They are virtual documents.

b) They are traded on formal exchanges.

c) They are priced and traded outside of formal exchanges.

Answer: c

Explanation: OTC derivatives are traded outside of formal exchanges.

 

10. What does a bond represent among financial instruments?

a) Ownership of an asset

b) A virtual contract

c) A loan that lasts for more than a year

Answer: c

Explanation: Bonds are long-term debt-based financial instruments.

 

11. How are foreign exchange instruments different from other financial instruments?

a) They are always virtual agreements.

b) They are influenced by stock markets.

c) They involve currency exchange.

Answer: c

Explanation: Foreign exchange instruments involve the exchange of currencies, making them unique among financial instruments.

 

Getting to Know the Money Market

 

By BARCLAY PALMER Updated June 08, 2021

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/04/071304.asp

 

The major attributes that draw an investor to short-term money market instruments are superior safety and liquidity. Money market instruments have maturities that range from one day to one year, although they are most often three months or less. Because these investments are associated with massive and actively traded secondary markets, you can almost always sell them prior to maturity, albeit at the price of forgoing the interest you would have gained by holding them until maturity.

 

Types of Money Market Instruments

A large number of financial instruments have been created for the purposes of short-term lending and borrowing. Many of these money market instruments are quite specialized, and they are typically traded only by those with intimate knowledge of the money market, such as banks and large financial institutions.

 

Some examples of these specialized instruments are federal funds, the discount window, negotiable certificates of deposit (NCDs), eurodollar time deposits, repurchase agreements, government-sponsored enterprise securities, shares in money market instruments, futures contracts, futures options, and swaps.

 

Aside from these specialized instruments on the money market are the investment vehicles with which individual investors will be more familiar, such as short-term investment pools (STIPs) and money market mutual funds, Treasury bills, short-term municipal securities, commercial paper, and bankers' acceptances. Here we take a closer look at STIPs, money market mutual funds, and Treasury bills.

 

Short-Term Investment Pools and Money Market Mutual Funds

Short-term investment pools (STIPs) include money market mutual funds, local government investment pools, and short-term investment funds of bank trust departments. All STIPs are sold as shares in very large pools of money market instruments, which may include any or all of the money market instruments mentioned above. In other words, STIPs are a convenient means of cumulating various money market products into one product, just as an equity or fixed income mutual fund brings together a variety of stocks, bonds, and so forth.

 

STIPs make specialized money market instruments accessible to individual investors without requiring intimate knowledge of the various instruments contained within the pool. STIPs also alleviate the large minimum investment amounts required to purchase most money market instruments, which generally equal or exceed $100,000.

Money market accounts are safe, low-risk investments. They're generally a good place to put your money, especially if you need immediate access to it while you collect interest. Institutions offer higher interest rates because they use the funds in money market accounts to invest in short-term assets with short-term maturities, as noted above.

How does the Money Market work? (video)

In class exercise based on the above video

 

1. Why do people like money market accounts?

a) They make you rich.

b) You can get your money quickly.

c) They invest in stocks.

Answer: b

Explanation: People like money market accounts because you can access your money quickly.

 

2. What does a money market account mainly invest in?

a) Long-term debt.

b) Real estate.

c) Short-term debt.

Answer: c

Explanation: Money market accounts mostly invest in short-term debt.

 

3. Are money market accounts risky?

a) No, they are low-risk.

b) Yes, they are high-risk.

c) Risk depends on the day.

Answer: a

Explanation: Money market accounts are not very risky.

 

4. How do money market accounts and savings accounts differ?

a) Money market accounts pay higher interest.

b) Savings accounts are less safe.

c) Money market accounts have extra fees.

Answer: c

Explanation: Money market accounts have fees, which is different from savings accounts.

 

5. What are the two main types of money market funds?

a) Happy and sad funds.

b) Taxable and non-taxable funds.

c) Big and small funds.

Answer: b

Explanation: The two main types of money market funds are taxable and non-taxable.

 

6. Can interest rates in money market funds change?

a) No, they stay the same.

b) Yes, they can go up or down.

c) Interest rates don't matter.

Answer: b

Explanation: Interest rates in money market funds can change.

 

7. What's the main goal of a money market fund?

a) To make you rich quickly.

b) To keep your cash safe from inflation.

c) To limit losses and offer a bit of interest.

Answer: c

Explanation: The main goal of a money market fund is to limit losses while providing a little interest.

  

Part II: Order types (supplement materials)

 

Understanding order types by wall street survivor (youtube)

 

In class exercise

 

1. What does a market order allow an investor to do?

a) Buy or sell a stock at any price he wants

b) Buy or sell a stock at its current bid-ask price

c) Buy or sell a stock only when the market is closed

Answer: b

Explanation: A market order allows Eric to buy or sell a stock at the current bid-ask price in the market.

 

2. What is a key feature of limit buy orders?

a) They allow Eric to buy at any price

b) They set a maximum price for buying

c) They guarantee the best price available

Answer: b

Explanation: Limit buy orders allow Eric to specify the highest price he's willing to pay for a stock.

 

3. When does a limit sell order execute?

a) When the stock price reaches a specific target

b) When Eric decides to sell at any time

c) When the stock price is at its highest point

Answer: a

Explanation: A limit sell order executes when the stock price reaches the specified minimum selling price set by Eric.

 

4. What is the purpose of a stop sell order?

a) To buy a stock at a lower price

b) To buy a stock when the price drops

c) To sell a stock when the price drops to limit losses or secure gains

Answer: c

Explanation: A stop sell order is used to sell a stock if its price drops to a specific level, helping to manage risk or lock in profits.

 

5. When might an investor use a stop buy order?

a) When he wants to sell a stock quickly

b) When he believes a stock's price will rise

c) When he wants to buy a stock at a lower price

Answer: b

Explanation: an investor uses a stop buy order when he expects a stock's price to increase and wants to get in on the potential upward momentum.

 

6. What is a trailing stop order designed to do?

a) Lock in profits and prevent further gains

b) Buy or sell a stock at any time

c) Follow the market price and protect against losses

Answer: c

Explanation: A trailing stop order moves with the market price and is designed to protect against potential losses while allowing for further gains.

 

7. How does a trailing stop order work when a stock's price is rising?

a) It locks in profits.

b) It does nothing.

c) It increases the stop price.

Answer: c

Explanation: When a stock's price rises, a trailing stop order increases the stop price to lock in profits at a higher level.

 

8. When does a stop sell order execute?

a) When an investor decides to sell at any time

b) When the stock price drops to a specified level

c) When the stock price is at its highest point

Answer: b

Explanation: A stop sell order executes when the stock price drops to the level set by an investor to limit losses or secure gains.

 

Understanding Stock Orders that you can try

o   Market order:  A market order instructs your broker to buy or sell the stock immediately at the prevailing price, whatever that may be.

 

o   Limit order:  Limit orders instruct your broker to buy or sell a stock at a particular price. The purchase or sale will not happen unless you get your price.

               image014.jpg(www.investorpedia.com)

For example, our example portfolio purchased shares of Wal-Mart for $70.35 per share. Now we plan to sell our WMT shares after they realize a $10, or roughly 20%, increase. However, rather than constantly checking the market several times in a single day, with the intent of entering a market sell order once WMT reaches at least $80.35 per share, we can submit a simple limit sell order to do that for us.

 
Click on Sell for the Transaction type and enter 100 for the Quantity. For the order price, you need to select the button corresponding to Limit and then enter 80.35 as the limit price - this will ensure your order to sell WMT shares will not occur unless you can get at least $80.35 per share for your position of WMT shares. We keep the order's Term set at "Good Till Cancelled", which means the order will stay active and be processed once WMT shares reach or exceed your limit price. (*Note: We could have set Term to be "Day Order", which means the order would expire at the end of the current trading day if the order does not execute).

As you can see, the use of limit sell orders is very useful if you wish to sell a stock at a specific target price, but are unwilling or unable to regularly check intraday or daily closing prices of the stock. Also, an added advantage of using limit sell orders is that they remove the emotional component of making trading decisions. Too often, investors will be tempted to hold on to a winning stock even once it becomes overpriced. Submitting a limit sell order immediately after you buy the stock is a good time to avoid any emotional complications, allowing you to better maintain your strategy and realize superior long-term returns.

Similarly, limit buy orders are equally useful. You can enter a limit buy order with a certain limit price, which allows you to buy a set number of shares only if the stock's market price equal to, or lower than, the maximum limit price you entered. In our example portfolio we purchased WMT for $70.35/share with a market buy order. But perhaps we thought WMT was a bit overpriced at the time, so we could have used a limit buy order to purchase 100 shares only if WMT fell to $65.00/share or less. That way, we only buy at a price we believe is fair. If WMT does not fall to $65, the order will not be processed.

 

 

3.       Stop loss order:  A stop loss order gives your broker a price trigger that protects you from a big drop in a stock.

            image015.jpg (www.investorpedia.com)

Essentially, a stop order is "dormant" until a stock's price falls to the specified "stop price". In other words, a stop order is an instruction to your brokerage to buy (or sell) a specified number of shares of a company when the prevailing market price is equal or higher than (or, in the case of a sell stop order, equal or lower than) the specified price that you submitted. In our example portfolio, we purchased shares of Google Inc (Nasdaq: GOOG) for $463.18 per share. Many investors use a sell stop order to limit their losses, meaning that they'll automatically sell if a stock goes down a certain percentage.

Entering a stop order is an efficient and cost-effective means of limiting losses by avoiding the agony of regularly checking your stock and deciding whether to hold or sell it. For instance, if a so-called growth stock has headed south, an investor may choose to hold, hoping the share price might rebound, but if it doesn't, losses can quickly mount.

 

    1. Short selling: 

video

For class discussion: Pro and cons of short selling?

image016.jpg(www.investorpedia.com)

As you can see, short selling follows the conventional investing principle of “buying low” and “selling high” but with one critical difference – the sequence of the buy and sell transactions. While the buy transaction precedes the sell transaction in conventional “long only” investing, in short selling, the sell transaction precedes the buy transaction.

When you short sell, you create a short position or a shortfall. A short position represents a binding obligation that must be closed or covered at some point. This “short covering” obligation gives rise to one of the biggest risks of short selling, as discussed later in this tutorial. 

Short selling is also known as "shorting," "selling short" or "going short." To be short a security or asset implies that one is bearish on it and expects the price to decline. Short selling has also spawned some of the most colorful terms in the investment lexicon.

Short selling can be used for speculation or hedging. Speculators use short selling to capitalize on a potential decline in a specific security or the broad market. Hedgers use the strategy to protect gains or mitigate losses in a security or portfolio. Note that institutional investors and savvy individuals frequently engage in short selling strategies simultaneously for both speculation and hedging. Hedge funds are among the most active short sellers, and often use short positions in select stocks or sectors to hedge their long positions in other stocks.

Short sellers are often portrayed as cynical, hardened individuals who are bent on making profits by driving the companies that are their “short” targets to failure and bankruptcy. The reality, however, is that short sellers facilitate smooth functioning of the markets by providing liquidity, and also act as a restraining influence on investors who may be prone to chase overhyped stocks, especially during periods of irrational exuberance. 

Short selling is viewed by many investors as an inordinately dangerous strategy, since the long-term trend of the equity market is generally upward and there is theoretically no upper limit to how high a stock can rise. But under the right circumstances, short selling can be a viable and profitable investment strategy for experienced traders and investors who have an adequate degree of risk tolerance and are familiar with the risks involved in shorting. 

 Example:

Let's say XYZ's current ask price is 53. You place an order to buy at a limit price of 50. If the price of the security falls to 50, your order may be executed. If you had placed a limit order to buy at 53 or above, your order would have been "marketable" and executed right away.

 

In Class Exercise part I   

 

Multiple Choices

1.   A trading order that immediately purchases stock at the prevailing price is called a:

a.   stop-loss order

b.   limit order.

         c.   market order.

 (DEFINITION of 'Stop-Loss Order': An order placed with a broker to sell a security when it reaches a certain price. A stop-loss order is designed to limit an investor’s loss on a position in a security. Although most investors associate a stop-loss order only with a long position, it can also be used for a short position, in which case the security would be bought if it trades above a defined price. A stop-loss order takes the emotion out of trading decisions and can be especially handy when one is on vacation or cannot watch his/her position. Also known as a “stop order” or “stop-market order.”) video: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stop-lossorder.asp )


2.   A trading order that immediately purchases stock or is completely cancelled is called a:

a.  stop-loss order.

           b.  fill-or-kill limit order.

c.  market order.

d.  open order.

(DEFINITION of 'Fill Or Kill - FOK': A type of time-in-force designation used in securities trading that instructs a brokerage to execute a transaction immediately and completely or not at all. This type of order is most likely to be used by active traders and is usually for a large quantity of stock. The order must be filled in its entirety or canceled (killed). The purpose of a fill or kill order is to ensure that a position is entered at a desired price.)

(Definition of ‘Open Order’: A type of order to buy or sell a security that remains in effect until it is either canceled by the customer, until it is executed or until it expires. Open orders commonly occur when investors place restrictions on their buy and sell transactions. A lack of liquidity in the market or for a particular security can also cause an order to remain open. )

 
3.     A  trading order that is canceled unless executed within a designated time period is called a

a.    stop-loss order.

b.    limit order.

c.    market order.

        d.    fill or kill order.

 

4.     Limit orders:

a.    specify a certain price at which a market order takes effect.

           b.    specify a particular price to be met or bettered.

c.    are executed at the best price available.

d.    are orders entered for a particular day.

 

5.     A market order is an instruction to:

        a)    immediately buy a security at the current bid price. ----- (wrong, because buy at the ask price, and sell at the bid price)

b)    buy if the market price at least reaches the specified price target.

c)    sell at or above a specified price target.

        d)    none of these.

 

 

 

Part III: IPO, SEO, Primary Market and Secondary Market

What is an IPO? | CNBC Explains (video)

In class exercise

 

1. What does IPO stand for?

a) International Public Offering

b) Initial Public Offering

c) Important Private Organization

Answer: b

Explanation: IPO stands for Initial Public Offering, which means making a private company public by selling its stock to the public.

 

2. Why might a company decide to go public?

a) To keep ownership limited to a small group of investors

b) To avoid regulatory oversight

c) To raise money for growth and investments

Answer: c

Explanation: Going public helps a company raise funds to grow and invest in various aspects of the business.

 

3. What is the role of an underwriting firm in an IPO?

a) To provide funds for the IPO and assist in the process

b) To buy shares from the public

c) To regulate the stock exchange

Answer: a

Explanation: An underwriting firm funds the IPO and helps with various aspects of the process.

 

4. How long does it typically take to complete the IPO process?

a) About a week

b) Around four months

c) Over a year

Answer: b

Explanation: The IPO process usually takes about four months to complete.

 

5. Who are the initial owners of a private company?

a) Thousands of shareholders

b) A large group of investors

c) A small group of investors, including founders and professional investors

Answer: c

 

6. What happens during an IPO ceremony at a stock exchange?

a) A company's founders make speeches

b) Shareholders gather to discuss company matters

c) Traditionally, a bell is rung or a gong is struck

Answer: c

Explanation: IPO ceremonies often involve ringing a bell or striking a gong to mark the occasion.

 

7. What is one potential drawback of going public?

a) Easier access to funds

b) Increased regulatory oversight

c) Limited ownership by founders

Answer: b

Explanation: Going public subjects a company to increased regulatory oversight.

 

Facebook's Initial Public Offering - An IPO Case Study (updated, youtube)

 

In class exercise

 1: Why do companies want IPOs?

A) To get money from people who buy their shares

B) To give money to the company's owners

C) To make new friends

Answer: A

Explanation: Via IPOs, companies can raise money by selling their shares to the public.

 

2: What was Facebook's initial IPO share price?

A) $25.50 per share

B) $38 per share

C) $40 per share

Answer: B

Explanation: Facebook's initial IPO share price was set at $38 per share.

 

3: How did Facebook make money from its users?

A) By making users pay to use it

B) By selling users' information to others

C) By selling space for ads on the website

Answer: C

Explanation: Facebook earned money by letting advertisers show ads on its website.

 

 

4: How fast did Facebook's sales grow from 2006 to 2011?

A) About 50%

B) More than 140%

C) Less than 10%

Answer: B

Explanation: Facebook's sales grew very fast, over 140%, from 2006 to 2011.

 

5: What was the price range Facebook aimed for during its IPO?

A) $20 to $25 per share

B) $28 to $35 per share

C) $45 to $50 per share

Answer: B

Explanation: Facebook wanted to sell its shares for a price between $28 and $35 each during the IPO.

 

6: Why did some investors label Facebook's IPO a fiasco shortly after it went public?

A) Because the stock price immediately skyrocketed

B) Because the company's fundamentals were weak

C) Because the stock price dropped significantly after the IPO

Answer: C

Explanation: Facebook's stock price dropped by more than 30% shortly after the IPO, leading to negative perceptions of the offering.

 

7: What factors attracted advertisers to Facebook as an advertising platform?

A) Its lack of user engagement

B) Its limited user base

C) Its massive reach, high user engagement, and targeted ad capabilities

Answer: C

Explanation: Advertisers were attracted to Facebook due to its large user base, high user engagement, and the ability to target ads at specific users.

 

 

8: What was the net income of Facebook at the time of its IPO?

A) $1 billion

B) $700 million

C) $500 million

Answer: B

Explanation: Facebook's net income at the time of its IPO was $700 million.

 

 

 

For class discussion:

1. What is IPO? SEO? Who are the major participants?

2. What is the primary market? What is the secondary market? Who are the major participants in these markets?

3. Shall a company go public? What is your opinion?

4. Is investing in an IPO a good idea in 2023? In 2025?

 

IPO Calendar

This Week (http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/ipo-calendar)

 

RECENTLY PRICED                             

RECENTLY PRICED • 7 TOTAL

COMPANY NAME

SYMBOL

EXCHANGE

PRICE

SHARES

IPO DATE

Quetta Acquisition

QETAU 0.90%

Nasdaq

$10.00

6,000,000

10/6/2023

Spark I Acquisition

SPKLU 0.90%

Nasdaq

$10.00

10,000,000

10/6/2023

Maison Solutions

MSS -18.30%

Nasdaq

$4.00

2,500,000

10/5/2023

Adlai Nortye

ANL 0.12%

Nasdaq

$23.00

2,500,000

9/29/2023

Gamer Pakistan

GPAK 0.00%

Nasdaq

$4.00

1,700,000

9/29/2023

VS Media

VSME -17.18%

Nasdaq

$5.00

2,000,000

9/28/2023

Lead Real Estate

LRE 3.50%

Nasdaq

$7.00

1,143,000

9/27/2023

 

 

 

Ho      Homework ( DUE with the second midterm exam)

1)     What are the differences between market order and limit order?

2)     What is short selling stock? How to short sell a stock?

3)     Check three stocks listed above in the IPO table.

·       Follow these stocks and report their performances one month after the IPO.

·       Summarize your findings.   

4)     What are the major differences between NYSE and NASDAQ?

5)     What are the major differences among Dasdaq 100, S&P 500 and the Dow?

6)     What is money market?

7)     Watch Robinhood to allow users to buy into IPOs

 Would you like to invest in IPOs through Robinhood? Why or why not?

 

 

 

 

 

Part IV: NASDAQ vs. NYSE

 

What is the difference between NYSE and NASDAQ? (video)

 

Summary: NYSE vs. Nasdaq: What's Different?

·       Leading Stock Exchanges:

NYSE: The New York Stock Exchange

Nasdaq: National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations

·       How They Trade:

NYSE: People on the trading floor shout and use hand signals to buy and sell stocks.

Nasdaq: It's like online shopping; people trade stocks through a computer system.

·       Who Can List:

NYSE: Companies need to have a lot of shares and shareholders.

Nasdaq: Companies need a good number of shares and a minimum price for their shares.

·       Company Size:

NYSE: Companies on NYSE need to be pretty big, with shares worth at least $4 each.

Nasdaq: They have some rules, but they don't mention how big a company needs to be.

·       Dealing with Dealers:

Nasdaq: Companies listing here need at least three dealers to help with their stocks.

·       Cost to List:

NYSE: It can be expensive, up to $250,000 to list your company here.

Nasdaq: Costs between $50,000 to $75,000 to list a company.

 

 In class exercise

 

1: What is the NYSE?

A) A type of car

B) A place to trade stocks

C) A famous restaurant

Answer: b

Explanation: The NYSE is where people trade stocks, like buying and selling shares in companies.

 

2: How do people trade on the Nasdaq?

A) Through a computer system

B) By shouting and using hand signals

C) By sending letters

Answer: a

Explanation: Nasdaq is a stock exchange where people use computers to trade stocks, like shopping online.

 

3: What does a company need to have to list on the NYSE?

A) A small number of shares

B) Expensive office space

C) A lot of shares and shareholders

Answer: c

Explanation: To be on the NYSE, a company must have many shares and many people who own those shares.

 

4: What's the cost to list a company on the Nasdaq?

A) $1,000

B) $50,000 to $75,000

C) It's free

Answer: b

Explanation: Listing a company on Nasdaq can cost between $50,000 and $75,000.

 

5: How do people trade on the NYSE?

A) Using a magic wand

B) By sending emails

C) By comparing bid and ask prices

Answer: c

Explanation: On the NYSE, people trade stocks by looking at the prices buyers are willing to pay (bid) and sellers are asking (ask).

 

 

NYSE vs NASDAQ - who has more "mega cap" listings? (video)

 

In class exercise

1. What is the primary focus of the Nasdaq?

a) Energy companies

b) Technology stocks

c) Retail companies

Answer: b

 

2. How many stocks does the Nasdaq Composite Index track?

a) 100 stocks

b) 500 stocks

c) About 4,000 stocks

Answer: c

 

3. What is the primary purpose of a stock market index?

a) To trade stocks

b) To calculate stock prices

c) To provide information about a group of stocks

Answer: c

 

4. Why is the S&P 500 widely used?

a) Because it's a technology index

b) Because it represents 500 large companies

c) Because it's calculated differently

Answer: b

 

5. Which index represents 30 large public U.S. companies?

a) Nasdaq 100

b) S&P 500

c) The Dow

Answer: c

 

6. How is the Dow's calculation different from the S&P 500?

a) It only considers stock prices.

b) It is based on the product of stock price and shares.

c) It includes technology stocks.

Answer: a

 

7. What type of companies are included in the Nasdaq?

a) U.S. technology companies

b) U.S. energy companies

c) U.S. retail companies

Answer: a

 

8. How many large companies does the Nasdaq 100 consist of?

a) 30 companies

b) 100 companies

c) 500 companies

Answer: b

 

9. What criteria are used to select stocks for the S&P 500?

a) Type and age of the company

b) Stock price and shares

c) Size, type, age, and more

Answer: c

 

10. What does the Nasdaq Composite Index measure?

a) The change in all stocks on the Nasdaq

b) The performance of 100 technology stocks

c) The change in stock prices on the NYSE

Answer: a

 

11. What is the primary difference between the Nasdaq and the NYSE?

a) The Nasdaq focuses on technology stocks, while the NYSE focuses on energy stocks.

b) The Nasdaq is a stock exchange and an index, while the NYSE is only a stock exchange.

c) The Nasdaq is based in Europe, while the NYSE is based in the U.S.

Answer: b

 

 

Dec 10, 2018 6:47 AM -05:00, Ben Lobel, Markets Writer

https://www.dailyfx.com/nas-100/NASDAQ-vs-NYSE.html

 

 

NASDAQ and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) are the two largest stock exchanges in the world, providing a platform for trading securities. But while they share similarities in their considerable size and purpose, they are very different markets.

 

Understanding the differences between Nasdaq and NYSE can shed light on how stock market trading works.

NYSE and NASDAQ are the biggest stock exchanges in the world

 

WHAT ARE THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN NASDAQ AND NYSE?

 

The main difference between Nasdaq and NYSE is their markets. Nasdaq is a dealer’s market, with participants trading through a dealer rather than directly with each other, while NYSE is an auction market, which enables individuals to transact between each other on an auction basis.

 

Other differences include the location of the transactions, how traffic is controlled, and the types of companies listed – all of which are explored in more depth in the sections below.

 

The formats that Nasdaq and NYSE take – dealer’s market and auction market respectively – represent a fundamental difference between the way they operate. An auction market, as run by NYSE, is a system based on buyers and sellers entering competitive bids at the same time. The price at which a stock is traded reflects the highest price that a buyer is willing to pay, and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept. Matching bids and offers are then paired together with the orders executed by the ‘specialist’ (see ‘Traffic Control’ below).

However, a dealer’s market, as run by Nasdaq, is a type of market where multiple dealers post prices at which they will buy or sell a specific stock. In a dealer’s market, a dealer is designated as a market maker – a member firm or market participant such as a brokerage company or bank – that actively buys and sells stocks on behalf of traders. Market makers can enable the process of matching up buyers and sellers to be a lot quicker, maintaining liquidity and ensuring an efficient trading process.

 

Location of Transactions

While both institutions are based in New York City, the location of transactions for trading on Nasdaq and on the NYSE are very different. NYSE retains a physical trading floor, although many of the transactions occur at its data center in Mawah, New Jersey.

However, as an electronic exchange, Nasdaq does not have a physical trading floor and operates through direct trading between investors and the market makers. While Nasdaq trading originally took place over a computer bulletin board system, now automated trading systems offer the benefit of daily trading volumes and full reports on trades.

 

Traffic Control

Traffic controllers, in essence, connect buyers and sellers, but their role differs between Nasdaq and NYSE. At each exchange, they are responsible for dealing with traffic problems and ensuring their markets run effectively. However, Nasdaq’s traffic controller, known as the ‘market maker’, actively buys and sells stocks on behalf of traders, while the NYSE’s traffic controller, known as the ‘specialist’, facilitates the market for buyers and sellers through setting opening prices for stocks, accepting limit orders, and moderating interest for particular stocks.

 

The two roles are, on paper, different in that Nasdaq’s market maker effectively creates a market, while NYSE’s specialist simply facilitates it. However, both roles have the same goal of enabling a smooth and orderly market for clients.

It is worth noting that approximately 40% of the volume traded on the Nasdaq is done through an electronic communications network (ECN), which is an automatic system for directly matching buyers and sellers. On the NYSE, only 7% of the volume is done via an ECN, but that could change with evolution towards a hybrid system of humans and machines.

 

Types of Companies Listed

When it comes to the listings on Nasdaq and NYSE, the NYSE trades stocks for around 2,800 companies, while Nasdaq has more than 3,300 listings.

The NASDAQ-100 features 100 of the largest publicly-traded businesses, based on market capitalization, but Nasdaq’s wider exchange features many small and micro-capitalization stocks also.

 

Listing Requirements

Listing requirements differ between Nasdaq and NYSE. Nasdaq listing requirements mean that companies must have at least 1,250,000 shares available for the public to trade, while companies listing on NYSE must have issued a minimum of 1,100,000 to at least 400 shareholders. Other differences include fees; for companies looking to list on the NYSE the entry fee goes up to $500,000, while for Nasdaq, the entry fee ranges from $50,000 to $75,000, with a yearly fee of around $27,000.

Additionally, there is a minimum share price of $4 for NYSE-listed companies and the market value of the company’s public shares must be at least $40 million. For a listing on Nasdaq, companies must have a minimum of three dealers for its stocks.

 

Perception of Stocks

The general perception of the stocks on Nasdaq and NYSE is that the more volatile trades are to be found on Nasdaq. This is because long-established, stable companies are more often found on the NYSE, with examples ranging from Coca Cola to Citigroup, IBM and Walmart. The Nasdaq, on the other hand, has more of a reputation for listing fast-growth tech businesses with potentially more scope for dramatic price movement. Stocks to be found on Nasdaq include Facebook, Apple, Google and Amazon.

 

Private vs Public

The ownership structure of each exchange used to be different to how it is today. Formerly, Nasdaq was listed as a publicly-traded corporation, while the NYSE was private. However, in March 2006, the NYSE went public, making its shares available to traders on an exchange. Traders can bet on Nasdaq and NYSE through the Nasdaq and NYSE platforms respectively.

 

HOW TRADERS CAN USE THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN NASDAQ AND NYSE TO THEIR ADVANTAGE

In summary, when choosing which stock markets to go for as a trader, you might consider the following:

  • Volatility: If you’re looking for stocks with the potential for rapid price movements, you may find more opportunities on Nasdaq. On the other hand, NYSE offers shares that are generally more established and stable.
  • Nature of trading: If you want to trade through floor brokers, you will have that option with NYSE, while Nasdaq offers electronic trading. Products offered by both can be traded via third-parties, ECNs, and derivatives.

 

Indices

·       NASDAQ indices include the NASDAQ Composite, NASDAQ-100, and NASDAQ Biotechnology.

·       Indices on the NYSE include the Dow Jones Industrial Average and NYSE Composite.

·       Other indices, like the S&P 500 and Russell 1000, include stocks listed on both exchanges.

 

 

 

https://www.diffen.com/difference/NASDAQ_vs_NYSE

 

 

Experience Wall Street Stock Trading In The 1980s (optional)

 

 

Robinhood will give retail investors access to IPO shares  (youtube as well) https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/20/robinhood-will-give-retail-investors-access-to-ipo-shares-a-longstanding-wall-street-dominion.html

 

PUBLISHED THU, MAY 20 2021 11:44 AM EDTUPDATED THU, MAY 20 20211:34 PM EDT Maggie Fitzgerald

 

 

 

Robinhood said it is giving retail investors access to IPO shares. Retail traders typically don’t have a vehicle to buy into newly listed companies until those shares begin trading on an exchange. Robinhood will not be an underwriter for companies hitting the public markets but the stock trading company will get an allocation of shares by partnering with investment banks.

 

It is unclear if Robinhood clients will be able to invest in Robinhood’s pending market debut.

 

IPO shares have historically been set aside for Wall Street’s institutional investors or high-net worth individuals. Retail traders typically don’t have a vehicle to buy into newly listed companies until those shares begin trading on an exchange, which is often after the share price has surged. “We’re starting to roll out IPO Access, a new product that will give you the opportunity to buy shares of companies at their IPO price, before trading on public exchanges. With IPO Access, you can now participate in upcoming IPOs with no account minimums,” Robinhood said in a blog post Thursday.

 

Robinhood will not be an underwriter for companies hitting the public markets but will get an allocation of shares by partnering with investment banks. This move is Robinhood’s latest to antagonize Wall Street. IPO stock pops on the first day averaged 36% in 2020, according to Dealogic, demonstrating individual investor thirst for some of these popular names that is not priced into IPO pricing. These are gains the little guy is missing out on.

 

The traditional IPO process has been criticized in recent years as being broken, with investment banks allotting the shares to big clients who reap the instant first-day gains. Going public by way of direct listing has combated some of these criticisms.

 

Using IPO Access, Robinhood clients will be able to request to buy shares at their initial listing price range. When the final price is set, clients will be able to go through with the purchase, change or cancel.

 

 “We currently anticipate that up to 1.0% of the shares of Class A common stock offered hereby will, at our request, be offered to retail investors through Robinhood Financial, LLC, as a selling group member, via its online brokerage platform,” Figs said in its S1 filing document.

 

“This is the first initial public offering to be included on the Robinhood platform and there may be risks associated with the use of the Robinhood platform that we cannot foresee, including risks related to the technology and operation of the platform, and the publicity and the use of social media by users of the platform that we cannot control,” the company added.

 

The IPO date isn’t set, but companies typically go public one to months after their S1 prospectus is filed with the SEC.

 

It is unclear if Robinhood clients will be able to invest in Robinhood’s pending IPO. The stock trading app is expected to go public in the first half of 2021 and has filed confidentially with the SEC.

 

IPO Access will be rolled out to all clients over the next few weeks.

 

Robinhood’s IPO product comes on the heels of record levels of new, younger traders entering the stock market during the pandemic. That surge has continued into 2021, marked by frenzied trading around so-called meme stocks like GameStop.

 

Online finance start-up SoFi made a move similar to Robinhood’s in March; however, Sofi will be an underwriter for its offered IPOs.

 

https://robinhood.com/us/en/support/articles/ipo-access/  

 

 

For discussion:

·       What advantage to buy pre-IPO shares?

·       What risks are associated with it?

 

 

In Class Exercise

 

1: What is Robinhood giving retail investors access to?

a) Bonds

b) IPO shares

c) Real estate

Answer: b

Explanation: Robinhood is providing retail investors with access to IPO (Initial Public Offering) shares, allowing them to buy shares of companies at their IPO price.

 

2: Why have IPO shares historically been limited to Wall Street's institutional investors?

a) Because retail investors aren't interested in IPOs

b) Because retail investors prefer trading on exchanges

c) Because IPO shares were typically reserved for institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals.

Answer: c

Explanation: IPO shares have traditionally been set aside for institutional investors and wealthy individuals, making it difficult for retail traders to access them.

 

3: How does Robinhood plan to provide access to IPO shares?

a) By becoming an underwriter for IPOs

b) By partnering with investment banks to get an allocation of shares

c) By purchasing IPO shares on the open market

Answer: b

Explanation: Robinhood will collaborate with investment banks to receive an allocation of IPO shares, allowing them to offer these shares to their clients.

 

4: What is the goal of Robinhood's IPO Access product?

a) To provide access to IPO shares at their initial listing price

b) To allow investors to trade shares on public exchanges

c) To facilitate after-market trading of IPO shares

Answer: a

Explanation: The aim of Robinhood's IPO Access is to enable investors to purchase shares of companies at the IPO price before they start trading on public exchanges.

 

5: What is a potential advantage of buying pre-IPO shares?

a) Guaranteed profits

b) Access to shares at a lower price than the post-IPO market

c) Higher liquidity

Answer: b

Explanation: Buying pre-IPO shares allows investors to purchase shares at the IPO price, which is often lower than the price at which they start trading on public exchanges.

 

6: Why has the traditional IPO process been criticized in recent years?

a) Due to a lack of interest from retail investors

b) Because it favors small investors

c) Because investment banks allocate shares to big clients, leading to instant first-day gains.

Answer: c

Explanation: The traditional IPO process has faced criticism for favoring big clients of investment banks, who often benefit from immediate price gains on the first day of trading.

 

7: What role do market makers play on the NYSE American?

a) They regulate the stock market

b) They provide financial advice to investors

c) They buy and sell specific securities to ensure liquidity and an orderly marketplace.

Answer: c

Explanation: Market makers on the NYSE American are responsible for buying and selling specific securities to maintain liquidity and orderliness in the market.

 

 

8: What term was the AMEX known as before it became the American Stock Exchange?

a) NASDAQ

b) New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

c) New York Curb Exchange

Answer: c

Explanation: Before becoming the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), it was known as the New York Curb Exchange.

 

9: What was the reputation of the AMEX in terms of the types of companies it listed?

a) It listed only blue-chip companies

b) It listed companies that couldn't meet NYSE's strict requirements.

c) It specialized in technology companies

Answer: b

Explanation: The AMEX gained a reputation for listing companies that couldn't meet the stringent requirements of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

 

10: What is the primary purpose of an exchange-traded fund (ETF)?

a) To provide direct ownership of a specific stock

b) To track an index or a basket of assets

c) To facilitate short-term trading of stocks

Answer: b

Explanation: ETFs are designed to track the performance of an index or a group of assets, providing investors with diversified exposure.

 

11: Why did many companies postpone their IPO plans in 2022?

a) Due to regulatory issues

b) Because they preferred direct listings

c) Because of factors like inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical events.

Answer: c

Explanation: Many companies delayed their IPOs in 2022 due to concerns related to inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical events affecting market stability.

 

12: Why did some IPOs face challenges in 2022?

a) Because the market was booming

b) Because investors were eager to buy IPO shares

c) Because they struggled to meet the valuation expectations, given changing market conditions.

Answer: c

 

The Fed Jax Tour – 10/17/2023, 1:30 – 2:30 pm, 800, water street, business casual

 

 

 

Second Midterm Exam 10/19/2023 In class

 

Study guide File

 

 

 

Chapter 5 Diversification  Part I -  S&P500 Index

 

Contents:

·      S&P500 Index

·      QQQ

·      Mutual Fund vs. ETF (small cap growth vs. small cap value vs. large growth vs. large value)

·      Behavior Finance

 

ppt

 

Investing in the S&P 500 (video)

 

In class Exercise

 

 1. What does the S&P 500 index consist of?

A. 100 stocks

B. 200 stocks

C. 5,00 stocks

Answer: C.  

 

2. What percentage of the US market capitalization does the S&P 500 cover?

A. 80%

B. 50%

C. 30%

Answer: A. 

Explanation: The S&P 500 covers roughly 80% of the US market capitalization.

 

3. Jared Kizer's analysis of the S&P 500's performance from March 2009 through October 2018 used a statistical method called:

A. Hypothesis testing

B. Bootstrapping

C. Regression analysis

Answer: B

Explanation: Jared Kizer's analysis used bootstrapping to examine the S&P 500's performance during that time period.

 

4. What was the main finding of Jared Kizer's analysis of the S&P 500's performance?

A. The S&P 500's recent performance was highly unlikely.

B. The S&P 500's performance is likely to repeat in the future.

C. The S&P 500's performance is entirely predictable.

Answer: A. 

Explanation: The main finding was that the S&P 500's performance was highly unlikely.

 

5. How many stocks are there in the S&P 500 index?

A. 50

B. 500

C. 1,000

Answer: B. 

Explanation: The S&P 500 consists of 500 US stocks.

 

6. What is one of the key reasons why the S&P 500's future performance is deemed unlikely to match its recent performance?

A. Its low cost

B. Its past performance

C. It being a committee-based index

Answer: C. 

Explanation: The fact that the S&P 500 is a committee-based index is mentioned as a reason for its future performance being unlikely to match its recent performance.

 

: Current valuations are the best predictor of future returns in the stock market.

 

7. The video suggests that global diversification can provide benefits, even when the US stocks have:

A. The lowest volatility

B. The highest returns

C. The most diversified portfolio

Answer: A. 

Explanation: The video highlights that global diversification can provide benefits, even when US stocks have the lowest volatility.

 

Stock  returns from 2013-2023  - Apple and S&P 500 (SPY)

https://aiolux.com/contrasts/side-by-side?scroll=quick_comparison&symbol_arr%5B%5D=AAPL&symbol_arr%5B%5D=SPY&time_span=10y

 

 

Stock  returns from 2013-2023  -  QQQ and S&P 500 (SPY)

https://aiolux.com/contrasts/side-by-side?scroll=quick_comparison&symbol_arr=qqq%2CSPY&time_span=10y

 

 

 

 

 

In class exercise:

 

1: What is the main takeaway from the comparison between AAPL and SPY's volatility?

A) AAPL has higher volatility, indicating it's riskier compared to SPY.

B) AAPL has lower volatility, making it a safer investment.

C) Volatility doesn't affect investment decisions.

Answer: a

Explanation: AAPL's price experiences larger fluctuations, signifying higher risk compared to SPY.

 

2: How would you describe the concept of volatility in the stock market?

A) Volatility represents the speed at which stock prices change.

B) Volatility indicates a stock's profitability.

C) Volatility is a measure of the size and frequency of price fluctuations.

Answer: c

Explanation: Volatility measures how much and how often a stock's price changes, reflecting its risk.

 

3: Based on the volatility data, which investment might be preferred by risk-averse investors?

A) AAPL, as it offers higher returns due to increased volatility.

B) SPY, as it has lower volatility, indicating lower risk.

C) Neither, as risk-averse investors avoid the stock market.

Answer: b

Explanation: Risk-averse investors typically prefer investments with lower volatility because they are less likely to experience significant price fluctuations.

 

4: In the context of stock market volatility, which investment would likely be preferred by long-term investors?

A) AAPL, due to its higher volatility and profit potential.

B) SPY, as it offers lower volatility and reduced short-term risk.

C) Long-term investors don't consider volatility in their decisions.

Answer: b

Explanation: Long-term investors typically prefer investments with lower volatility, like SPY, to reduce the short-term risk associated with price fluctuations.

 

 

https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/AAPL/SPY

 

In class exercise

 

1: What does the Sharpe Ratio measure in the context of investments?

A) The speed at which investment values change.

B) Total return of an investment without considering risk.

C) Risk-adjusted return, considering investment's volatility.

Answer: c

Explanation: The Sharpe Ratio assesses an investment's return in relation to its risk or volatility.

 

2: If two investments have identical Sharpe Ratios, what does that imply?

A) It suggests both investments provide similar risk-adjusted returns.

B) Both investments have the same returns.

C) One investment is riskier than the other.

Answer: a

Explanation: When two investments have the same Sharpe Ratio, it indicates that both offer similar risk-adjusted returns relative to their volatility.

 

3: Using the Sharpe Ratio, which investment would be more favorable for an investor focused on minimizing risk?

A) AAPL, with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.91.

B) SPY, with a Sharpe Ratio of 1.21.

C) The Sharpe Ratio does not help in assessing risk.

Answer: b

Explanation: A higher Sharpe Ratio suggests better risk-adjusted returns, making SPY more favorable for risk-averse investors.

 

4: What is the formula for calculating the Sharpe Ratio?

A) (Return - Risk-Free Rate) / Standard Deviation

B) (Return - Investment Cost) / Total Assets

C) Return / Market Capitalization

Answer: a

Explanation: The Sharpe Ratio is calculated as the excess return of an investment over the risk-free rate divided by its standard deviation, which measures volatility.

 

Regress Apple’s Return on S&P500’s

image020.jpg

Apple and S&P500’s Stand Deviation Comparison

image021.jpg

Questions for class discussion:

·         Which one is better, the S&P500 or Apple? In the past? About the future?

·         Which one is riskier and which one’s return is higher?

·         Are you tempted to invest in APPLE or SP500?

·         How to find the next Apple?

·         How much is the weight of Apple in S&P500? For example, you have a total of $1,000 to invest in SP500, how much you have invested in apple?

·         How are the weights in the following table calculated? (please refer to the following paper)

 

 

S&P 500 Companies by Weight

The S&P 500 component weights are listed from largest to smallest. Data for each company in the list is updated after each trading day. The S&P 500 index consists of most but not all of the largest companies in the United States. The S&P market cap is 70 to 80% of the total US stock market capitalization. It is a commonly used benchmark for stock portfolio performance in America and abroad. Beating the performance of the S&P with less risk is the goal of nearly every portfolio manager, hedge fund and private investor.

 

S&P 500 ETF Components

This list shows the holdings of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY).

#

Company

Symbol

Portfolio%

      Price

1

Apple Inc.

AAPL

7.14%

   172.88

2

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

6.78%

   326.67

3

Amazon.com Inc

AMZN

3.22%

   125.17

4

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

2.88%

   413.87

5

Alphabet Inc. Class A

GOOGL

2.26%

   135.60

6

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A

META

1.95%

   308.65

7

Alphabet Inc. Class C

GOOG

1.94%

   136.74

8

Tesla, Inc.

TSLA

1.85%

   211.99

9

Berkshire Hathaway Class B

BRK.B

1.72%

   335.86

10

Unitedhealth Group Incorporated

UNH

1.37%

   527.03

11

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

1.34%

   584.64

12

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

1.25%

   111.08

13

Jpmorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

1.17%

   142.95

14

Visa Inc.

V

1.05%

   233.38

15

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

1.02%

   153.00

16

Broadcom Inc.

AVGO

1.01%

   853.63

17

Procter & Gamble Company

PG

0.97%

   148.05

18

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

0.90%

   384.41

19

Chevron Corporation

CVX

0.83%

   166.83

20

Home Depot, Inc.

HD

0.81%

   286.41

 

 https://www.slickcharts.com/sp500

Game: Which stock is not among the top 20 stocks in the S&P 500 as of October 21, 2023?

 

For class discussion:

·       Based on the above information, what is your conclusion?

·       When you invest in S&P500, how is the fund allocated?

 

 

 

Ticker

Company Name

6/30/2019

12/31/2018

12/31/2017

12/31/2016

12/31/2015

12/31/2014

MSFT

Microsoft Corp.

4.20%

3.73%

2.89%

2.51%

2.48%

2.10%

AAPL

Apple Inc.

3.54%

3.38%

3.81%

3.21%

3.28%

3.55%

AMZN

Amazon.com Inc.

3.20%

2.93%

2.05%

1.54%

1.45%

0.65%

FB

Facebook Inc.

1.90%

1.50%

1.85%

1.40%

1.33%

0.72%

BRK.B

Berkshire Hathaway Inc

1.69%

1.89%

1.67%

1.61%

1.38%

1.51%

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

1.51%

1.65%

1.65%

1.63%

1.59%

1.61%

GOOG

Alphabet Inc. Class C

1.36%

1.52%

1.39%

1.19%

1.26%

0.85%

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc. Class A

1.33%

1.49%

1.38%

1.22%

1.27%

0.84%

XOM

Exxon Mobil Corp.

1.33%

1.37%

1.55%

1.94%

1.81%

2.16%

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

1.48%

1.54%

1.63%

1.60%

1.36%

1.29%

V

Visa Inc.

1.23%

1.10%

0.91%

0.76%

0.84%

0.56%

PG

Procter & Gamble Co

1.13%

1.09%

1.03%

1.17%

1.21%

1.36%

BAC

Bank of America Corp.

1.05%

1.07%

1.26%

1.16%

0.98%

1.04%

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc

0.97%

1.11%

0.95%

1.13%

1.05%

1.07%

INTC

Intel Corp.

0.88%

1.02%

0.95%

0.89%

0.91%

0.95%

CSCO

Cisco Systems Inc

0.96%

0.93%

0.83%

0.79%

0.77%

0.78%

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Inc

0.95%

1.14%

0.94%

0.79%

0.63%

0.53%

PFE

Pfizer Inc.

0.98%

1.20%

0.95%

1.02%

1.11%

1.08%

CVX

Chevron Corp.

0.97%

0.99%

1.04%

1.15%

0.95%

1.17%

T

AT&T Inc.

1.00%

0.99%

1.05%

1.36%

1.18%

0.96%

HD

Home Depot Inc

0.94%

0.92%

0.97%

0.85%

0.94%

0.76%

MRK

Merck & Co Inc

0.88%

0.95%

0.67%

0.84%

0.82%

0.89%

MA

Mastercard Inc.

0.97%

0.82%

0.62%

0.51%

0.54%

0.45%

BA

Boeing Co.

0.78%

0.81%

0.72%

0.46%

0.51%

0.48%

WFC

Wells Fargo & Co

0.78%

0.93%

1.18%

1.29%

1.41%

1.43%

http://siblisresearch.com/data/weights-sp-500-companies/

 

Best stocks by one-year performance

Ticker

Company

Performance (Year)

NVDA

NVIDIA Corp

256.23%

META

Meta Platforms Inc

138.16%

FICO

Fair, Isaac Corp.

123.51%

LRCX

Lam Research Corp.

103.75%

AVGO

Broadcom Inc

103.63%

GE

General Electric Co.

102.86%

ADBE

Adobe Inc

92.02%

AMAT

Applied Materials Inc.

90.20%

PHM

PulteGroup Inc

88.70%

Source: Finviz. Data is current as of Oct. 18, 2023 and is intended for informational purposes only.

 

Worst stocks by year-to-date performance in year 2022

 

Stock Name

Symbol

Losses in 2022

Generac

(GNRC)

-71.56%

Match

(MTCH)

-68.78%

Align Techology

(ALGN)

-67.87%

Tesla

(TSLA)

-67.80%

Catalent

(CTLT)

-64.84%

Facebook

(META)

-64.43%

PayPal

(PYPL)

-62.79%

Carnival

(CCL)

-60.80%

VF

(VFC)

-60.65%

Warner Bros Discovery

(WBD)

-60.33%

Stanley Black & Decker

(SWK)

-59.08%

Zebra Technologies

(ZBRA)

-56.69%

Caesars Entertainment

(CZR)

-55.50%

Advanced Micro Devices

(AMD)

-55.37%

CarMax

(KMX)

-53.17%

Western Digital

(WDC)

-52.02%

Expedia

(EXPE)

-51.68%

Seagate Technology

(STX)

-51.44%

Netflix

(NFLX)

-51.31%

EPAM Systems

(EPAM)

-51.11%

NVIDIA

(NVDA)

-50.94%

Amazon

(AMZN)

-49.75%

West Pharmaceutial Services

(WST)

-49.41%

Airbnb

(ABNB)

-48.27%

Salesforce

(CRM)

-48.01%

 

 

https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/worst+performing+stocks+in+the+s%26p+500+in+2022

 

 

 

HW chapter 5 -1 (Due with the second mid-term exam)

1.    Calculate the monthly stock return and risk of Apple and SP500 in the past five years. And draw a conclusion regarding the tradeoff between risk and return (optional for extra credits)

Steps:

From finance.yahoo.com, collect stock prices of the above firms, in the past five years 

Steps:

·        Goto finance.yahoo.com, search for the companies (Apple and S&P500, respectively)

·        Click on “Historical prices” in the left column on the top and choose monthly stock prices.

·        Change the starting date and ending date to “Oct 19th, 2018” and “Oct 19th, 2023”, respectively.

·        Download it to Excel

·        Delete all inputs, except “adj close” – this is the closing price adjusted for dividend.

  Evaluate the performance of each stock:

·        Calculate the monthly stock returns.

·        Calculate the average return

·        Calculate standard deviation as a proxy for risk

 

Please use the following excel file as reference. 

FYI Excel (or template) (From Oct 2018 – Sept 2023)

 

2.          Calculate the most recent weight of Apple in SP500. Also calculate the weight of GOOGLE, Amazon, Netflix.

Hint:  please use  35.802 trillion (35,802,000,000,000) as of October 19, 2023 for SP500 market cap. The website for this information is here:      https://www.slickcharts.com/sp500/marketcap (Hint collect stock price, total shares outstanding. Market value = stock price * shares outstanding. Market value of each stock / 35.802 trillion = weight of the stock in S&P500 index)

 

 

 

 

 

What Is the Weighting of the S&P 500? --- Understanding the Sectors and Market Caps in the Index

 BY TIM LEMKE

REVIEWED BY DORETHA CLEMON on June 18, 2021

https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-the-sector-weighting-of-the-s-and-p-500-4579847

 

If you’ve ever dipped so much as a toe into investing, you’ve probably heard about the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.

 

The S&P 500 is the most common index used to track the performance of the U.S. stock market. It is based on the stock prices of 500 of the largest companies that trade on the New York Stock Exchange or the NASDAQ.

 

The S&P 500 is often hailed as a representation of the entire U.S. stock market and American business as a whole, but that is not entirely accurate. While it does give you exposure to a broad swath of the economy, it is heavily weighted toward specific market capitalizations, sectors, and industries, which is important to know if you are seeking to build a diversified equity portfolio.

 

S&P 500 Market Capitalizations

By design, the S&P 500 includes only large companies. Only the biggest companies with massive market capitalizations ($9.8 billion or more) are included-think of large firms such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon.com, Facebook, and Alphabet, the parent company of Google. One could argue that the S&P 500 is 100% weighted toward large-cap firms, though many of the biggest firms would technically be considered mega-cap.

 

It's important for investors to know that while investing in the S&P 500 can give great returns, they may be missing out on returns from medium-sized and small companies. Those who are looking for exposure to smaller firms should consider investments that track the S&P 400, consisting of the top mid-cap companies, or the Russell 2000, which features mostly smaller companies.

 

Those who are looking for exposure to smaller firms should consider investments that track the S&P 400, consisting of the top mid-cap companies, or the Russell 2000, which features mostly smaller companies.

 

S&P 500 Sector and Industry Weighting

Any attempt to diversify your stock portfolio should include some attempt at diversification according to sector and industry. In fact, some investment strategies suggest a perfect balance of sectors, because any sector can be the best-performing group in any given year.

 

In recent years, certain sectors and industries have performed better than others, and that is now reflected in the makeup of the S&P 500. It also means that many sectors won't be as represented in the index.

 

As of December 22, 2020, the breakdown of sectors in the S&P 500 was as follows, according to State Street Advisors (the creator of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the S&P 500):

 

Information technology: 27.60%

Health care: 13.44%

Consumer discretionary: 12.70%

Communication services: 10.79%

Financials: 10.34%

Industrials: 8.47%

Consumer staples: 6.55%

Utilities: 2.73%

Materials: 2.64%

Real estate: 2.41%

Energy: 2.33%

 

As you can see, the S&P is heavily weighted toward tech, health care, and consumer discretionary stocks. Meanwhile, there aren't as many utilities, real estate companies, or firms involved in producing and selling raw materials.

 

This weighting has changed greatly over the years. Look back 25 years, and you’ll likely see far fewer tech companies and more emphasis on consumer discretionary and communications companies. Go back 50 years, and the mix will look even more different.

 

Why It Matters

The weighting of the S&P 500 should be important to you, because the index is not always a representation of the types of companies performing the best in any given year. For example, while consumer discretionary may have been the top-performing sector in 2015, it ranked third in 2017 and seventh in 2019. The communications services sector was last in performance in 2017 but had ranked second just one year earlier. The financials sector was dead last in 2007 and 2008, in the midst of the financial crisis, but it claimed the top spot in 2012 and performed third-best in 2019.4

 

Predicting which sectors will perform best in any given year is very difficult, which is why diversification is key.

 

How To Supplement the S&P 500

Investing in the S&P 500 through a low-cost index fund can provide a very strong base for most stock portfolios. But to get broad diversification among market caps and sectors, it may help to expand your reach.

 

Fortunately, there are mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that provide exposure to whatever you may be seeking. An investor who is looking to boost their portfolio by purchasing small-cap stocks can buy shares of an index fund designed to mirror the Russell 2000. If you want to invest more in financial stocks, you can access funds comprising a wide range of banks and financial services firms.

 

There are also mutual funds and ETFs that offer broad exposure to the entire stock market, including all market caps and sectors. Vanguard’s Total Stock Market ETF and the S&P Total Stock Market ETF from iShares are two popular examples.

 

In class Exercise

1. What is the primary focus of the S&P 500?

a. Representing the entire U.S. stock market

b. Tracking small-cap companies

c. Focusing on international stocks

Answer: a 

 

2. How are companies selected for the S&P 500?

a. Random selection

b. Based on their location

c. Companies with huge market capitalizations

Answer: c.

Explanation: Only companies with massive market capitalizations ($9.8 billion or more) are included in the S&P 500.

 

3. What's the main drawback of investing in the S&P 500 for those seeking exposure to smaller firms?

a. Higher fees

b. Lower returns

c. Missing out on returns from medium-sized and small companies

Answer: c.

Explanation: Investing in the S&P 500 may mean missing out on returns from medium-sized and small companies.

 

4. Why is sector and industry diversification important in a stock portfolio?

a. It reduces taxes

b. It ensures higher returns

c. Any sector can be the best-performing group in any given year

Answer: c. 

 

5. How has the sector weighting in the S&P 500 changed over the years?

a. It hasn't changed at all

b. It has changed significantly

c. It has become more diversified

Answer: b.

Explanation: The weighting has changed significantly over the years.

 

6. Why should the weighting of the S&P 500 matter to investors?

c. The index may not always represent the best-performing companies.

a. It helps them choose individual stocks

b. It indicates the best-performing sector

Answer: a. 

 

7. What is the benefit of investing in the S&P 500 through a low-cost index fund?

a. Guaranteed high returns

b. Diversification among market caps and sectors

c. Tax advantages

Answer: b

 

8. How can investors seeking small-cap exposure achieve it?

a. Purchase shares of an index fund mirroring the Russell 2000

b. Invest in an S&P 500 ETF

c. Invest in an international fund

Answer: a. 

 

9. How does diversification help investors?

a. It guarantees high returns

b. It eliminates all investment risks

c. It reduces risk by spreading investments across different assets

Answer: c. 

 

10. Which ETF provides broad exposure to the entire stock market, including all market caps and sectors?

a. S&P Total Stock Market ETF

b. Russell 2000 ETF

c. Vanguard's Total Stock Market ETF

Answer: a.  .

 

 

How to Calculate the Weights of Stocks

The weights of your stocks can play a big role in your investment strategy. Here's how to calculate them.

Calculating the weights of stocks you own can be useful to your investment strategy. For example, if your investment goal is to allocate no more than 15% of your portfolio to any single stock, determining the weights of the stocks in your portfolio can tell you whether or not you need to make any changes. Here's how to calculate the weights of stocks, what this information means to you, and an example of how you can use this.

Calculating the weights of stocks
Basically, to determine the weights of each of your stocks, you'll need two pieces of information. First, you'll need the cash values of each of the individual stocks you want to find the weight of.

You'll also need your total portfolio value. If you want to determine the weights of your stock portfolio, simply add up the cash value of all of your stock positions. If you want to calculate the weights of your stocks as a portion of your entire portfolio, take your entire account's value – including stocks, bonds, cash, and any other investments.

The calculation is simple enough. Simply divide each of your stock position's cash value by your total portfolio value, and then multiply by 100 to convert to a percentage.

https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F198140%2Fweights.png&w=700&op=resize

What the weights tell you
These weights tell you how dependent your portfolio's performance is on each of your individual stocks. For example, your portfolio's day-to-day fluctuations will depend much more on a stock that makes up 20% of the total than one that only makes up 5%.

So, when your heavily weighted stocks do well, your portfolio can go up quickly. For example, if a stock with a 20% weight in a $50,000 portfolio doubles, it would mean a $10,000 gain. On the other hand, if a stock only makes up 2% of your portfolio, your gain would only be $1,000, even though the stock itself was a home run.

Conversely, heavily weighted stocks can drag your portfolio down during tough times, while lower-weighted stocks will have a smaller effect.

Examining your portfolio: An example
Let's say that you own the following stock investments: $2,000 of Microsoft, $3,000 of Wal-Mart, $2,500 of Wells Fargo, and $4,000 of Johnson & Johnson. A quick calculation shows that your total portfolio value is $11,500, and using the formula mentioned earlier, you can calculate the weights of each of your four stocks:

Stock

Cash Value

Weight

Microsoft

$2,000

17.4%

Wal-Mart

$3,000

26.1%

Wells Fargo

$2,500

21.7%

Johnson & Johnson

$4,000

34.8%

In this example, Johnson & Johnson carries twice the weight of Microsoft; therefore, a big move in J&J will have double the effect on your overall portfolio than the same move in Microsoft would.

In class exercise

1. Why is calculating the weights of stocks in your portfolio important?

a. It guarantees high returns.

b. It helps you identify potential investment opportunities.

c. It can guide your investment strategy.

Answer: c. 

 

2. What information do you need to calculate the weights of stocks in your portfolio?

a. The stock market's daily performance.

b. The cash values of individual stocks and your total portfolio value.

c. The latest financial news.

Answer: b. 

 

3. How do your portfolio's day-to-day fluctuations relate to the weights of your stocks?

a. Stocks with higher weights have a more significant impact on your portfolio's fluctuations.

b. Fluctuations are independent of stock weights.

c. Lower-weighted stocks contribute more to fluctuations.

Answer: b. 

 

4. What effect does a stock with a 20% weight have on a portfolio compared to a stock with a 2% weight?

a. They have the same effect on the portfolio.

b. The 20% stock has a more substantial impact on the portfolio's performance.

c. The 2% stock has a more substantial impact.

Answer: b. 

 

5. Let's say you own $5,000 of Apple and $15,000 of Google. If your entire portfolio is worth $50,000, what is the weight of your Apple investment?

a. 10%

b. 20%

c. 30%

Answer: a. 

 

6. If a stock makes up 40% of your portfolio, what does this indicate about its impact on your portfolio's performance?

a. It has a negligible impact.

b. It has a moderate impact.

c. It has a significant impact.

Answer: c.

 

7. Why might lower-weighted stocks in your portfolio have a smaller effect on its fluctuations?

a. They are more volatile.

b. Their performance is unrelated to the overall market.

c. They represent a smaller portion of your portfolio.

Answer: c. 

 

 

 

 

 

What Apple’s Stock Split Means for You

·                     By STEVEN RUSSOLILLO

 

 WHAT IF APPLE NEVER SPLIT ITS STOCK? Apple has now split its stock four times throughout its history. It previously conducted 2-for-1 splits on three separate occasions: February 2005, June 2000 and June 1987. According to some back-of-the-envelop math by S&P’s Howard Silverblatt, if Apple never split its stock, you’d have eight shares for each original one prior to the most recent split. So Friday’s $645.57 closing level would translate to $5164.56 unadjusted for splits.

No Here are five things you need to know about Apple’s stock split.

WHO DOES THE STOCK SPLIT IMPACT? Investors who owned Apple shares as of June 2 qualify for the stock split, meaning they get six additional shares for every share held. So if an investor held one Apple share, that person would now hold a total of seven shares. Apple also previously paid a dividend of $3.29, which now translates into a new quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share.

WHY IS APPLE DOING THIS? The iPhone and iPad maker says it is trying to attract a wider audience. “We’re taking this action to make Apple stock more accessible to a larger number of investors,” Apple CEO Tim Cook   said in April. But the comment also marked an about-face from two years earlier. At Apple’s shareholder meeting in February 2012, Mr. Cook said he didn’t see the point of splitting his company’s stock, noting such a move does “nothing” for shareholders.

WILL APPLE GET ADDED TO THE DOW? It’s unclear at the moment, although a smaller stock price certainly makes Apple a more attractive candidate to get added to blue-chip Dow. Apple, the bigge, your screens aren’t lying to you. Shares of Apple Inc. now trade under $100, a development that hasn’t happened in years.

Apple’s unorthodox 7-for-1 stock split, announced at the end of April, has finally arrived. The stock started trading on a split-adjusted basis Monday morning, and recently rose 1% to $93.14.

In a stock split, a company increases the number of shares outstanding while lowering the price accordingly. Splits don’t change anything fundamentally about a company or its valuation, but they tend to make a company’s stock more attractive to mom-and-pop investors. Apple shares rallied 23% from late April, when the company announced the split in conjunction with a strong quarterly report, through Friday.

A poll conducted by our colleagues at MarketWatch found 50% of respondents said they would buy Apple shares after the split. Some 31% said they already owned the stock and 19% said they wouldn’t buy it. The survey received more than 20,000 responses.

st U.S. company by market capitalization, has never been part of the historic 30-stock index, a factor that many observers attributed to its high stock price. The Dow is a price-weighted measure, meaning the bigger the stock price, the larger the sway for a particular component. That is different from indexes such as the S&P 500, which are weighted by market caps (each company’s stock price multiplied by shares outstanding).

WILL APPLE KEEP RALLYING? Since the financial crisis, companies that have split their stocks have struggled in the short term and outperformed the broad market over a longer time horizon. Since 2010, 57 companies in the S&P 500 have split their shares. Those stocks have averaged a 0.2% gain the day they started trading on a split-adjusted basis, according to New York research firm Strategas Research Partners. A month later, they have risen just 0.5%. But longer term, the average gains are more pronounced. Since 2010, these stocks have averaged a 5.4% increase three months after a split and a 28% surge one year later, Strategas says.

 

WHAT IF APPLE NEVER SPLIT ITS STOCK? Apple has now split its stock four times throughout its history. It previously conducted 2-for-1 splits on three separate occasions: February 2005, June 2000 and June 1987. According to some back-of-the-envelop math by S&P’s Howard Silverblatt, if Apple never split its stock, you’d have eight shares for each original one prior to the most recent split. So Friday’s $645.57 closing level would translate to $5164.56 unadjusted for splits.

 

In class exercise

 

 1. What is the primary reason Apple is conducting a stock split?

a) To attract a wider audience of investors

b) To increase its market capitalization

c) To boost its dividend payments

Answer: a

Explanation: Apple's CEO Tim Cook mentioned that the stock split is aimed at making Apple stock more accessible to a larger number of investors.

 

2. In a 7-for-1 stock split, how many additional shares do investors receive for each share they already hold?

a) 2

b) 6

c) 7

Answer: c

Explanation: In a 7-for-1 stock split, investors receive seven additional shares for each share they already hold.

 

3. Why did Apple's CEO, Tim Cook, express hesitancy about stock splits in the past?

a) He believed stock splits are beneficial for shareholders.

b) He thought stock splits did "nothing" for shareholders.

c) He wanted to lower the stock price.

Answer: b

Explanation: In 2012, Tim Cook stated that he didn't see the point of splitting the company's stock, as he believed it did "nothing" for shareholders.

 

4. How have stocks that split their shares performed in the short term (one day and one month) since 2010, on average?

a) Negative returns both in one day and one month

b) Positive returns both in one day and one month

c) Positive returns in one day but negative returns in one month

Answer: a

Explanation: On average, stocks that split their shares have experienced negative returns in both one day and one month.

 

5. What type of stock index is the Dow Jones Industrial Average (the Dow)?

a) A market capitalization-weighted index

b) A price-weighted index

c) A sector-weighted index

Answer: b

Explanation: The Dow is a price-weighted index, where higher stock prices carry more influence.

 

6. How did Apple's stock price change immediately after the stock split announcement?

a) It increased by 23%

b) It remained unchanged

c) It decreased by 7%

Answer: a

Explanation: Apple's stock price rallied 23% after the stock split announcement.

 

7. What is the new quarterly dividend per share after the stock split for investors who held Apple shares as of June 2?

a) $3.29

b) $0.47

c) $0.12

Answer: b

Explanation: The $3.29 dividend per share translates into a new quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share.

 

8. How many times has Apple conducted 2-for-1 stock splits in its history?

a) One time

b) Two times

c) Three times

Answer: c

Explanation: Apple has conducted 2-for-1 stock splits on three separate occasions in its history.

 

9. Which index is commonly weighted by market capitalization?

a) The Dow Jones Industrial Average

b) The S&P 500

c) The NASDAQ Composite

Answer: b

Explanation: The S&P 500 is commonly weighted by market capitalization.

 

10. What was the closing price of Apple stock on a split-adjusted basis following the most recent stock split?

a) $645.57

b) $5164.56

c) $93.14

Answer: c

Explanation: After the 7-for-1 stock split, Apple's stock traded at $93.14 on a split-adjusted basis.

 

11. How many additional shares do investors receive for every share held in a 7-for-1 stock split?

a) 1

b) 6

c) 7

Answer: c

Explanation: In a 7-for-1 stock split, investors receive seven additional shares for each share held.

 

13. What was the closing price of Apple's stock on Friday before the split?

a) $645.57

b) $5164.56

c) $93.14

Answer: a

Explanation: The closing price of Apple's stock on Friday before the split was $645.57.

 

 

 

Chapter 5 Part II – Mutual Funds and ETF

 

Mutual fund  ppt

 

Want to improve your personal finances? Start by taking this quiz to get an idea of your investment risk tolerance – one of the fundamental issues to consider when planning your investment strategy, either alone or in consultation with a financial services professional. 

 

 Investment Risk Tolerance Test (FYI)

 

 

Discussion: Based on your risk tolerant score, which of the follow shall you choose? Why?

 

 

 

Example: Optimally diversified portfolio

1.             

3.      image023.jpg

 

 

Summary on investment options vs. Risk Tolerance

·       Small-Cap Growth: Small growth investments often carry higher risk due to their potential for significant price volatility. These stocks represent smaller, fast-growing companies with less established track records. Example: Avis Budget Group Inc. ETF at  https://www.morningstar.com/small-growth-etfs

·       Large-Cap  Growth: Large growth investments also carry a notable risk, as they are typically shares of larger, established companies that are expected to grow at an above-average rate. However, their size and maturity can make them less volatile than small growth stocks. Example: Apple Inc. ETF at  https://www.morningstar.com/large-growth-etfs

·       Small-Cap Value: Small value investments typically have a moderate level of risk. These stocks represent smaller companies that are undervalued relative to their fundamental financial metrics. While there is potential for growth, they may be subject to market fluctuations.  Example: AutoNation, ETF at  https://www.morningstar.com/small-value-etfs

·       Large-Cap  Value: Large value investments often have a lower risk level. They are shares of well-established, larger companies that are considered undervalued by market standards. These investments tend to be less volatile than their growth counterparts.  Example: GE, ETF at  https://www.morningstar.com/large-value-etfs

·       Money Market: Money market investments are among the lowest-risk options. They typically include short-term, highly liquid, and low-risk securities like Treasury bills and certificates of deposit (CDs). While they provide safety and stability, they offer lower returns compared to stocks or bonds.

 

 

 

 

For class discussion:

1.    What is a Value Stock - Value Investing (youtube)

 

In class exercise

 

·       What is the primary goal of value investing?

A. Identifying undervalued stocks for long-term growth

B. Achieving rapid short-term gains

C. Speculating on high-risk assets

Answer: A.

Explanation: The primary goal of value investing is to find and invest in undervalued stocks with the expectation of long-term growth as the market recognizes their true value.

 

2.     Which financial concept is associated with the idea that a sum of money received in the future is worth less than the same amount received today?

A. Inflation

B. Opportunity cost

C. Time value of money

Answer: C. 

Explanation: The time value of money concept suggests that the value of money decreases over time due to factors like inflation and the opportunity cost of not having that money available for investment.

 

3.     When comparing companies using the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, a lower P/E ratio typically suggests:

A. A more expensive stock

B. A higher growth potential

C. An attractive investment opportunity

Answer: C.

Explanation: A lower P/E ratio indicates that a company's stock may be undervalued, making it a potential value investment, as it offers a better value opportunity relative to its earnings.

 

4.     What is the main advantage of investing in value stocks?

A. Higher potential returns

B. Lower risk

C. Guaranteed profits

Answer: B

Explanation: The primary advantage of investing in value stocks is that they are perceived to carry less risk because they are believed to be undervalued, and their prices have room to grow over time.

 

5.     According to Warren Buffett, in the short run, the stock market is like a:

A. Voting machine

B. Slot machine

C. Weighing machine

Answer: A. 

Explanation: Warren Buffett's quote suggests that in the short run, the stock market reflects the opinions and emotions of investors (a voting machine), but in the long run, it reflects the fundamental value of companies (a weighing machine).

 

6.     What is a value trap in the context of investing?

A. An undervalued stock with high growth potential

B. A stock that appears undervalued but deserves a lower price

C. A stock trading at its intrinsic value

Answer: B.

Explanation: A value trap is a stock that may seem undervalued but, in reality, deserves its lower price due to fundamental weaknesses, such as poor financial health or unfavorable prospects.

 

 

2.   Small Cap Stocks vs Large Cap Stocks - Which are Better Investments

 

In class exercise

 

1.     What is the general range of market caps for mid-cap companies?

A. $1 billion to $10 billion

B. $5 billion to $30 billion

C. $50 billion to $100 billion

Answer: B.

Explanation: Mid-cap companies typically have market caps ranging from $5 billion to $30.

 

2.     What conclusion can be drawn from the historical performance of small-cap companies?

A. Small-cap companies consistently outperform other categories.

B. Small-cap companies are too risky to consider.

C. Small-cap companies offer higher potential returns but come with higher risk.

Answer: C. 

Explanation: Small-cap companies have the potential for higher returns but also come with higher risk.

 

3.     What is a key factor when considering investments in small-cap companies?

A. Extensive research

B. Diversification

C. Investing in large-cap companies

Answer: B. 

Explanation: Doing thorough research is crucial when considering investments in small-cap companies.

 

4.     How to build a well-diversified portfolio?

A. Invest exclusively in small-cap companies.

B. Stick to large-cap companies for stability.

C. Consider diversifying with large-cap companies but explore small-cap opportunities for growth.

Answer: C.

Explanation: A well-diversified portfolio may include both large-cap companies for stability and small-cap companies for growth opportunities.

 

5.     What financial principle explains the potential of small-cap stocks?

A. Risk-return trade-off

B. Efficient market hypothesis

C. Random walk theory

Answer: A. 

Explanation: The concept of higher risk and higher potential return associated with small-cap stocks, illustrating the risk-return trade-off.

 

6.     How is the risk level of small-cap stocks compared to large-cap stocks?

A. Small-cap stocks are less risky.

B. Small-cap stocks are equally risky.

C. Small-cap stocks are riskier.

Answer: C. 

Explanation: Small-cap stocks are riskier compared to large-cap stocks.

 

7.     What is the main takeaway from the video regarding investing in small-cap stocks?

A. Small-cap stocks provide substantial growth opportunities with added risk.

B. Small-cap stocks guarantee high returns.

C. Small-cap stocks are suitable for conservative investors.

Answer: A.

Explanation: The video's main takeaway is that small-cap stocks offer significant growth opportunities but come with added risk, making them suitable for investors seeking higher potential returns.

 

 

 

 

8.    How Diversification Works (youtube)

 

In class exercise

 

1: What is the main idea behind the saying "Don't put all your eggs in one basket" in investing?

A) It encourages diversification to reduce risk.

B) It suggests investing in only one company.

C) It emphasizes the need to focus on a single investment for higher returns.

Answer: A

Explanation: The saying "Don't put all your eggs in one basket" advises against concentrating all your investments in a single position and encourages diversification to reduce the risk of losing everything if that one investment falters.

 

2: What is an example of an idiosyncratic risk?

A) A global economic downturn affecting multiple companies.

B) A company-specific event, like a management mistake or a natural disaster.

C) Market volatility impacting all stocks equally.

Answer: B

Explanation: Idiosyncratic risks are specific to a particular company or event, such as a management error or a natural disaster affecting one company, rather than affecting the broader market or multiple companies.

 

3: In terms of diversification, what does "correlation" refer to?

A) The similarity in stock prices for different companies in your portfolio.

B) The number of stocks in a portfolio.

C) The total value of assets in your investment portfolio.

Answer: A

Explanation: In the context of diversification, correlation refers to how closely the stock prices of different companies in your portfolio move together. Lower correlation indicates that they move somewhat independently.

 

4: Which investment theory suggests that investing in uncorrelated assets increases the return per unit of risk taken?

A) Behavioral Finance Theory.

B) Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH).

C) Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT).

Answer: C

Explanation: Modern Portfolio Theory suggests that investing in uncorrelated assets (diversification) increases the return per unit of risk taken, making your portfolio more risk-efficient.

 

5: According to the Law of Diminishing Marginal Benefit, what happens as you add more stocks to your portfolio?

A) The benefit of diversification increases.

B) The benefit of diversification decreases.

C) The benefit of diversification remains constant.

Answer: B

Explanation: According to the Law of Diminishing Marginal Benefit, as you add more stocks to your portfolio, the reduction in portfolio volatility (the benefit of diversification) decreases.

 

6: Why do active investors often prefer not to hold too many positions in their portfolios?

A) To avoid diversification entirely.

B) To reduce their portfolio risk.

C) To focus on stocks they understand and can actively manage.

Answer: C

Explanation: Active investors may prefer not to hold too many positions to allow for focused analysis and active management of stocks they understand, rather than diluting their efforts.

 

7: What type of risk is reduced by diversification?

A) Market risk.

B) Currency risk.

C) Idiosyncratic risk.

Answer: C

Explanation: Diversification reduces idiosyncratic risk, which is the risk specific to individual companies, as it spreads your investments across different positions.

 

8: How can you increase diversification in your portfolio without having to buy a large number of individual stocks?

A) By actively managing each stock in your portfolio.

B) By holding cash equivalents only.

C) By investing in ETFs or mutual funds.

Answer: C

Explanation: Investing in ETFs or mutual funds allows you to achieve diversification without having to buy a large number of individual stocks. These funds hold a diversified portfolio of assets.

 

 

 

 

 image024.jpg

 

 

Mutual fund vs. ETF (Exchange Traded Fund)

Discussion: What is the difference between the two? Pro and con of each?

What is ETF? (Video)

IN CLASS EXERCISE

 

1.     What is an ETF?

A) An investment vehicle designed to track the price movement of a specific basket of assets.

B) A type of bond.

C) A savings account at a bank.

Answer: A

Explanation: An ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) is an investment vehicle that aims to replicate the price movements of a specific basket of assets.

 

2.     How are ETFs traded?

A) Only in foreign stock exchanges.

B) In a manner similar to individual stocks.

C) Exclusively through mutual funds.

Answer: B

Explanation: ETFs are traded on US stock exchanges and can be bought and sold just like individual stocks.

 

3.     Why might an investor choose to buy shares of a gold ETF like GLD rather than physical gold?

A) Physical gold is more affordable.

B) Physical gold is easier to store.

C) ETFs provide a cost-effective and less cumbersome way to invest in gold.

Answer: C

Explanation: ETFs offer a cost-effective and less cumbersome way to invest in assets like gold compared to purchasing physical gold.

 

4.     How can you invest in the Dow Jones Industrial Average without buying all 30 companies in the index?

A) By purchasing a collection of mutual funds.

B) By directly acquiring shares of all 30 companies.

C) By buying shares of an ETF that tracks the Dow Jones.

Answer: C

Explanation: You can invest in the Dow Jones Industrial Average by buying shares of an ETF that tracks this index, such as DIA.

 

Mutual Funds vs. ETFs - Which Is Right for You? (Video)

IN CLASS EXERCISE

1: What is a key difference between mutual funds and ETFs?

A) Mutual funds are actively managed, while ETFs are passively managed.

B) Mutual funds are ideal for self-directed investors.

C) ETFs set their share price once a day.

Answer: A

Explanation: This is a crucial distinction; mutual funds are actively managed by fund managers, while ETFs are passively managed, often tracking specific indices.

 

2: Which investment option is suitable for investors who prefer professional management and a less hands-on approach?

A) ETFs

B) Stocks

C) Mutual funds

Answer: C

Explanation: Mutual funds are actively managed by professionals, making them ideal for investors who don't want to actively manage their investments.

 

3: How frequently do ETFs trade on stock exchanges?

A) Once a month

B) Continuously throughout the day

C) Once a year

Answer: B

Explanation: ETFs trade like individual stocks, allowing investors to buy and sell them continuously during market hours.

 

4: What is the primary benefit of ETFs for self-directed investors?

A) Lower fees

B) Professional management

C) Limited control

Answer: A

Explanation: ETFs often have lower expense ratios compared to actively managed mutual funds, making them cost-effective for self-directed investors.

 

5: How can you buy mutual funds and ETFs?

A) Only through a broker

B) Only through a financial advisor

C) Through a broker, financial advisor, or directly from the fund company

Answer: C

Explanation: Both mutual funds and ETFs can be purchased through various channels, including brokers, financial advisors, and directly from the fund company.

 

6: Which option is commonly used in 401k retirement plans?

A) Stocks

B) ETFs

C) Mutual funds

Answer: C

Explanation: Mutual funds are frequently used in 401k retirement plans due to their professional management and diversified portfolios.

 

image022.jpg

 

 

For discussion:

What one of the above funds is the most favorite one to you? Why?

 

 

 

HW chapter 5 -2  (Due with the second mid-term exam)

1.    Work on this test and report your score. Make a self-evaluation about yourself in terms of your risk tolerance level. Based on your risk level, set up a investment strategy! Please provide a rationale.

 

The website to take the test is the following:      https://jufinance.com/risk_tolerance.html

 

 

2.    Compare ETF with mutual fund

3.  Compare QQQ with SPY?

 

ETF Battles: QQQ vs. SPY (youtube)

 

Summary: QQQ vs. SPY - A Comparative Analysis
1. Cost:
SPY is significantly cheaper than QQQ, with annual expenses less than half of QQQ.

·       SPY: 0.09% annual expenses

·       QQQ: 0.20% annual expenses

2. Bid-Ask Spreads: Both ETFs have minimal bid-ask spreads, reducing trading costs.

·       SPY: Narrow bid-ask spreads around 0.01%

·       QQQ: Similar narrow bid-ask spreads

3. Dividends: SPY offers a higher dividend yield due to diversified exposure to dividend-paying sectors.

·       SPY: 12-month trailing yield of 1.90%

·       QQQ: 12-month trailing yield of 0.77%

4. Diversification: SPY wins in diversification with broader exposure to various sectors.

·       SPY: 500 stocks across 11 industry groups

·       QQQ: Heavily concentrated in technology (over 63%)

5. Performance (Short-term): QQQ outperforms SPY in the short term.

·       QQQ: Gained approximately 20% over the past year

·       SPY: Gained around 7% over the same period

6. Performance (Long-term): SPY emerges as the long-term winner.

·       QQQ outperforms SPY over 1, 10, and 15 years due to tech sector concentration.

·       SPY outperforms QQQ over 20 years, with a significant lead.

7. Conclusion:

·       SPY is the overall winner, offering lower costs, better diversification, a higher dividend yield, and superior long-term performance.

 

In class exercise

1. Why is SPY considered the winner in the "cost" category?

a) It charges a higher annual expense ratio than QQQ.

b) It charges a lower annual expense ratio than QQQ.

c) Both SPY and QQQ have the same expense ratio.

Answer: b

Explanation: SPY is considered the winner in the "cost" category because it has a lower annual expense ratio compared to QQQ.

 

2. Which stock exchange is QQQ listed on?

a) Nasdaq stock exchange

b) New York Stock Exchange

c) London Stock Exchange

Answer: a

Explanation: QQQ is listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange.

 

3. How does QQQ's diversification compare to SPY's diversification?

a) QQQ is more diversified as it holds 500 stocks.

b) QQQ is less diversified as it holds only 100 stocks.

c) QQQ and SPY have the same level of diversification.

Answer: b

Explanation: QQQ is less diversified than SPY, as it holds a smaller number of stocks (100) compared to SPY's 500 stocks.

 

4. Why does SPY have a higher dividend yield compared to QQQ?

a) SPY invests primarily in technology companies.

b) SPY charges a higher annual expense ratio.

c) SPY invests in dividend-rich sectors like real estate and utilities.

Answer: c

Explanation: SPY has a higher dividend yield because it invests in sectors like real estate and utilities that typically offer higher dividends.

 

5. What is the primary reason for SPY's long-term performance advantage over QQQ?

a) SPY has a higher expense ratio.

b) SPY is a Nasdaq-listed ETF.

c) SPY's diversified exposure to various industry groups.

Answer: c

Explanation: The main reason for SPY's long-term performance advantage is its diversified exposure to different industry groups, whereas QQQ is heavily concentrated in tech.

 

6. Which ETF is declared the overall winner in the video?

a) QQQ

b) SPY

c) Both QQQ and SPY are equally winners.

Answer: b

Explanation: SPY is declared the overall winner in the text's analysis due to its lower costs, superior diversification, higher dividend yield, and better long-term performance.

 

 

 

ETF Battles: QQQ Vs. SPY, Who Wins?

https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/18416022-etfguide/5418872-etf-battles-qqq-vs-spy-who-wins

 

Mar. 10, 2020 7:38 PM ETInvesco QQQ ETF (QQQ), SPY

This is an excerpt from the video titled, ETF Battles: QQQ vs. SPY with Ron DeLegge at ETF guide.

During normal markets, daily trading volume for QQQ averages around 75 million shares while SPY averages 173 million shares.

During the latest market correction, daily volume skyrocketed to record levels with QQQ topping 149,247,100 shares traded in a single session while SPY booked 385,764,000 shares. (Both trading volume peaks occurred on Feb. 28, 2020)

Cost

The first category for comparing QQQ vs. SPY is cost. Who wins? SPY charges annual expenses of just 0.09% compared to 0.20% for QQQ. Put another way, QQQ is more than double the cost of SPY! While SPY isn't necessarily the cheapest S&P 500 ETF, compared to QQQ it's a bargain. Bid ask spreads are another element of an ETF costs. And ETFs with tight bid ask spreads reduce the frictional trading costs associated with buying and selling funds. In this regard, QQQ and SPY are evenly matched with both funds having very narrow bid ask spreads that hover around 0.01%.

Dividends

First, both funds distribute dividends from their equity holdings every quarter. SPY has a 12-month trailing yield of 1.90% while QQQ is at 0.77%. Clearly, SPY wins but there's more behind the reason why. SPY, unlike QQQ, contains significant exposure to key dividend paying industry sectors like financials, real estate, and utilities. On the other hand, QQQ is overweight technology (63.91% of its portfolio is committed to this sector at the time of publication) and the tech sector is a historically low dividend yielding industry group. SPY beats QQQ by having a higher dividend. Also the fact that SPY obtains its dividends across a far more diversified base of 11 industry groups compared to the technology heavy QQQ makes it a winner.

Diversification

Almost 65% of QQQ's sector exposure is to technology companies, which isn't very diversified at all and if you blindfolded me and asked me to guess what type of ETF that QQQ is, I would immediately describe it as an industry sector fund. In contrast, SPY beats QQQ on diversification because not only does it have more stocks - 500 - but the stocks it owns are scattered across 11 different industry groups which include technology along with a whole bunch of other important industry sectors like healthcare, materials, and industrials.

Performance

Excluding dividends, QQQ has gained around 20% over the past year while SPY has gained around 7%. So QQQ wins the short-term performance race. What about longer time frames? QQQ outperformed SPY over the past 10 and 15 year period too. But if we go back 20 years, SPY wins because it gained around 197% not including dividends while QQQ gained just 101%. At the end of the day, QQQ's lights out performance during the past 1, 10, and 15 years is largely due to its concentrated portfolio in technology. SPY's less concentrated exposure to tech during this time frame resulted in a lower return. Nevertheless, over 20 years SPY did manage to outperform  QQQ by a not so small 96%. This is a split decision with QQQ winning the shorter term performance race while SPY wins the longer-term race.

Final Winner of ETF Battles

Who wins the ETF battle between QQQ vs. SPY? The final winner of today's hard fought battle between QQQ and SPY is...the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). It's got lower cost, better diversification, a higher dividend yield, and better long-term performance.

 

In class exercise

 

1. In the "cost" category, which ETF is declared the winner?

a) QQQ

b) SPY

c) Both QQQ and SPY have the same cost

Answer: b

Explanation: SPY is declared the winner in the "cost" category because it has a lower annual expense ratio compared to QQQ.

 

2: What is the significance of bid-ask spreads in ETF costs?

a) Bid-ask spreads have no impact on ETF costs.

b) Wider bid-ask spreads are preferable for traders.

c) Narrow bid-ask spreads reduce trading costs when buying and selling ETFs.

Answer: c

Explanation: Narrow bid-ask spreads are beneficial because they reduce the costs associated with trading ETFs.

 

3. How do the dividend yields of SPY and QQQ compare?

a) SPY has a higher dividend yield.

b) QQQ has a higher dividend yield.

c) Both SPY and QQQ have the same dividend yield.

Answer: a

Explanation: SPY has a higher dividend yield compared to QQQ.

 

4. Why does SPY have a higher dividend yield than QQQ?

a) SPY has more stocks in its portfolio.

b) QQQ is diversified across various industry groups.

c) SPY contains dividend-rich industry sectors.

Answer: c

Explanation: SPY's higher dividend yield is due to its exposure to dividend-paying sectors like financials, real estate, and utilities.

 

5. How does QQQ's diversification compare to SPY's diversification?

a) QQQ is more diversified.

b) QQQ is less diversified.

c) QQQ and SPY have the same level of diversification.

Answer: b

Explanation: QQQ is less diversified because it has a higher concentration in the technology sector.

 

6. What is the reason behind QQQ's strong short-term performance?

a) QQQ has a lower expense ratio.

b) QQQ has a higher level of diversification.

c) QQQ has a concentrated portfolio in technology.

Answer: c

Explanation: QQQ's strong short-term performance is attributed to its concentrated exposure to the technology sector.

 

7. Who is declared the winner in the "long-term performance" category?

a) SPY

b) QQQ

c) Both SPY and QQQ have the same long-term performance.

Answer: a

Explanation: SPY is declared the winner in the "long-term performance" category due to its better performance over 20 years.

 

8. Why does SPY win the long-term performance category?

a) SPY has lower expenses.

b) SPY's concentrated exposure to technology.

c) SPY's diversified exposure to various industry groups.

Answer: c

Explanation: SPY's diversified exposure to multiple industry groups contributes to its long-term performance.

 

 

 

Here are the 7 biggest investing mistakes you want to avoid, according to financial experts

Here are the common mistakes that the average investor makes with their money.

Updated Thu, Apr 7 2022, Elizabeth Gravier

https://www.cnbc.com/select/biggest-investing-mistakes/

 

It’s no secret that the pandemic brought a wave of new investors eager to give a shot at playing the market.

 

In fact, a Charles Schwab study found that 15% of all current U.S. stock market investors got their start in 2020 — giving rise to what Schwab calls the “Investor Generation.”

 

The pandemic prompted the perfect timing to begin investing: stocks became cheaper to buy as the market dipped, savings account interest rates got slashed in half and many young consumers were stranded at home with nothing much else to do.

 

Plus, now that many brokerage firms now offer accounts with no minimums and zero-commission trading, just about anyone can start investing, even with a small amount of money.

 

To help guide this new generation of investors, as well as their more experienced counterparts, Select spoke with a handful of certified financial planners about what to watch out for.

 

Here are the seven biggest investing mistakes they say are the most common.

 

·       Constantly watching the markets

·       Chasing the trends

·       Following bad advice from social media

·       Not giving your investments time to grow

·       Investing money you’ll soon need

·       Having unclear investing goals

·       Delaying investing altogether

 

Mistake 1: Constantly watching the markets

 

Of all the mistakes we heard, this one came up the most.

 

“I have told many clients to turn off their TVs and stop watching the daily market news,” Danielle Harrison, a Missouri-based CFP at Harrison Financial Planning, tells Select.

 

While it’s normal (and generally advised) to keep an eye on what’s happening in the overall economy, it’s easy to get swept up in the excitement or doom and gloom of it all. The markets are constantly moving and trying to follow along in real-time can lead you to continuously checking or changing your investments when you’re better off leaving them alone for the long haul.

 

“You’re likely to perform worse than if you just stuck with your original strategy in the first place,” says Douglas Boneparth, a New York City-based CFP, president of Bone Fide Wealth and co-author of The Millennial Money Fix. Viewing negative performance without context can lead to rash decision making, while positive performance can instill overconfidence, explains Joe Lum, a California-based CFP and wealth advisor at Intersect Capital.

 

Lum agrees that it’s best for investors to avoid tracking their performance (both good and bad) too frequently. While it’s easier than ever to get instant information on your portfolio’s progress, it doesn’t mean it’s necessary.

 

“If we were running a marathon, it wouldn’t make sense to track our mileage in quarter-mile increments,” Lum says. “The same can be said about long-term investing, particularly in retirement accounts which traditionally have the longest time horizon.”

 

Before investing, Boneparth suggests asking yourself, “Can I hold these positions for a long period of time?”

 

“Investing should be boring,” Harrison says. Her advice? Look at your investments on a quarterly basis, which should be more than enough for most investors.

 

Mistake 2: Chasing the trends

Whether it be participating in a frenzy over GameStop stock, which we all saw back in January, or investing in the newest cryptocurrency, chasing the trends is a common mistake investors make.

 

Lauryn Williams, a Texas-based CFP and founder of Worth Winning, says she sees investors follow the next hot stock not knowing why they are choosing a particular investment other than the fact that “someone else says it is awesome.”

 

“A lot investors make the mistake of chasing trends or what’s cool because of FOMO,” Boneparth adds. He recommends always doing your due diligence before putting your money in the market. Or, as another option for a more hands-off approach, invest passively in the markets through index funds and watch your portfolio grow over time. By using your brokerage account to buy diversified mutual and index funds, you take on less risk than when you buy an individual company’s stock.

 

The best free stock trading platforms

Select reviewed over 12 online brokers that offer zero-commission trading and narrowed down the top six platforms for all sorts of investors: TD Ameritrade; Ally Invest; E*TRADE; Vanguard; Charles Schwab; and Fidelity.

 

These six offer the widest range of investment options, user-friendly technology, quality customer support and educational resources. You can read more about our methodology on selecting the best $0 commission trading platforms below.

 

Mistake 3: Following bad advice from social media

“I cringe at the misinformation out there surrounding investing and finances in general, especially on social media,” Harrison says.

 

The overall guidance from experts is simple: Don’t take investment advice from those who don’t know your personal financial situation. For example, you may feel pressured by someone on social media to start investing in a certain company, but they aren’t clued in to what other investment options you may have. You may be better off putting that money in your employer-sponsored retirement account, especially if your company matches contributions up to a certain percentage of your salary.

 

Make sure to do your own research when investing and read up on the person giving financial advice on TikTok or another social-media platform. Whether you are just starting out or you’re a more seasoned investor, a good place to begin is with FINRA’s free e-learning program for investors.

 

Mistake 4: Not giving your investments time to grow

When it comes to investing, time is important. Ideally, you should hold investments for as long as you can to maximize your returns. “Investing is something you do with the expectation of reasonable returns over a long-term period,” Harrison says.

 

A big mistake Williams sees is investors bailing out on an investment because they did not double their money in a certain period of time, which is usually days or weeks.

 

“If you need your money to grow urgently, you probably don’t have proper savings,” she says. “Quick growth comes with a lot of risk.” More about this in Mistake No. 5 below.

 

Mistake 5: Investing money you’ll soon need

People jumping into the markets before building themselves a strong financial foundation is the biggest mistake Boneparth sees investors make.

 

Prior to investing, you should feel in control of how you spend your money. A big part of that is building a cash reserve so you don’t need to rely on your investments when you run into an emergency or want to make a certain purchase.

 

“The stock market can be volatile, and you’d hate to lose the money you were saving for something like a down payment on a home you were wanting to purchase,” Harrison says.

 

A good way to know if you’re ready to invest is understanding if you have a healthy amount of cash in a savings account set aside for all your near-term goals. Harrison suggests that money needed within a relatively short time period, such as within three years, should not be invested in stocks.

 

Mistake 6: Having unclear investing goals

Once you have a separate savings net set aside that you can fall back on, make sure you have clear goals as you go into investing.

 

Harrison warns that investing to make more money is rarely the goal. Instead, people should see money as a tool for meeting their other goals. Making investing all about returns is a common mistake she sees.

 

“You don’t have to chase high returns that also correlate with higher risk, if you can adequately meet your goals with less risky investments,” Harrison says.

 

Many investors use the S&P 500 as a benchmark for their investment performance, but Lum points out that this index is often not a fair comparison against individuals’ actual portfolios.

 

“While the S&P 500 serves as an easy proxy for how ‘the market is doing,’ it is important to remember that the design of your portfolio and performance should be aligned to meet your goals — not an index that doesn’t know your financial situation, goals or time horizon,” Lum says.

 

Mistake 7: Delaying investing altogether

Lastly, choosing to never invest at all is a costly mistake. Keeping all your cash in a bank account means that money loses its purchasing power due to the rising rate of inflation.

 

“Some people are so scared of investing that they never even begin and lose out on the amazing compounding effect that can happen over the long term,” Harrison says.

 

In class exercise

1. Which of the following is the most common investing mistake as per the financial experts in the article?

a) Chasing trends

b) Delaying investing

c) Watching the markets constantly

Answer: c

Explanation: Constantly watching the markets is the most common investing mistake mentioned by the experts.

 

2. What does Danielle Harrison advise investors to do regarding watching the markets?

a) Review investments on a quarterly basis

b) Check the markets daily

c) Avoid watching the markets completely

Answer: a

Explanation: Danielle Harrison suggests that investors should review their investments on a quarterly basis, rather than watching the markets daily.

 

3. What is the potential consequence of constantly tracking your investment performance, according to Joe Lum?

a) Improved decision-making

b) Overconfidence in investments

c) Reduced risk

Answer: b

Explanation: Joe Lum explains that constantly tracking investment performance can lead to overconfidence, which may not be beneficial.

 

4. Which mistake involves investing without understanding why a particular investment was chosen?

a) Constantly watching the markets

b) Chasing the trends

c) Delaying investing

Answer: b

Explanation: Chasing the trends is the mistake where investors may follow investments without a clear understanding of why they're chosen.

 

5. What is the downside of following investment advice from social media, according to the article?

a) Social media advice is highly reliable

b) Social media advice is personalized to your situation

c) Social media advice may lack context

Answer: c

Explanation: The article warns that social media advice may lack context and may not consider an individual's specific financial situation.

 

6. What should be the primary goal when going into investing, according to the financial experts?

a) Meeting other financial goals

b) Chasing high returns

c) Doubling your money quickly

Answer: a

Explanation: The experts advise that the primary goal of investing should be to meet other financial goals, not just chasing high returns.

 

7. What is the downside of delaying investing altogether?

a) It leads to a loss of compounding returns

b) It ensures the safety of your money

c) It helps beat inflation

Answer: a

Explanation: Delaying investing may result in missing out on the compounding effect that can happen over the long term, leading to a loss of potential returns.

 

How A Ponzi Scheme Works (youtube)

 

Summary:

·       Ponzi schemes are illegal and deceptive activities that cause harm to unsuspecting investors.

·       They depend on a continuous flow of new investors to pay earlier ones, leading to financial losses for most people involved.

 

In Class Exercise

 

1. What is the primary characteristic of a Ponzi scheme?

a) Consistent and legitimate profits

b) Amazing returns that beat the market

c) A pyramid structure of paying earlier investors with funds from newer investors

Answer: c

Explanation: The primary characteristic of a Ponzi scheme is that it operates by using funds from new investors to pay returns to earlier investors, creating a pyramid-like structure.

 

2. How could new investors be attracted to a Ponzi scheme?

a) By investing in the stock market and generating consistent profits

b) By promising amazing returns that surpass all other investors in the market

c) By providing financial education and investment advice

Answer: b

Explanation: Ponzi schemes typically attract new investors by promising unusually high and consistent returns on their investments.

 

3. What happens when a Ponzi scheme can no longer attract enough new money to pay earlier investors?

a) The scheme collapses as earlier investors cannot be paid

b) The scheme continues to operate with profits from investments

c) The scheme adapts by finding alternative sources of income

Answer: a)

Explanation: When a Ponzi scheme can't bring in enough new investors' money to pay earlier investors, it collapses as it can't fulfill its promises.

 

 

Part III: Behavior Finance

 

Behavior Finance Introduction PPT

 

Behavioral Finance | Investor Irrationality (youtube)

 

Anchoring  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqTLPtPMKLs

        Test yourself first:

          A stock price jumps to $40 from $20 but it suddenly dropped back to $20. Shall you buy the stock or not?

        The concept of anchoring draws on the tendency to attach or "anchor" our thoughts to a reference point - even though it may have no logical relevance to the decision at hand.

        Avoiding  Anchoring

      Be especially careful about which figures you use to evaluate a stock's potential.

      Don't base decisions on benchmarks

      Evaluate each company from a variety of perspectives to derive the truest picture of the investment landscape.

 

Mental Accounting  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cQUlmdQdOs

        Test yourself

      Shall you payoff your credit card debt or start saving for a vocation?

      How do you spend your tax refund?

        Mental Accounting refers to the tendency for people to separate their money into separate accounts based on a variety of subjective criteria, like the source of the money and intent for each account. 

Example:  People have a special "money jar" set aside for a vacation while still carrying credit card debt.

 

Confirmation Bias  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yxDDrEA497E

        Confirmation bias: First impression can be hard to shake

      people selectively filter information that supports their opinion

      People ignore the rest opinions.

      In investing, people look for information that supports original idea

        Generate faulty decision making because of the bias

Example: investor finds all sorts of green flags about the investment (such as growing cash flow or a low debt/equity ratio), while glossing over financially disastrous red flags, such as loss of critical customers or dwindling markets.

 

Gambler’s fallacy  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_MUjkr0yu4

      An individual erroneously believes that the onset of a certain random event is less likely to happen following an event or a series of events.

Example:
Consider a series of 20 coin flips that have all landed with the "heads". A person might predict that the next coin flip is more likely to land with the "tails“.
Slot machines:  Every losing pull will bring them that much closer to the jackpot. But that is wrong. All pulls are independent.

        Example:

      You liquidate a position after it has gone up in several days.

      You hold on to a stock that has fallen in several days because you view further declines as "improbable".

        Avoiding Gambler's Fallacy

      Investors should base decisions on fundamental or technical analysis before determining what will happen.

It is irrational to buy a stock because you believe it is likely to reverse.

 

Herding   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8aRm82r8l8

      Example: Dotcom herd

      The tendency for individuals to mimic the actions of a larger group.

        Social pressure of conformity is one of the causes.

      This is because most people are very sociable and have a natural desire to be accepted by a group

        The second reason is the common rationale that a large group could not be wrong.

      This is especially prevalent when an individual has very little experience.

       

Overconfidence   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0X3xxV8upI

        Confidence implies realistically trusting in one's abilities

        Overconfidence implies an overly optimistic assessment of one's knowledge or control over a situation.

 

 

Disposition effect (prospect theory)  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sM91d5I36Po

      which is the tendency for investors to hold on to losing stocks for too long and sell winning stocks too soon.

»      The most logical course of action would be to hold on to winning stocks to further gains and to sell losing stocks to prevent escalating losses.

»      investors are willing to assume a higher level of risk in order to avoid the negative utility of a prospective loss.

»      Unfortunately, many of the losing stocks never recover, and the losses incurred continued to mount .

Avoiding the Disposition Effect

        When you have a choice of thinking of one large gain or a number of smaller gains (such as finding $100 versus finding a $50 bill from two places), thinking of the latter can maximize the amount of positive utility.

        When you have a choice of thinking of one large loss or a number of smaller losses (losing $100 versus losing $50 twice), think of one large loss would create less negative utility.

        When you can think of one large gain with a smaller loss or a situation where you net the two to create a smaller gain ($100 and -$55, versus +$45), you would receive more positive utility from the smaller gain.

        When you can think of one large loss with a smaller gain or a smaller loss (-$100 and +$55, versus -$45), try to separate losses from gains.

 

12 Cognitive Biases Explained - How to Think Better and More Logically Removing Bias (video, FYI)

0:18 Anchoring Bias 1:22 Availability Bias 2:22 Bandwagon Effect 3:09 Choice Supportive Bias 3:50 Confirmation Bias 4:30 Ostrich Bias 5:20 Outcome Bias 6:12 Overconfidence 6:52 Placebo Effect 7:44 Survivorship Bias 8:32 Selective Perception 9:08 Blindspot Bias

 

 

Homework: (due with the second mid-term exam) 

·       Explain with examples of the following concepts: gambler’ fallacy, mental accounting, disposition effect

 

 

In class exercise

1. What is anchoring in decision making?

A. A tendency to rely on reference points, even if they are irrelevant.

B. Choosing the most popular option.

C. Trusting your gut feeling.

Answer: A

Explanation: Anchoring is the tendency to attach your thoughts to a reference point, even if that reference point has no logical relevance to the decision at hand.

 

2. How can you avoid anchoring in investment decisions?

A. Use any figures to evaluate a stock's potential.

B. Base decisions solely on benchmarks.

C. Evaluate a company from various perspectives to get a more accurate picture.

Answer: C

Explanation: To avoid anchoring, you should evaluate a company from a variety of perspectives to derive the truest picture of the investment landscape.

 

3. What is mental accounting in personal finance?

A. Separating money into different accounts based on subjective criteria.

B. Keeping all your money in one account.

C. Spending money impulsively.

Answer: A

Explanation: Mental accounting is the practice of separating your money into different accounts based on subjective criteria, like the source of the money and its intended use.

 

4. How can you avoid mental accounting pitfalls?

A. Keep all your money in a single account.

B. Have a budget, and to watch your spending more closely

C. Spend money impulsively without a plan.

Answer: B

Explanation:  To prevent mental accounting errors, it's essential to establish a budget and closely monitor your expenses. Additionally, having a strategy for managing unexpected income can prevent squandering it on unnecessary purchases.   separate your money into multiple accounts for different purposes.

 

5. What is confirmation bias?

A. A tendency to seek information that supports your beliefs and ignore opposing views.

B. A neutral assessment of all available information.

C. A complete disregard for any information.

Answer: A

Explanation: Confirmation bias is the tendency to selectively filter information that supports your existing beliefs while ignoring opposing views.

 

6. How can confirmation bias impact decision making in investing?

A. It leads to unbiased decision making.

B. It generates faulty decision making by focusing on information that supports existing beliefs.

C. It encourages diversification of investments.

Answer: B

Explanation: Confirmation bias can lead to faulty decision making by focusing on information that supports existing beliefs, potentially ignoring critical information.

 

7. What is the gambler's fallacy?

A. Believing that random events are independent of each other.

B. Always making bets based on intuition.

C. Believing that future events are influenced by past events.

Answer: C

Explanation: The gambler's fallacy is the belief that future random events are influenced by past events, which is not necessarily true.

 

8. How can you avoid falling for the gambler's fallacy in investing?

A. Make investment decisions based on intuition.

B. Rely on fundamental or technical analysis before making decisions.

C. Always believe that past performance predicts future outcomes.

Answer: B

Explanation: To avoid the gambler's fallacy, investors should base their decisions on fundamental or technical analysis rather than relying on intuition or past performance.

 

9. What is herding in the context of decision making?

A. The tendency to make independent decisions.

B. The tendency to mimic the actions of a larger group.

C. The avoidance of social pressure.

Answer: B

Explanation: Herding refers to the tendency to mimic the actions of a larger group, often due to social pressure or a belief that a large group cannot be wrong.

 

10. Why do individuals often engage in herding behavior?

A. Due to a desire to conform and be accepted by a group.

B. Because they are naturally independent thinkers.

C. Because they believe that following a large group is always profitable.

Answer: A

Explanation: Individuals often engage in herding behavior due to a desire to conform and be accepted by a group.

 

11. What is overconfidence in decision making?

A. Realistically trusting in one's abilities.

B. Having an overly optimistic assessment of one's knowledge or control over a situation.

C. Having no confidence at all.

Answer: B

Explanation: Overconfidence refers to having an overly optimistic assessment of one's knowledge or control over a situation.

 

12. What is the disposition effect in investing?

A. The tendency to hold on to losing stocks and sell winning stocks.

B. The tendency to sell winning stocks and buy losing stocks.

C. A balanced approach to buying and selling stocks.

Answer: A

Explanation: The disposition effect is the tendency to hold on to winning stocks for too long and sell losing stocks too soon.

 

13. How can you avoid the disposition effect in decision making?

A. Focus on one large gain and ignore smaller gains.

B. Think of losses as one large loss to minimize negative feelings.

C.  To steer clear of the disposition effect, one effective approach is to establish investment goals that are in harmony with your financial objectives.

Answer: C

 

 

 

Chapter 9 Options 

 

 

Contents:

v Option in general

v Call option

v Put Option

v Impact of Interest rate on Option Pricing

 

PPT

 

Options Trading For Beginners - The Basics (youtube)

 

Brief Summary:

·       Options trading involves speculating on the price of an asset through contracts, allowing traders to profit without owning the asset.
These contracts include an exercise price and a premium.

·       Option buyers have the right but not the obligation to honor the contract, while option sellers have an obligation.

·       Call options give the right to buy, and put options give the right to sell.

·       Premiums are determined by intrinsic value, time value, and implied volatility.

·       Risk management is crucial, as options trading involves leverage, and traders shouldn't risk more than 2% of their capital. 

 

 

In class exercise

1. What is the primary purpose of options trading?

a) To guarantee profit

b) To speculate on the price of an asset

c) To own the underlying asset

Answer: b

Explanation: Options trading allows investors to speculate on the price of an asset without owning it, which is the primary purpose.

 

2. In options trading, what is a "call option"?

a) The right to buy a security at a predetermined price

b) The right to sell a security at a predetermined price

c) The right to own the underlying asset

Answer: a

Explanation: A call option gives the buyer the right to buy a security at a predetermined price.

 

3. What kind of option would a bearish investor use to speculate?

a) Call option

b) Bullish option

c) Put option

Answer: c

Explanation: A bearish investor would use a put option, which allows them to sell the security at a predetermined price.

 

4. What factors determine the premium of options?

a) Market capitalization and trading volume

b) Intrinsic value, time value, and implied volatility

c) Current and historical stock prices

Answer: b

Explanation: The premium of options is derived from these factors.

 

5. Why is risk management crucial in options trading?

a) To guarantee profit

b) To minimize the impact of leverage

c) To eliminate all risks

Answer: b

Explanation: Risk management helps control the magnifying effect of potential losses due to leverage in options trading.

 

6. In options trading, what is the "strike price" also known as?

a) Exercise price

b) Premium price

c) Current market price

Answer: a

Explanation: The strike price is the same as the exercise price in options trading.

 

7. What do you call options with a strike price above the current market price?

a) In-the-money options

b) Out-of-the-money options

c) At-the-money options

Answer: b

Explanation: Options with a strike price above the current market price are considered out-of-the-money.

 

8. Which term refers to the agreed-upon price at which the option buyer can sell the shares?

a) Premium price

b) Implied volatility

c) Strike price

Answer: c

Explanation: The strike price is the agreed-upon price for selling shares in a put option.

 

9. What is the suggested risk management strategy for options traders?

a) Risk more than 2% of capital in one trade

b) Use large exposures to maximize gains

c) Don't risk more than 2% of capital in one trade

Answer: c

Explanation: The recommended risk management strategy for options traders is not to risk more than 2% of capital in a single trade.

 

The five basic components of option pricing include the following:

 

1. Underlying Asset Price – The price of the underlying stock or index the option is written on.

 

2. Asset Volatility – Amount of uncertainty associated with the asset's expected return. In general, the higher the volatility, the more expensive the option will be. For example, if an asset's value is $100 today, and next month the price is estimated to be either $125 or $75, then the amount of uncertainty here is very high. Because of this, the option price will be high as well. After all, the more volatile the security, the greater chance that it will deliver large returns for the option holder. This uncertainty of return is one of the main drivers of option prices.

 

3. Time to Expiration – The amount of time left before the option expires. The price of an option decreases as it approaches its expiration date. Why is this? Well, as the expiration date approaches, the chances of the option gaining in value become lower and lower because the underlying security has less time in which to make a major up or down move.

 

4. Risk-Free Rate – For a variety of reasons that are beyond the scope of this report, the rate of return that may be earned without bearing any risk also comes into play when pricing options. Normally this is assumed to be the rate of interest earned by U.S. Treasury Bills.

 

5. Option Strike Price – This is the price at which the option can be exercised. 

 

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/the-5-factors-that-determine-options-prices-2019-11-08

 

Part II: Call option

 

 

Call Options Explained: Options Trading For Beginners (youtube)

In class exercise

1. How many shares does an options contract typically represent?

a) 10 shares

b) 50 shares

c) 100 shares

Answer: c

Explanation: Options contracts typically represent 100 shares.

 

2. In the video, what is the significance of an options contract expiring sooner?

a) It makes the contract more expensive.

b) It makes the contract cheaper.

c) It doesn't affect the contract price.

Answer: b

Explanation: Options contracts with shorter durations are generally cheaper.

 

3. What is the main risk associated with options trading?

a) Risk of losing the entire investment

b) No risk involved

c) Guaranteed profits

Answer: a

Explanation: The video emphasizes that there is a risk of losing the entire investment with options trading.

 

4. Which scenario results in a worthless options contract?

a) Stock price below the strike price for a call option

b) Stock price above the strike price for a call option

c) Stock price at the strike price for a call option

Answer: a

Explanation: If the stock price is below the strike price for a call option, the contract is worthless.

 

5. How can you make a profit with a call option?

a) When the stock price is below the strike price

b) When the stock price is above the strike price

c) When the stock price is exactly at the strike price

Answer: b

Explanation: You make a profit with a call option when the stock price is above the strike price.

 

6. What are options contracts for?

a) 1 share

b) 10 shares

c) 100 shares

Answer: c

Explanation: Options contracts typically represent 100 shares.

 

7. How does the duration of an options contract affect its price?

a) Longer duration makes the contract cheaper

b) Longer duration makes the contract more expensive

c) Duration has no effect on the contract price

Answer: b

Explanation: Options contracts with longer durations are typically more expensive.

 

8. What is the main way to make a profit with call options?

a) When the stock price goes up

b) When the stock price goes down

c) When the stock price stays the same

Answer: a

Explanation: Call options are profitable when the stock price rises.

 

9. How is the price of an options contract determined?

a) It is fixed by the platform

b) It is based on the number of shares in the contract

c) It depends on the strike price and other factors

Answer: c

Explanation: The price of an options contract is influenced by factors like the strike price.

 

10. What is one way to realize a profit with a call option without buying the actual stock?

a) Exercise the option and buy the stock

b) Sell the options contract itself

c) Wait for the contract to expire

Answer:  b

Explanation: You can profit by selling the options contract without purchasing the stock.

 

Call options: Learn the basics of buying and selling

By James Royal, 11/1/2021

https://www.bankrate.com/investing/what-are-call-options-learn-basics-buying-selling

 

Call options are a type of option that increases in value when a stock rises. They’re the best-known kind of option, and they allow the owner to lock in a price to buy a specific stock by a specific date. Call options are appealing because they can appreciate quickly on a small move up in the stock price. So that makes them a favorite with traders who are looking for a big gain.

 

What is a call option?

A call option gives you the right, but not the requirement, to purchase a stock at a specific price (known as the strike price) by a specific date, at the option’s expiration. For this right, the call buyer will pay an amount of money called a premium, which the call seller will receive. Unlike stocks, which can live in perpetuity, an option will cease to exist after expiration, ending up either worthless or with some value.

 

The following components comprise the major traits of an option:

Strike price: The price at which you can buy the underlying stock

Premium: The price of the option, for either buyer or seller

Expiration: When the option expires and is settled

One option is called a contract, and each contract represents 100 shares of the underlying stock. Exchanges quote options prices in terms of the per-share price, not the total price you must pay to own the contract. For example, an option may be quoted at $0.75 on the exchange. So to purchase one contract it will cost (100 shares * 1 contract * $0.75), or $75.

 

How a call option works

Call options are “in the money” when the stock price is above the strike price at expiration. The call owner can exercise the option, putting up cash to buy the stock at the strike price. Or the owner can simply sell the option at its fair market value to another buyer before it expires.

A call owner profits when the premium paid is less than the difference between the stock price and the strike price. For example, imagine a trader bought a call for $0.50 with a strike price of $20, and the stock is $23 at expiration. The option is worth $3 (the $23 stock price minus the $20 strike price) and the trader has made a profit of $2.50 ($3 minus the cost of $0.50).

If the stock price is below the strike price at expiration, then the call is “out of the money” and expires worthless. The call seller keeps any premium received for the option.

 

Why buy a call option?

The biggest advantage of buying a call option is that it magnifies the gains in a stock’s price. For a relatively small upfront cost, you can enjoy a stock’s gains above the strike price until the option expires. So if you’re buying a call, you usually expect the stock to rise before expiration.

 

Call options vs. put options

The other major kind of option is called a put option, and its value increases as the stock price goes down. So traders can wager on a stock’s decline by buying put options. In this sense, puts act like the opposite of call options, though they have many similar risks and rewards:

Like buying a call option, buying a put option allows you the opportunity to earn back many times your investment.

Like buying a call option, the risk of buying a put option is that you could lose all your investment if the put expires worthless.

Like selling a call option, selling a put option earns a premium, but then the seller takes on all the risks if the stock moves in an unfavorable direction.

Unlike selling a call option, selling a put option exposes you to capped losses (since a stock cannot fall below $0). Still, you could lose many times more money than the premium received.

 

In class exercise

1. In the scenario where a call option is "in the money" at expiration, what can the call owner do?

a) Choose to exercise the option

b) Only sell the option

c) Request a refund

Answer:  a

Explanation: A call owner can exercise the option by buying the stock at the strike price.

 

2. What happens if the stock price is below the strike price at the call option's expiration?

a) The option is "in the money"

b) The call is worthless

c) The premium is refunded

Answer: b

Explanation: If the stock price is below the strike price, the call option expires worthless.

 

3. Why is buying a call option appealing for traders?

a) It guarantees a profit

b) It magnifies gains 

c) It reduces the cost of the stock

Answer: b

Explanation: Buying a call option allows traders to profit from a stock's price increase with a relatively small upfront cost.

 

4. How much does it cost to purchase one options contract for a call option quoted at $0.75 per share on the exchange?

a) $7.50

b) $0.75

c) $75

Answer: c

Explanation: To purchase one options contract, you would pay (100 shares * 1 contract * $0.75 per share), which equals $75.

 

5. What happens to a call option when the stock price is above the strike price at expiration?

a) It is "in the money"

b) It expires worthless

c) The premium is refunded

Answer: a

Explanation: A call option is "in the money" when the stock price is above the strike price at expiration.

 

6. What is the profit for the trader who bought a call option for $0.50 with a strike price of $20, and the stock is $23 at expiration?

a) $2.50

b) $0.50

c) $3

Answer: a

Explanation: The profit is calculated as the difference between the stock price ($23) and the strike price ($20), which is $3, minus the cost of the option ($0.50), resulting in a profit of $2.50.

 

7. What is the primary risk of buying a put option?

a) Losing all your investment if the put expires worthless

b) Maximizing your gains

c) Locking in stock prices

Answer: a

Explanation: Buying a put option carries the risk of losing the entire investment if the put expires worthless.

 

8. How do call options differ from put options?

a) Call options gain value as stock prices go down

b) Call options increase in value as stock prices rise

c) Call options have a capped loss potential

Answer: b

Explanation: Call options gain value when stock prices increase, while put options gain value when stock prices decrease.

 

9. What is the main advantage of selling a put option?

a) Earning a premium

b) Exercising the option

c) Locking in stock prices

Answer: a

Explanation: Selling a put option allows the seller to earn a premium.

 

10. In the context of selling put options, why are the potential losses capped?

a) Because the premium received is fixed

b) Because the seller cannot lose more than the premium

c) Because the stock price can never go below $0

Answer: b

Explanation: The potential losses for selling a put option are capped because the seller cannot lose more than the premium received.

 

11. Why do options contracts with shorter durations tend to be cheaper?

a) Shorter durations guarantee profits

b) Shorter durations involve less risk

c) Shorter durations have less time for the stock to move

Answer: c

Explanation: Options contracts with shorter durations are cheaper because there is less time for the stock to make significant movements.

 

Basic Options Calculator (FYI) - Powered by IVolatility.com

·       https://www.optionseducation.org/toolsoptionquotes/optionscalculator   (great tool to calculate option prices)

·       https://www.cboe.com/education/tools/options-calculator/  (CBOE option calculator)

 

 

Call and Put price of AAPL on Google Finance

Call and Put price of AAPL on Nasdaq

 

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/options?date=1705622400

 

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL240119C00050000?p=AAPL240119C00050000

 

In class exercise

1. What is the strike price of the Apple call option mentioned in the above information?

a) $117.95

b) $50.00

c) $128.35

Answer: b

 

2. What is the current bid price  for this Apple call option?

a) $118.70

b) $125.60

c) $128.35

Answer: b

 

3. What is the current Ask price for this Apple call option?

a) $117.95

b) $118.70

c) $128.35

Answer: c

 

4. What is the Open Interest for this Apple call option?

a) 6

b) 17.55k

c) N/A

Answer: b

 

5. The "Day's Range" for this call option indicates:

a) The highest and lowest prices it traded at today

b) The price range it can be exercised at

c) The highest and lowest historical prices for Apple stock

Answer: a

 

6. If today is November 3, 2023, how many days are left until the expiration date of this call option?

a) 75 days

b) 77 days

c) 443 days

Answer: a

Explanation: The expiration date is January 19, 2024, which is 75 days away from November 3, 2023.

 

7. What is the "Volume" for this Apple call option?

a) 6

b) 50

c) 117.95

Answer: a

 

8. The Bid price of $125.60 indicates:

a) The price a buyer is willing to pay to purchase the option

b) The price a seller is willing to accept to sell the option

c) The current market price of Apple stock

Answer: b

 

9. If the Apple stock price is currently below the strike price of the call option, the option is considered:

a) "In the money"

b) "At the money"

c) "Out of the money"

Answer: c

 

10. If an investor holds this Apple call option with a strike price of $50.00 and the current Apple stock price is $55.00, what is the intrinsic value of the option?

a) $5.00

b) $117.95

c) $50.00

Answer: a

Explanation: The intrinsic value of the option when the stock price is $55.00 and the strike price is $50.00 is $5.00 ($55.00 - $50.00).

 

11) What does "open interest" in options trading represent?

a) The total number of options contracts that have been bought and sold on a specific day.

b) The number of options contracts that are still open or not yet exercised, closed, or expired.

c) The total number of options available for trading on a specific exchange.

Answer: b

Explanation: Open interest refers to the number of options contracts that are still outstanding and have not been exercised, closed, or expired. It reflects the total number of open positions in the market.

 

12)  What does "volume" in options trading represent?

a) The total number of options available for trading on an exchange.

b) The total number of options contracts that expire on a given date.

c) The number of options contracts that have changed hands (bought or sold) during a specific trading day.

Answer: c)

Explanation: Volume represents the total number of options contracts that have been bought or sold during a particular trading day. It indicates the level of trading activity.

 

13) How is open interest different from volume in options trading?

a) Open interest reflects the trading activity during a specific day, while volume represents the total outstanding contracts.

b) Open interest represents the number of contracts available for trading, while volume represents the total positions held by traders.

c) Open interest is the number of outstanding contracts, while volume measures the trading activity during a specific day.

Answer: c

Explanation: Open interest is the total number of options contracts that are still open or not yet exercised, closed, or expired. Volume, on the other hand, measures the trading activity during a specific trading day, indicating the number of contracts that changed hands. Open interest provides information about the total number of positions held in the market, while volume reflects the day's trading activity.

 

 

 

           

o        Home Work and class discussion questions (Due with final)    

1.    What is call option?

2.    What is put option?

3.    Who benefits from falling stock prices, call option holders or put option holders, and who benefits from rising stock prices? Explain why.

4.    (optional for extra credit)  Between call option holders and put option holders, who will benefit from the rising of interest rate? Who is going to benefit from the falling of interest rate? Please refer to https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/051415/how-why-interest-rates-affect-options.asp#:~:text=With%20an%20increase%20in%20interest,negatively%20by%20increasing%20interest%20rates.

 

 

 

Part II: What Is a Put Option?

 

Put Options Explained: Options Trading For Beginners (youtube)

 

In class exercise:

 

1. What is the primary purpose of a put option?

A. To sell a stock at a predetermined price

B. To buy a stock at a predetermined price

C. To profit from a stock's rising price

Answer: A. 

Explanation: A put option gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a specified price, which is the primary purpose of a put option.

 

2. How does one profit from a put option?

A. By selling the option for a higher premium

B. By buying the stock and selling it at a higher Strike price

C. By buying the stock and selling it at a lower Strike price

Answer: B. 

Explanation: Profits are made when the stock's market price falls, allowing the holder to buy the stock at a lower price and sell it at the higher strike price.

 

3. If the stock's price remains above the strike price, what happens to the put option?

A. It becomes more valuable

B. It becomes worthless

C. The premium increases

Answer: B. 

Explanation: If the stock's price stays above the strike price, there's no incentive to sell it at a lower price, so the put option becomes worthless.

 

4. What happens to the value of a put option with more time until expiration?

A. It becomes more valuable

B. It becomes less valuable

C. Its value remains the same

Answer: A.

Explanation: Put options with more time until expiration are more valuable because there's a longer time for the stock's price to potentially fall below the strike price.

 

5. Which offer is better in terms of time to expiration?

A. Offer to sell within one week

B. Offer to see within two weeks

C. Offer to sell within one month

Answer: C

Explanation: Offer number three, with a longer time frame of one month, is better because it provides more time for the stock's price to potentially fall.

 

6. Which strike price is more valuable in the example?

A. $35

B. $40

C. $45

Answer: C. 

Explanation: In the example, a higher strike price is more valuable because it allows the holder to sell the stock for a higher price if needed.

 

7. How many shares are typically included in one options contract?

A. 10 shares

B. 100 shares

C. 1,000 shares

Answer: B. 

Explanation: Options contracts are typically based on 100-share increments.

 

8. If you want to buy 10 put options, how much would it cost you if each option costs $45?

A. $4.50

B. $450

C. $4,500

Answer: B. 

Explanation: To calculate the cost, you multiply the cost of one option by the number of options (10 x $45 = $450).

 

9. What is the primary risk associated with buying a put option?

A. Losing the entire investment

B. Missing out on potential gains

C. Increased taxes

Answer: A. 

Explanation: The risk with buying a put option is that if the stock's price doesn't fall below the strike price, you lose the premium paid.

 

10. What is the main advantage of using a put option for hedging?

A. It guarantees profits

B. It allows for unlimited gains

C. It protects against potential losses

Answer: C

Explanation: Hedging with put options helps protect investments from potential losses in a declining market.

 

11. Which feature of a put option affects its price and value the most?

A. The expiration period

B. The strike price

C. The number of shares in a contract

Answer: A. 

Explanation: The expiration period has a significant impact on a put option's price and value, with longer periods generally making the option more expensive.

 

12. How is the price of a put option determined in the options market?

A. It is set by the buyer.

B. It is set by the exchange.

C. It is determined by market supply and demand.

Answer: C. 

Explanation: The price of an option is determined by market forces, primarily supply and demand.

 

13. What is the primary objective when buying a put option?

A. To maximize the premium paid

B. To profit from a stock's price increase

C. To protect against a stock's price decline

Answer: C. 

Explanation: The main objective of buying a put option is to protect against potential losses from a stock's price decline.**

 

 

A put option (or “put”) is a contract giving the option buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell—or sell short—a specified amount of an underlying security at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. This predetermined price at which the buyer of the put option can sell the underlying security is called the strike price.

 

Put options are traded on various underlying assets, including stocks, currencies, bonds, commodities, futures, and indexes. A put option can be contrasted with a call option, which gives the holder the right to buy the underlying security at a specified price, either on or before the expiration date of the option contract.

 

KEY TAKEAWAYS

·       Put options give holders of the option the right, but not the obligation, to sell a specified amount of an underlying security at a specified price within a specified time frame.

·       Put options are available on a wide range of assets, including stocks, indexes, commodities, and currencies.

·       Put option prices are impacted by changes in the price of the underlying asset, the option strike price, time decay, interest rates, and volatility.

·       Put options increase in value as the underlying asset falls in price, as volatility of the underlying asset price increases, and as interest rates decline.

·       Put options lose value as the underlying asset increases in price, as volatility of the underlying asset price decreases, as interest rates rise, and as the time to expiration nears.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/putoption.asp

 

 

 

Part IV: An Example of Factors Affecting Option Prices

 

How and Why Interest Rates Affect Options (FYI only)

By SHOBHIT SETH Updated June 08, 2022, Reviewed by CHARLES POTTERS

Fact checked by KIRSTEN ROHRS SCHMITT

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/051415/how-why-interest-rates-affect-options.asp#:~:text=With%20an%20increase%20in%20interest,negatively%20by%20increasing%20interest%20rates.

 

Interest rate changes impact the overall economy, stock market, bond market, and other financial markets and can influence macroeconomic factors. A change in interest rates also impacts option valuation, which is a complex task with multiple factors, including the price of the underlying asset, exercise or strike price, time to expiry, risk-free rate of return (interest rate), volatility, and dividend yield. Barring the exercise price, all other factors are unknown variables that can change until the time of an option's expiry.

 

Which Interest Rate for Pricing Options?

It is important to understand the right maturity interest rates to be used in pricing options. Most option valuation models like Black-Scholes use annualized interest rates.

 

It is important to note that changes in interest rates are infrequent and in small magnitudes (usually in increments of 0.25%, or 25 basis points only). Other factors used in determining the option price (like the underlying asset price, time to expiry, volatility, and dividend yield) change more frequently and in larger magnitudes, which have a comparatively larger impact on option prices than changes in interest rates.

 

KEY TAKEAWAYS

·       Changes in interest rate directly affect option pricing, whose calculation is made up of numerous complex factors.

·       For standard option pricing models like Black-Scholes, the risk-free annualized Treasury interest rate is used.

·       When interest rates increase, call options benefit while put option prices are impacted negatively.

 

Interest Advantage in Call Options

Purchasing 100 shares of a stock trading at $100 will require $10,000, which, assuming a trader borrows money for trading, will lead to interest payments on this capital. Purchasing the call option at $12 in a lot of 100 contracts will cost only $1,200. Yet the profit potential will remain the same as that with a long stock position.

 

Effectively, the differential of $8,800 will result in savings of outgoing interest payment on this loaned amount. Alternatively, the saved capital of $8,800 can be kept in an interest-bearing account and will result in interest incomea 5% interest will generate $440 in one year.

 

Thus, an increase in interest rates will lead to either saving in outgoing interest on the loaned amount or an increase in the receipt of interest income on the savings account. Both will be positive for this call position + savings. Effectively, a call options price increases to reflect this benefit from increased interest rates.

 

Interest Disadvantage in Put Options

Theoretically, shorting a stock with an aim to benefit from a price decline will bring in cash to the short seller. Buying a put has a similar benefit from price declines, but comes at a cost as the put option premium is to be paid. This case has two different scenarios: cash received by shorting a stock can earn interest for the trader, while cash spent in buying puts is interest payable (assuming the trader is borrowing money to buy puts).

 

With an increase in interest rates, shorting stock becomes more profitable than buying puts, as the former generates income and the latter does the opposite. Thus, put option prices are impacted negatively by increasing interest rates.

 

The Rho Greek

Rho is a standard Greek that measures the impact of a change in interest rates on an option price. It indicates the amount by which the option price will change for every 1% change in interest rates. Assume that a call option is currently priced at $5 and has a rho value of 0.25. If the interest rates increase by 1%, then the call option price will increase by $0.25 (to $5.25) or by the amount of its rho value. Similarly, the put option price will decrease by the amount of its rho value.

 

Since interest rate changes dont happen that frequently, and usually are in increments of 0.25%, rho is not considered a primary Greek in that it does not have a major impact on option prices compared to other factors (or Greeks like delta, gamma, vega, or theta).

 

How a Change in Interest Rates Affects Call and Put Option Prices?

Taking the example of a European-style in-the-money (ITM) call option on underlying trading at $100, with an exercise price of $100, one year to expiry, a volatility of 25%, and an interest rate of 5%, the call price using Black-Scholes model comes to $12.3092 and call rho value comes to 0.5035. The price of a put option with similar parameters comes to $7.4828 and put rho value is -0.4482 (Case 1).

 

Rho Calculation using Black-Scholes Model

Source: Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)

 

 

Now, lets increase the interest rate from 5% to 6%, keeping other parameters the same.

 

Rho Calculation using Black-Scholes Model

 

The call price has increased to $12.7977 (a change of $0.4885) and put price has gone down to $7.0610 (change of $-0.4218). The call price and put price has changed by almost the same amount as the earlier computed call rho (0.5035) and put rho (-0.4482) values computed earlier. (The fractional difference is due to BS model calculation methodology, and is negligible.)

 

In reality, interest rates usually change only in increments of 0.25%. To take a realistic example, lets change the interest rate from 5% to 5.25% only. The other numbers are the same as in Case 1.

 

Rho Calculation using Black-Scholes Model

 

 

The call price has increased to $12.4309 and put price reduced to $7.3753 (a small change of $0.1217 for call price and of -$0.1075 for put price).

 

As can be observed, the changes in both call and put option prices are negligible after a 0.25% interest rate change.

 

It is possible that interest rates may change four times (4 * 0.25% = 1% increase) in one year, i.e. until the expiry time. Still, the impact of such interest rate changes may be negligible (only around $0.5 on an ITM call option price of $12 and ITM put option price of $7). Over the course of the year, other factors can vary with much higher magnitudes and can significantly impact the option prices.

 

Similar computations for out-of-the-money (OTM) and ITM options yield similar results with only fractional changes observed in option prices after interest rate changes.

 

Arbitrage Opportunities

Is it possible to benefit from arbitrage on expected rate changes? Usually, markets are considered to be efficient and the prices of options contracts are already assumed to be inclusive of any such expected changes.

 

Also, a change in interest rates usually has an inverse impact on stock prices, which has a much larger impact on option prices. Overall, due to the small proportional change in option price due to interest rate changes, arbitrage benefits are difficult to capitalize upon.

 

The Bottom Line

Option pricing is a complex process and continues to evolve, despite popular models like Black-Scholes being used for decades. Multiple factors impact option valuation, which can lead to very high variations in option prices over the short term. Call option and put option premiums are impacted inversely as interest rates change. However, the impact on option prices is fractional; option pricing is more sensitive to changes in other input parameters, such as underlying price, volatility, time to expiry, and dividend yield.

 

In class exercise

 

1. Which of the following factors does NOT influence option valuation?

A. strike price

B. Interest rate

C. Market volume

Answer: C. 

Explanation: Market volume is not a factor influencing option valuation in the article.

 

2. Which type of interest rate is typically used in standard option pricing models like Black-Scholes?

A. Daily interest rate

B. Annualized interest rate

C. Variable interest rate

Answer: B. 

Explanation: Option pricing models like Black-Scholes typically use annualized interest rates.

 

3. How do interest rate changes typically occur in reality?

A. In increments of 1%

B. In increments of 0.25%

C. In increments of 5%

Answer: B. 

Explanation: In reality, interest rates typically change in increments of 0.25%.

 

4. What is the effect of increasing interest rates on call options?

A. It has no effect

B. Call options benefit

C. Call option prices decrease

Answer: B. 

Explanation: Increasing interest rates lead to cost savings for call options, resulting in benefits.

 

5. How does an increase in interest rates affect put option prices?

A. It has no effect

B. Put option prices increase

C. Put option prices decrease

Answer: C. 

Explanation: Increasing interest rates have a negative impact on put option prices.

 

6. What does the Rho Greek measure in options pricing?

A. Stock price fluctuations

B. Impact of interest rate changes

C. Time to option expiration

Answer: B. 

Explanation: Rho measures the impact of changes in interest rates on option prices.

 

7. For every 1% change in interest rates, how much will a call option's price change if it has a rho value of 0.25?

A. It won't change

B. It will increase by $0.25

C. It will decrease by $0.25

Answer: B. 

Explanation: A call option's price will increase by the amount of its rho value for a 1% change in interest rates.

 

8. What is the primary effect of changes in interest rates on stock prices?

A. Stock prices increase

B. Stock prices remain the same

C. Stock prices decrease

Answer: C. 

Explanation: Changes in interest rates often have an inverse impact on stock prices, causing them to decrease.

 

9. Which type of options have a similar impact as shorting stock when interest rates increase?

A. Put options

B. Call options

C. None

Answer: A

Explanation: Put options have a similar impact to shorting stock when interest rates increase, but at a cost.

 

  

 

 

 

Final Exam   

·     In class 11/18, from 10am-5pm

·     Also available 16-17, from 11am-5pm, contact instructor

·     Term project due

 

Final exam Study Guide (Word File here, more detailed

 

Part 1: What is S&P500 index (SPY)?

 

Investing in the S&P 500 (video)

 

Part 2: S&P 500 Companies by Weight

Based on this article: What Is the Weighting of the S&P 500? --- Understanding the Sectors and Market Caps in the Index

https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-the-sector-weighting-of-the-s-and-p-500-4579847

 

Part 3: Diversification

 

1.    What is a Value Stock - Value Investing (youtube)

 

 2.   Small Cap Stocks vs Large Cap Stocks - Which are Better Investments

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijcsImmqSZU

 

 3. How Diversification Works (youtube)

 

4. What is ETF?

What is ETF? (Video)

 

5. Mutual Funds vs. ETFs - Which Is Right for You? (Video)

 

6. ETF Battles: QQQ vs. SPY (youtube)

 

7. How A Ponzi Scheme Works (youtube)

 

Part IV: Behavior Finance

1.     Behavioral Finance | Investor Irrationality (youtube)

2.     Anchoring  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqTLPtPMKLs

3.     Mental Accounting  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cQUlmdQdOs

4.     Confirmation Bias  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yxDDrEA497E

5.     Gambler’s fallacy  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_MUjkr0yu4

6.     Herding   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8aRm82r8l8

7.     Overconfidence   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0X3xxV8upI

8.     Disposition effect (prospect theory)  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sM91d5I36Po

  

 Part V: Call and Put Options
Call Options Explained: Options Trading For Beginners (youtube)

 

Put Options Explained: Options Trading For Beginners (youtube)

 

 Short Answer Questions (total 10 points)

Sample question 1:

You purchased a call option for a stock with a strike price of $50. The current stock price is $55, and you paid a premium of $3 for the call option. Calculate the profit for the call option.

Answer:

Profit = (Stock Price - Strike Price) - Premium Paid

Given the information:

Profit = ($55 - $50) - $3 = $2

 

Sample question 2:

You purchased a put option for a stock with a strike price of $50. The current stock price is $45, and you paid a premium of $3 for the put option. Calculate the profit for the put option.

Answer:

Profit = (Strike Price - Stock Price) - Premium Paid

Given the information:

Profit = ($50 - $45) - $3 = $2

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wishing you a joyful Holiday break and looking forward to seeing you in the sPRING!

 

Happy Holidays Greetings